Rural-Ancestor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

413

Trades

797

lifetime

Volume

$4.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-28 10:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 74% +$10

Politics

23% 100% +$24

Other

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 7am et	3	$125	137	0	+137	Down	+$12	09-30 11:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	2	$123	135	0	+135	No	+$12	04-20 06:48
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-18 09:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	1	$95	99	0	+99	No	+$4	04-21 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5AM ET	3	$93	96	5	+91	Down	+$2	10-17 09:59
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	05-05 12:38
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	05-04 07:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	3	$71	73	0	+73	No	+$2	04-19 17:17
bitcoin above 77400 on april 24 2026 2pm et	1	$70	71	0	+71	Yes	+$1	04-24 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6AM ET	6	$64	72	0	+72	Up	+$8	10-01 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	4	$62	68	3	+65	Down	+$5	10-16 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5PM ET	4	$61	57	7	+51	Down	+$2	10-03 21:59
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 5am et	2	$60	62	0	+62	Down	+$2	09-28 09:38
bitcoin above 77400 on april 24 2026 1pm et	2	$60	61	0	+61	Yes	+$1	04-24 16:48
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 7am et	2	$55	63	0	+63	Up	+$8	09-28 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$51	57	0	+57	Up	-$51	04-24 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	2	$51	55	0	+55	Up	+$4	10-13 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10AM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	10-09 14:55
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-09 13:18
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-09 13:20
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 6am et	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	09-28 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 07:20 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	07-28 07:24
BNB Up or Down - October 9, 7AM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	10-09 11:59
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-01 06:53
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-29 07:21
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-27 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	5	$42	43	0	+43	Down	+$1	05-02 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	13	$40	31	27	+5	Up	$0	10-24 20:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	04-21 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:20 UTC	2	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	07-29 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x0dba2d…
10-28 10:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbb49af…
10-28 10:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1a2be0…
10-28 10:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x3e8c23…
10-28 10:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xaf5931…
10-28 09:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xffb6c3…
10-28 09:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x337297…
10-28 09:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe2e5fb…
10-28 09:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd5f4c7…
10-28 09:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa0ff3f…
10-27 20:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x74b305…
10-27 20:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x108021…
10-27 20:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd4ba33…
10-27 20:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2f581a…
10-27 20:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5a3d7c…
10-27 20:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xf91c55…
10-27 20:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xb9e391…
10-27 20:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbd441d…
10-27 20:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xdaa014…
10-27 20:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x36dc71…
10-27 20:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5f8716…
10-27 20:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xa16999…
10-27 20:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd8533f…
10-27 20:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6f925b…
10-27 20:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x979e8f…
10-27 20:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1a70e2…
10-27 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7e0f7e…
10-27 20:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xf44a22…
10-27 20:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc62e9d…
10-26 19:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x13407c…
10-26 19:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x10ee26…
10-26 19:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe04bb8…
10-26 19:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc807b0…
10-26 19:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x6a2d75…
10-26 19:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x386143…
10-26 19:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x24aa0f…
10-26 19:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8bc039…
10-26 19:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x496276…
10-26 19:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x623fe5…
10-26 19:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x117d43…
10-26 19:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xf5830a…
10-26 19:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x2a691f…
10-26 19:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7ca775…
10-26 19:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa8cfdd…
10-26 19:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x4863c7…
10-26 19:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x396c76…
10-26 19:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x043171…
10-26 19:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2beb37…
10-26 19:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x5d0699…
10-26 18:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xc112a3…
10-26 18:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x9d416f…
10-26 18:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xda52f0…
10-26 18:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x035660…
10-26 18:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0bcab9…
10-26 18:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4f5c87…
10-26 18:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4def40…
10-26 18:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$3	0x35f5a3…
10-26 18:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5f536c…
10-26 17:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xb574ef…
10-26 17:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x57bfe1…
10-26 17:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xae84b6…
10-26 17:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x96c5c9…
10-26 17:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa21a69…
10-26 17:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xc8cdc6…
10-26 17:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb44c03…
10-26 17:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbf0bf5…
10-26 17:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8ea2da…
10-26 17:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xeec104…
10-26 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd32984…
10-26 17:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x4d1354…
10-26 17:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x640c99…
10-26 17:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3c546e…
10-26 17:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x40ad22…
10-26 17:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x069278…
10-25 14:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xde220f…
10-25 14:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0d1278…
10-25 14:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x06586d…
10-25 14:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x94cceb…
10-25 14:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x13ffaa…
10-25 14:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x17fbab…
10-25 14:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb3cc6f…
10-25 14:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x001fa1…
10-25 14:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x298901…
10-25 14:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x59530f…
10-25 14:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe7d393…
10-25 14:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc68d36…
10-25 14:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xe91f8a…
10-25 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x1433f5…
10-25 14:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x2afb02…
10-25 14:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb3dadb…
10-25 14:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2d65c4…
10-25 14:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xa1cdf4…
10-25 14:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xea2531…
10-25 13:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x63b699…
10-25 13:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4470b5…
10-25 13:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x4c905a…
10-25 13:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7cccae…
10-25 13:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x427369…
10-25 13:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0ad1a6…
10-25 13:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x43fd90…