Tempting-Soliloquy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

Trades

587

lifetime

Volume

$2.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-10 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 54% $-74

Other

7% 50% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	8	$124	126	126	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	8	$113	97	97	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$112	71	71	+0	open	—	05-04 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	7	$108	333	313	+20	open	—	05-04 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$95	55	55	+0	open	—	05-04 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	12	$92	69	69	+0	open	—	05-04 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	5	$85	74	74	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	6	$75	46	58	-12	open	—	05-04 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$72	58	42	+16	Down	$-4	05-10 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	9	$62	98	75	+23	open	—	05-04 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	10	$61	62	44	+18	open	—	05-04 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	7	$60	1,389	51	+1,338	open	—	05-04 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$56	37	37	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	5	$55	57	57	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 18:52
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	16	$51	59	53	+6	GIANTX	+$7	05-10 16:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$50	62	29	+33	Up	+$23	05-10 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$46	38	32	+6	Up	+$3	05-10 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$46	29	29	+0	Up	+$6	05-10 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	8	$46	33	33	+0	open	—	05-04 02:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	10	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	8	$44	78	28	+50	open	—	05-04 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	6	$44	28	28	+0	open	—	05-04 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	11	$44	64	45	+20	open	—	05-04 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$43	32	32	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	10	$42	46	46	+0	open	—	05-04 02:11
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	16	$41	53	53	+0	9z	+$7	05-10 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$40	49	49	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	11	$36	62	25	+37	open	—	05-04 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	7	$35	148	48	+100	open	—	05-04 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	8	$35	30	24	+6	Down	$-3	05-10 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 21:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xc8c430…
05-10 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3e8ac7…
05-10 21:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x20bc76…
05-10 21:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa9085f…
05-10 20:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf6fd5b…
05-10 20:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x984b5b…
05-10 20:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x747b77…
05-10 20:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbf803f…
05-10 20:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xd89f38…
05-10 20:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0c4be5…
05-10 20:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x941629…
05-10 20:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x13054a…
05-10 20:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x445747…
05-10 20:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x60f74d…
05-10 20:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaa2997…
05-10 20:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4a0baf…
05-10 20:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd10c2e…
05-10 20:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfec460…
05-10 20:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	82¢	$13	0xf1de18…
05-10 20:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x004580…
05-10 20:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x11f6f7…
05-10 20:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	26	52¢	$14	0xc535ea…
05-10 20:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6dd163…
05-10 20:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xb7a426…
05-10 20:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x95f392…
05-10 20:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfafdac…
05-10 20:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x50840e…
05-10 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa796c7…
05-10 20:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6c1c08…
05-10 20:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9c62d1…
05-10 20:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x06d8ec…
05-10 19:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5d00a4…
05-10 19:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa99c3f…
05-10 19:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x42b57c…
05-10 19:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf9851d…
05-10 19:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0b9ae0…
05-10 19:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	67¢	$22	0xfae7e9…
05-10 19:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0x9c3874…
05-10 19:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x67373c…
05-10 19:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9a0db6…
05-10 19:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0xc0fb49…
05-10 19:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa29125…
05-10 19:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x3d6706…
05-10 19:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb767e3…
05-10 18:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	37	53¢	$20	0x103652…
05-10 18:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x6240e9…
05-10 18:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x321087…
05-10 18:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xbb53ba…
05-10 18:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa74275…
05-10 18:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	49	40¢	$20	0x4ff771…
05-10 18:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x09fffd…
05-10 18:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x9ea81d…
05-10 18:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4bc418…
05-10 18:39:06	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	39	34¢	$14	0xca736c…
05-10 18:38:51	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x41d783…
05-10 18:38:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0afbe7…
05-10 18:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	32	72¢	$23	0xc90081…
05-10 18:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x054b82…
05-10 18:35:03	Solana Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xfef142…
05-10 18:35:00	Solana Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xdceb32…
05-10 18:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	41	52¢	$21	0x9b19c2…
05-10 18:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x6d1e00…
05-10 18:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0x3b94fb…
05-10 18:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x2ff803…
05-10 18:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	39	48¢	$19	0xd6e40e…
05-10 18:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x1fcff2…
05-10 18:25:29	Solana Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf5f8d7…
05-10 18:25:24	Solana Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdedea8…
05-10 18:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	29	89¢	$26	0x0af24f…
05-10 18:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xe2648d…
05-10 18:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	37	82¢	$31	0xbc3e34…
05-10 18:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x744239…
05-10 18:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x8c1c82…
05-10 18:14:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xa35620…
05-10 18:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcc5228…
05-10 18:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x0a6da9…
05-10 18:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x011309…
05-10 18:04:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xad9693…
05-10 18:04:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6fe61a…
05-10 18:03:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x358f6b…
05-10 18:00:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x561c9f…
05-10 17:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x33d929…
05-10 17:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3daa52…
05-10 17:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1a459c…
05-10 17:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x98c050…
05-10 17:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x525c89…
05-10 17:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x485c8b…
05-10 17:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	42	48¢	$20	0xe632ed…
05-10 17:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	33	51¢	$17	0xc2e459…
05-10 17:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xbf41d5…
05-10 17:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x263bf6…
05-10 17:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x01b9ed…
05-10 17:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0xd26626…
05-10 17:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x63944b…
05-10 17:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	79¢	$23	0x65bebf…
05-10 17:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xbc164c…
05-10 17:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0x436e33…
05-10 17:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xa1a65f…
05-10 17:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe985a5…
05-10 17:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x51c0dc…