Dishonest-Isolation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

987

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 08-22 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

81% 50% $-15

Other

18% 100% +$0

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$51	79	79	+0	open	—	04-07 20:40
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	7	$39	48	21	+27	open	—	04-07 22:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	26	$37	214	148	+67	open	—	05-13 21:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	71	$37	29	123	-94	open	—	06-19 21:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$34	81	70	+11	open	—	04-07 22:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	21	$34	27	27	+0	open	—	04-21 19:50
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	62	$33	69	69	+0	open	—	08-07 17:34
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	8	$33	19	19	+0	open	—	04-27 14:46
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	6	$33	24	18	+6	open	—	04-21 16:34
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	4	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	04-12 19:46
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	4	$32	58	58	+0	open	—	06-23 09:07
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	5	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	06-24 19:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$30	27	16	+11	open	—	04-07 22:34
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	10	$30	23	23	+0	open	—	04-10 21:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	6	$29	278	48	+230	open	—	04-08 02:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	36	$27	83	78	+6	open	—	04-21 15:30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	18	$27	23	23	+0	open	—	04-13 00:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	3	$23	12	18	-6	open	—	06-17 15:17
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	23	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-15 18:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	31	$22	29	29	+0	open	—	05-24 20:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	4	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	08-06 16:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	68	$21	153	141	+11	open	—	06-14 21:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	4	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	06-07 04:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	13	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 00:16
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-08 01:54
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	99	0	+99	open	—	04-07 21:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	38	$20	122	101	+21	open	—	05-05 17:44
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	8	$18	13	10	+3	open	—	04-21 20:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	16	$16	11	6	+5	open	—	05-31 12:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$15	2,667	0	+2,667	open	—	04-06 21:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 12:29:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xb0e484…
08-17 19:34:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x18aef1…
08-17 16:41:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x870990…
08-17 14:42:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xeab5d3…
08-17 10:44:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x54befe…
08-17 10:28:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x0751b7…
08-17 10:26:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x2f47ea…
08-17 08:06:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xcd41e1…
08-12 23:20:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x5b0efa…
08-12 18:05:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa79f1e…
08-10 01:23:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xee040f…
08-10 00:17:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x68d901…
08-10 00:10:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1fba4f…
08-10 00:10:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0ee6e9…
08-10 00:06:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc8f472…
08-09 23:48:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x792153…
08-09 23:40:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb46c2f…
08-09 23:40:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x597292…
08-09 23:38:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x74dc23…
08-09 23:05:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd77bbe…
08-09 22:40:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5e2074…
08-08 03:21:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x750052…
08-08 02:45:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x8aa6fc…
08-08 01:20:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x287d17…
08-08 00:51:33	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3572ce…
08-08 00:37:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xdf2265…
08-07 23:15:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x443115…
08-07 19:00:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xb55c53…
08-07 18:39:58	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xfe9412…
08-07 18:24:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x8f54d2…
08-07 17:55:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x00b265…
08-07 17:55:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x574293…
08-07 17:52:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x8cc609…
08-07 17:51:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xfae8af…
08-07 17:51:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x5d874c…
08-07 17:51:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x53ad49…
08-07 17:48:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x076f4f…
08-07 17:34:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x3ff744…
08-07 17:25:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xd70d1a…
08-06 21:02:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x59878c…
08-06 21:02:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x560561…
08-06 21:00:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xeb388a…
08-06 17:24:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x494b3d…
08-06 16:16:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc5728e…
08-06 16:10:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0x37d402…
08-05 20:04:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5ed617…
08-05 19:24:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$0	0x3925c7…
08-04 11:46:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x2869bc…
08-04 01:02:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x391ad6…
08-03 23:04:24	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x22f551…
08-02 02:14:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xde6e8f…
08-02 02:13:47	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x28521e…
08-02 01:58:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfc63cf…
08-02 01:28:26	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x29c182…
08-01 12:40:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9f44a1…
07-31 14:03:24	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xe6b737…
07-30 20:21:18	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x2e82ae…
07-29 23:10:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xddcf94…
07-29 23:10:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xc48b3a…
07-29 21:53:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x1482e9…
07-29 21:51:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xc6a7ea…
07-29 21:51:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x4c3685…
07-29 21:51:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xf19ba9…
07-29 21:51:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xed7e63…
07-29 21:51:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xac46a1…
07-29 21:51:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xceab07…
07-29 21:51:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xf577e4…
07-29 21:51:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xe42310…
07-29 21:51:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x574a5a…
07-29 21:51:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xa8c23b…
07-29 21:51:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xc372c6…
07-29 21:51:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xee6024…
07-29 21:51:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x09c134…
07-29 21:51:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x4f8497…
07-29 21:51:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x89678a…
07-29 21:51:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x86bba4…
07-29 21:50:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x56470a…
07-29 19:42:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xdb1d3e…
07-29 19:41:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x241208…
07-29 19:39:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x105b2c…
07-29 19:38:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x76791e…
07-29 19:38:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x13bfec…
07-29 19:38:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xceac5a…
07-29 19:38:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x725569…
07-29 19:36:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x163de0…
07-29 18:35:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xd9f25c…
07-29 14:20:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x28edfb…
07-29 14:08:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xd56b78…
07-29 14:08:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x111a27…
07-29 13:58:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x36bb37…
07-29 13:58:08	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x25cd96…
07-29 13:48:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x5cd203…
07-29 13:38:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xc26d1c…
07-29 13:35:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xf0a9f8…
07-29 13:33:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xc56678…
07-29 13:33:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x4d3f1b…
07-29 13:33:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xfad28a…
07-29 13:33:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xe8881a…
07-29 13:33:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x1305be…
07-29 13:33:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xcef710…