Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$499

Unrealized P&L

-$154

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$124

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-15

last 11-10 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

93% 75% +$529

Politics

7% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+604	$244	16¢	$94	-$151	11-10 21:05
will russia capture the royal cafe alex in kostyantynivka by november 30 2026	Yes	+336	$33	8¢	$27	-$6	10-17 15:16
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$2	84¢	$4	+$2	09-25 21:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	17	$3.3K	2,102	2,102	+0	No	+$116	07-20 16:18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	10	$774	1,149	0	+1,149	Yes	+$375	08-18 14:43
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	3	$343	198	198	+0	open	—	10-20 19:35
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	6	$246	609	0	+609	open	—	11-10 21:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	4	$191	1,191	1,191	+0	open	—	11-10 11:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$95	1,653	1,653	+0	No	-$14	10-24 13:45
will ukraine re enter hryshyne by july 31 20260604220043035	2	$78	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$16	07-22 20:01
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	3	$66	570	0	+570	No	-$66	10-17 15:14
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	2	$51	155	0	+155	Yes	+$104	08-14 21:03
will russia capture the royal cafe alex in kostyantynivka by november 30 2026	1	$33	336	0	+336	open	—	10-17 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 21:05:52	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0xc80b1b…
11-10 11:35:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,191	6¢	$71	0xfe0d85…
10-24 13:45:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,529	2¢	$37	0x6ee634…
10-21 16:25:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	3¢	$4	0x68ad7e…
10-20 19:46:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,653	3¢	$55	0xe08e82…
10-20 19:41:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x297395…
10-20 19:40:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x524c37…
10-20 19:40:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,135	10¢	$113	0x2b8a8d…
10-20 19:35:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	198	87¢	$172	0x140ead…
10-17 15:16:27	will russia capture the royal cafe alex in kostyantynivka by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	336	10¢	$33	0x4deebd…
10-17 15:14:26	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xe50fb4…
10-14 13:03:47	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	87¢	$130	0xf40890…
10-13 10:49:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xf0dbb4…
10-09 23:31:34	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xe83301…
10-01 17:47:12	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	46¢	$145	0x4cc49e…
09-29 07:19:59	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	42¢	$52	0xfa54b3…
09-26 14:19:41	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	13¢	$46	0xd26491…
09-25 22:02:51	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	13¢	$19	0x707a02…
09-25 22:00:23	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8b8c86…
09-25 21:52:18	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc298a4…
08-18 14:43:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xad1e12…
08-18 10:57:15	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x013077…
08-18 07:53:57	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xcd4fad…
08-18 06:31:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x3d8009…
08-18 02:03:13	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xad8aad…
08-17 19:45:12	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xd31d65…
08-17 18:59:37	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	52	62¢	$32	0x7232cf…
08-14 21:03:48	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb620e0…
08-14 20:46:03	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	545	70¢	$382	0xef0e45…
08-14 20:45:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x3a3f07…
08-10 02:41:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	198	71¢	$140	0x1f0a9f…
08-09 14:25:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x49f38c…
07-22 20:01:00	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by july 31 20260604220043035	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$31	0x92988c…
07-22 19:45:40	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by july 31 20260604220043035	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$47	0x258dd2…
07-20 16:18:28	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	2,102	82¢	$1,724	0x323ada…
07-19 13:50:51	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	116	79¢	$92	0xbe058d…
07-19 13:46:45	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x2fb52a…
07-19 13:23:51	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x679c97…
07-19 13:19:57	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x7217bb…
07-19 12:37:42	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb36361…
07-19 10:25:36	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xd46bb9…
07-19 08:48:31	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	205	79¢	$162	0x3db56b…
07-19 07:59:54	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	84	79¢	$67	0xf0c42a…
07-19 07:25:18	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x22bc6e…
07-19 06:58:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0a6859…
07-18 16:53:07	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xdae070…
07-18 16:50:15	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0xa74f0c…
07-18 14:17:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	177	76¢	$134	0x2ddc4f…
07-17 02:48:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	431	75¢	$323	0xd319dc…
07-17 02:45:13	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	626	75¢	$470	0x510d62…
07-15 10:41:01	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x1c3480…