Miniature-Management — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

122

Trades

324

lifetime

Volume

$2.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 08-09 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 47% -$56

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	6	$94	76	76	+0	Up	+$14	07-27 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 23:00 UTC	7	$80	90	89	+1	Down	+$27	03-26 23:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 08:30 UTC	8	$78	85	85	+0	Down	+$22	03-30 08:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:15 UTC	8	$74	56	55	+1	Down	+$15	03-30 13:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 10:15 UTC	2	$56	43	43	+1	Down	+$17	03-30 10:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:30 UTC	2	$56	41	40	+1	Down	+$17	03-30 11:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 22:45 UTC	5	$53	54	38	+16	Up	+$4	03-26 22:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 00:00 UTC	1	$50	308	0	+308	Down	-$50	04-01 00:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 09:30 UTC	5	$48	38	38	+1	Up	+$13	03-30 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	5	$42	31	31	+0	Up	+$18	05-04 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$41	29	29	+0	Down	+$13	05-11 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$40	30	30	+0	Up	+$20	05-04 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	3	$39	30	27	+3	Down	+$9	03-30 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$39	88	0	+88	Up	-$39	05-04 20:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 09:45 UTC	5	$38	34	33	+1	Down	+$7	03-30 09:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:45 UTC	3	$37	113	0	+113	Down	-$37	03-31 23:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 01:00 UTC	5	$36	64	30	+35	Up	+$6	03-27 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 01:45 UTC	6	$35	180	20	+160	Up	-$7	03-27 01:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:30 UTC	2	$34	26	25	+0	Down	+$15	03-30 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:00 UTC	5	$33	24	24	+0	Down	+$7	03-30 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 02:15 UTC	1	$33	73	0	+73	Down	-$33	03-27 02:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 07:30 UTC	7	$32	27	26	+0	Down	+$9	03-30 07:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 00:30 UTC	5	$32	38	38	+0	Down	+$11	03-27 00:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 08:00 UTC	3	$31	33	22	+10	Up	+$9	03-30 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$30	21	21	+0	Down	+$10	05-04 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 21:15 UTC	2	$30	29	28	+0	Up	+$10	03-26 21:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	2	$28	20	20	+0	Down	+$7	03-30 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 17:30 UTC	5	$28	42	33	+9	Up	+$8	04-09 17:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 20:30 UTC	2	$27	19	18	+1	Up	+$9	03-31 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:30 UTC	2	$26	20	19	+1	Up	+$11	03-31 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 14:47:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8ef775…
08-09 14:47:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe48420…
08-09 14:47:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xca1d25…
08-09 14:47:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb63a5f…
08-09 14:47:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcbce0c…
08-09 14:47:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x56bc10…
08-09 14:47:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x140c8b…
08-09 14:41:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x5d7190…
08-09 14:30:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfc990c…
08-09 14:30:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd7c3b3…
08-09 14:30:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x802fba…
08-09 14:22:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe45f05…
08-09 14:17:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x53dfdc…
08-09 14:12:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xab68aa…
07-27 14:10:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x9ac195…
07-27 14:10:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1eb07a…
07-27 14:08:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x3007b7…
07-27 14:07:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8b1c8e…
07-27 14:05:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	49	71¢	$35	0x97b48b…
07-27 13:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xec7421…
07-24 00:38:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x68b8db…
07-24 00:38:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4aff9a…
07-24 00:38:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x347867…
07-24 00:36:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xb250ab…
07-24 00:33:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcfb839…
07-24 00:33:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4f1606…
07-24 00:27:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x8fd508…
07-24 00:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1181e8…
07-24 00:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x0d508c…
07-24 00:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8424b1…
07-14 19:19:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x7b08da…
07-14 19:16:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x74671f…
07-14 19:16:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x49f6f7…
07-14 19:16:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x274617…
05-14 23:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9f749e…
05-14 23:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x59a08e…
05-14 22:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x73dd38…
05-14 22:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x456266…
05-14 22:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3b73ba…
05-14 22:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x79f2e8…
05-14 22:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x0fe43d…
05-14 22:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x109d54…
05-14 22:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x5e46ee…
05-14 22:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2e8258…
05-14 22:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf54ab3…
05-11 21:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xa7a6ce…
05-11 21:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	29	91¢	$27	0x461736…
05-11 21:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0x084d48…
05-11 21:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfcae13…
05-11 21:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0x6756d0…
05-11 21:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xa3117a…
05-04 20:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	88	44¢	$39	0x204013…
05-04 20:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x983ca4…
05-04 20:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x607c94…
05-04 20:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xd5978a…
05-04 20:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x085064…
05-04 20:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x8a9e96…
05-04 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf1577e…
05-04 19:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0xeb7e97…
05-04 19:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd2a2a7…
05-04 19:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xbf85de…
05-04 19:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x4ba388…
05-04 19:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x03608a…
05-04 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x110067…
05-04 19:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe555f4…
04-29 21:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x338f43…
04-29 21:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4cfae0…
04-29 21:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb78d77…
04-29 21:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x853648…
04-29 21:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x39b6fa…
04-09 18:17:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x852a8d…
04-09 18:14:51	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x54f889…
04-09 18:14:43	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	166	2¢	$4	0x15ccd1…
04-09 18:01:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	31¢	$13	0x2fe14a…
04-09 17:50:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xd75a63…
04-09 17:44:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb0523b…
04-09 17:41:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x54a78c…
04-09 17:36:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0x616d96…
04-09 17:33:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x74ae33…
04-09 17:33:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xdc1d33…
04-09 17:25:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5d1bb3…
04-09 17:21:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x79f2e6…
04-09 17:19:51	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf90a90…
04-09 17:19:11	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0xafbead…
04-01 00:01:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	308	16¢	$50	0xe6e6ca…
03-31 23:46:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x61b240…
03-31 23:45:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x3f7ab2…
03-31 23:45:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc85a17…
03-31 23:33:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0xf61f33…
03-31 23:33:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xca4882…
03-31 23:25:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0xa5d370…
03-31 23:13:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xf8813f…
03-31 23:09:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x1ed5d5…
03-31 23:01:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xdd42f3…
03-31 22:58:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	21	83¢	$18	0x2992e0…
03-31 22:49:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xb96b0d…
03-31 22:43:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0x874a43…
03-31 22:30:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xe44d02…
03-31 22:27:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x12579f…
03-31 22:26:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0xd5663d…