Rural-Ancestor — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

855 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$4.11K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-29 10:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 73% $0

Politics

22% 100% +$24

Other

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 7am et	3	$125	137	0	+137	Down	+$12	09-30 11:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	2	$123	135	0	+135	No	+$12	04-20 06:48
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-18 09:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	1	$95	99	0	+99	No	+$4	04-21 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5AM ET	3	$93	96	5	+91	Down	+$2	10-17 09:59
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	05-05 12:38
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	05-04 07:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	3	$71	73	0	+73	No	+$2	04-19 17:17
bitcoin above 77400 on april 24 2026 2pm et	1	$70	71	0	+71	Yes	+$1	04-24 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6AM ET	6	$64	72	0	+72	Up	+$8	10-01 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	4	$62	68	3	+65	Down	+$5	10-16 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5PM ET	4	$61	57	7	+51	Down	+$2	10-03 21:59
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 5am et	2	$60	62	0	+62	Down	+$2	09-28 09:38
bitcoin above 77400 on april 24 2026 1pm et	2	$60	61	0	+61	Yes	+$1	04-24 16:48
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 7am et	2	$55	63	0	+63	Up	+$8	09-28 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$51	57	0	+57	Up	-$51	04-24 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	2	$51	55	0	+55	Up	+$4	10-13 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10AM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	10-09 14:55
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-09 13:18
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-09 13:20
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 6am et	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	09-28 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 07:20 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	07-28 07:24
BNB Up or Down - October 9, 7AM ET	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	10-09 11:59
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-01 06:53
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-29 07:21
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-27 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	5	$42	43	0	+43	Down	+$1	05-02 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	13	$40	31	27	+5	Up	$0	10-24 20:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	04-21 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:20 UTC	2	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	07-29 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xcb8961…
10-29 10:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe1f2b3…
10-29 10:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x9423e5…
10-29 10:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x40f5ff…
10-29 09:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf9670f…
10-29 09:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4b3e77…
10-29 09:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x30c34b…
10-29 09:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x0daa9b…
10-29 09:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x9494b8…
10-29 09:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x87f976…
10-29 09:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x74994d…
10-29 09:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x391510…
10-29 09:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xe3fdc5…
10-29 09:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6d93da…
10-29 09:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9dc359…
10-29 09:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4d45b1…
10-29 09:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc6c276…
10-29 09:08:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0b6302…
10-29 09:07:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x723dc5…
10-29 09:05:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf5c857…
10-29 09:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xc6594d…
10-29 09:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0e4154…
10-29 09:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xef02fa…
10-29 09:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2f4c97…
10-29 08:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5295ce…
10-29 08:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfdecf7…
10-29 08:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd325f5…
10-29 06:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf8d911…
10-29 06:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x659559…
10-29 06:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x6c3b73…
10-29 06:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x514180…
10-29 06:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4f828f…
10-29 06:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xca755b…
10-29 06:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc5e1d6…
10-28 19:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x585e9b…
10-28 19:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x233b10…
10-28 19:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x020ac0…
10-28 19:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x102a98…
10-28 19:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x665c52…
10-28 19:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x30e17a…
10-28 19:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7460de…
10-28 19:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x89a048…
10-28 19:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x275e8c…
10-28 19:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x769f62…
10-28 19:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xc9fa36…
10-28 19:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x666d55…
10-28 19:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe4711a…
10-28 19:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4819c7…
10-28 19:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x736a96…
10-28 19:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x7fee23…
10-28 19:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x5a08a7…
10-28 19:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9c60e8…
10-28 19:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa125ac…
10-28 17:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xbd64c1…
10-28 17:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x223f15…
10-28 17:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0719df…
10-28 17:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4a6ceb…
10-28 17:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xba5713…
10-28 10:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x0dba2d…
10-28 10:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbb49af…
10-28 10:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1a2be0…
10-28 10:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x3e8c23…
10-28 10:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xaf5931…
10-28 09:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xffb6c3…
10-28 09:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x337297…
10-28 09:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe2e5fb…
10-28 09:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd5f4c7…
10-28 09:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa0ff3f…
10-27 20:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x74b305…
10-27 20:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x108021…
10-27 20:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd4ba33…
10-27 20:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2f581a…
10-27 20:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5a3d7c…
10-27 20:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xf91c55…
10-27 20:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xb9e391…
10-27 20:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbd441d…
10-27 20:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xdaa014…
10-27 20:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x36dc71…
10-27 20:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5f8716…
10-27 20:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xa16999…
10-27 20:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd8533f…
10-27 20:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6f925b…
10-27 20:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x979e8f…
10-27 20:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1a70e2…
10-27 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7e0f7e…
10-27 20:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xf44a22…
10-27 20:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc62e9d…
10-26 19:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x13407c…
10-26 19:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x10ee26…
10-26 19:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe04bb8…
10-26 19:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc807b0…
10-26 19:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x6a2d75…
10-26 19:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x386143…
10-26 19:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x24aa0f…
10-26 19:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8bc039…
10-26 19:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x496276…
10-26 19:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x623fe5…
10-26 19:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x117d43…
10-26 19:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xf5830a…
10-26 19:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x2a691f…