Rural-Ancestor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-11 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 83% +$4

Politics

31% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	2	$123	135	+135	open	—	04-20 06:48
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-18 09:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	1	$95	99	+99	open	—	04-21 20:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	3	$71	73	+73	open	—	04-19 17:17
bitcoin above 77400 on april 24 2026 2pm et	1	$70	71	+71	open	—	04-24 17:53
bitcoin above 77400 on april 24 2026 1pm et	2	$60	61	+61	open	—	04-24 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$51	57	+57	open	—	04-24 21:04
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-27 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	5	$42	43	+43	open	—	05-02 07:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$30	33	+33	open	—	04-21 10:44
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3am et	2	$29	35	+35	open	—	04-22 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$22	24	+24	open	—	05-01 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-25 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$21	21	+21	Down	+$0	05-07 07:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-17 09:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-16 08:45
btc updown 5m 1776966900	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-23 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-06 08:09
btc updown 5m 1776966300	2	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-23 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$16	16	+16	Up	+$0	05-08 10:14
btc updown 5m 1777042200	2	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-24 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$15	16	+16	open	—	05-01 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$13	14	+14	open	—	04-27 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$12	12	+12	open	—	05-04 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$12	13	+13	open	—	04-27 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$12	12	+12	open	—	05-01 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-28 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$11	1,002	+1,002	open	—	05-02 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$11	12	+12	Up	+$1	05-05 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$11	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-08 12:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 15:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x367dc8…
05-10 17:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x235744…
05-09 13:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6f2cc5…
05-09 12:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc00917…
05-09 11:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6787d1…
05-09 10:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf7b24a…
05-09 09:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0a067…
05-09 09:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xec986b…
05-09 08:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1c05b0…
05-09 08:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0c2e5d…
05-08 15:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb21585…
05-08 15:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7faeef…
05-08 13:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x623403…
05-08 13:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7bdbf7…
05-08 12:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa441ba…
05-08 12:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3530ef…
05-08 12:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe4cc1c…
05-08 12:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x86ee8d…
05-08 12:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x820482…
05-08 12:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc1a057…
05-08 12:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x02355a…
05-08 10:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x327f4e…
05-08 10:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6783a3…
05-08 10:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c58e6…
05-08 10:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xea857d…
05-08 09:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xea28f7…
05-08 06:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb67509…
05-08 06:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0bad1c…
05-08 06:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f3915…
05-08 06:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0e8aa7…
05-08 06:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x33bc75…
05-08 06:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x897fa0…
05-08 06:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd48cfa…
05-08 06:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x121e9e…
05-08 06:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe8fe7f…
05-07 12:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x113e0d…
05-07 11:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa4f4e8…
05-07 11:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe384c8…
05-07 10:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xea6e93…
05-07 10:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x357662…
05-07 10:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd7877a…
05-07 09:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7171f9…
05-07 09:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x69e082…
05-07 07:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6c154c…
05-07 07:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x757346…
05-07 07:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb2340…
05-07 07:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x46126a…
05-06 13:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3b120…
05-06 11:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdc3ec9…
05-06 11:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x99e8be…
05-06 11:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05a9e6…
05-06 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x82cc18…
05-06 10:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0f0591…
05-06 10:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x32af98…
05-06 10:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0ad47f…
05-06 09:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3bd6e2…
05-06 08:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4b28ae…
05-06 08:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa8b436…
05-06 08:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x79e72c…
05-06 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe83ea3…
05-06 07:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e96e3…
05-05 12:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b1ac3…
05-05 12:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc19829…
05-05 10:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf12524…
05-05 10:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x039048…
05-05 09:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x273823…
05-05 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x16dd90…
05-05 07:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e78b2…
05-05 07:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77ada0…
05-05 07:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa7a085…
05-05 07:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x83bf58…
05-05 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3d5bda…
05-04 12:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa1a516…
05-04 11:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf5859e…
05-04 11:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa0f82b…
05-04 11:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x631e30…
05-04 11:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1d752b…
05-04 11:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xea7c03…
05-04 10:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x858823…
05-04 09:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x52e1e6…
05-04 07:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c21fe…
05-02 10:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5057c3…
05-02 10:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8ce911…
05-02 08:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x9c53c3…
05-02 08:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5111b7…
05-02 08:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdfd8a9…
05-02 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64c922…
05-02 08:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e8c3f…
05-02 08:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x321b99…
05-02 08:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x416253…
05-02 08:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3a688a…
05-02 08:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8f38d5…
05-02 07:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc0d932…
05-02 07:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd8d0a2…
05-02 07:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x023baa…
05-02 07:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xb6e688…
05-02 07:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9c541d…
05-02 07:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x1fd3c7…
05-02 07:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe90923…
05-02 07:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f66c9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	206	$195.0K	7,359	05-11 15:11
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	205	$76.0K	12,417	05-11 15:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	203	$72.1K	20,510	05-11 15:09
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	203	$70.9K	11,228	05-11 15:09
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	203	$67.6K	18,982	05-11 15:09
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	200	$48.0K	22,366	05-11 15:09
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	199	$137.6K	9,307	05-11 15:07
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	199	$42.2K	14,983	05-11 15:09