Crazy-Storm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-14 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

96% — —

Other

3% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	07-14 16:26
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	94¢	$1	$-0	07-14 16:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl ott det 2026 03 24	8	$1.3K	2,528	0	+2,528	open	—	03-24 15:46
nba phi uta 2026 03 21	1	$756	2,223	0	+2,223	open	—	03-21 18:43
Will Rennes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	3	$11	5,633	5,633	+0	open	—	03-28 15:37
Will Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	2	$6	3,150	3,150	+0	open	—	03-28 15:37
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	3	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	07-14 16:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$5	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 23:09
Macron out by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 17:17
trump out as president by march 31	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 19:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 17:17
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-03 16:14
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 19:16
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 17:18
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 19:16
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-27 19:16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-03 16:14
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 19:17
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 17:20
highest temperature in paris on february 17 2026 6c	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-17 10:06
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-27 21:12
Will Danilo Barbosa da Silva be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-30 09:10
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-15 18:23
will the dhs shutdown end between february 16 19 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-17 10:06
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-15 18:19
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-27 21:12
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-30 09:09
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-30 09:07
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-17 10:05
Will Solana reach $100 May 25-31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-30 09:08
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-27 21:12
will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 28	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-21 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 16:28:14	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbaaeae…
07-14 16:26:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x907f35…
07-14 16:26:22	greece x turkey military engagement by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5fbc8a…
07-03 16:14:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb0b5e1…
07-03 16:14:22	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf05a15…
07-03 16:14:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7e3e89…
06-28 10:35:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x72411e…
06-28 10:35:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x01a99d…
06-28 10:34:46	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x611390…
06-08 17:20:51	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x284fcd…
06-08 17:18:04	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x77ab37…
06-08 17:17:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5848c2…
06-08 17:17:48	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x281fc8…
05-30 09:11:49	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd26550…
05-30 09:11:08	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c94f0…
05-30 09:10:35	Will Danilo Barbosa da Silva be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0cecd7…
05-30 09:09:55	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xabbb03…
05-30 09:08:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x62d867…
05-30 09:08:19	Will Solana reach $100 May 25-31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae157c…
05-30 09:07:59	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x06056a…
05-30 09:07:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb5e292…
05-15 23:09:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x023f18…
05-07 16:52:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe19e1f…
04-15 18:24:10	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0470cf…
04-15 18:23:56	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xeba51d…
04-15 18:20:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x660b2b…
04-15 18:19:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xeabf95…
03-28 15:37:27	Will Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	SELL	3,150	0¢	$3	0x1250e0…
03-28 15:37:17	Will Rennes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	SELL	2,333	0¢	$2	0x3446a0…
03-28 15:36:19	Will Rennes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	SELL	3,300	0¢	$3	0x7996e4…
03-28 12:29:49	Will Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	3,150	0¢	$3	0x1d9aa4…
03-28 12:29:31	Will Rennes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5,633	0¢	$6	0x3a4909…
03-27 19:17:03	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6cbd43…
03-27 19:16:59	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x93ae20…
03-27 19:16:53	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x737da8…
03-27 19:16:47	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x19fff4…
03-27 19:16:39	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbc75c2…
03-24 15:46:59	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Red Wings	BUY	318	53¢	$168	0x70868c…
03-24 15:46:41	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Red Wings	BUY	1,074	53¢	$569	0x2cd119…
03-24 15:46:15	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Red Wings	BUY	1,075	53¢	$570	0xa4b50f…
03-24 15:45:59	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Red Wings	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x057805…
03-24 15:45:57	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Red Wings	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x734e37…
03-24 15:45:57	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Red Wings	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0x275143…
03-24 15:45:29	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Red Wings	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xc95cf2…
03-24 15:45:19	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Red Wings	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0x60aa1f…
03-24 13:14:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4c88a8…
03-21 18:43:05	nba phi uta 2026 03 21	Jazz	BUY	2,223	34¢	$756	0x0075db…
03-21 15:31:39	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9303df…
03-21 15:31:15	will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 28	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70f9b0…
03-21 15:30:41	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x25daf9…
03-21 15:30:19	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x19e53a…
03-21 15:29:57	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x38dc68…
02-17 10:06:29	highest temperature in paris on february 17 2026 6c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1556fb…
02-17 10:06:05	will the dhs shutdown end between february 16 19 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xae118d…
02-17 10:05:47	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5f576…
02-17 10:05:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdc65c2…
02-17 10:05:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb3399…
01-27 21:12:45	will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x173f63…
01-27 21:12:31	will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf2a9f8…
01-27 21:12:25	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa75366…
01-27 21:12:05	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd90f8…
01-27 21:11:59	will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd4e28a…
01-27 21:11:53	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe81394…
01-27 21:11:43	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x204fb4…