Miniature-Management — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$2.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-14 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% $-34

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774566000	7	$80	90	89	+1	open	—	03-26 23:08
btc updown 15m 1774859400	8	$78	85	85	+0	open	—	03-30 08:42
btc updown 15m 1774876500	8	$74	56	55	+1	open	—	03-30 13:31
btc updown 15m 1774865700	2	$56	43	43	+1	open	—	03-30 10:28
btc updown 15m 1774870200	2	$56	41	40	+1	open	—	03-30 11:38
btc updown 15m 1774565100	5	$53	54	38	+16	open	—	03-26 22:52
btc updown 15m 1775001600	1	$50	308	0	+308	open	—	04-01 00:01
btc updown 15m 1774863000	5	$48	38	38	+1	open	—	03-30 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	5	$42	31	31	+0	open	—	05-04 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$41	29	29	+0	Down	+$13	05-11 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$40	30	30	+0	Up	+$20	05-04 20:14
btc updown 15m 1774885500	3	$39	30	27	+3	open	—	03-30 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$39	88	0	+88	Up	$-39	05-04 20:46
btc updown 15m 1774863900	5	$38	34	33	+1	open	—	03-30 09:55
btc updown 15m 1775000700	3	$37	113	0	+113	open	—	03-31 23:46
btc updown 15m 1774573200	5	$36	64	30	+35	open	—	03-27 01:12
btc updown 15m 1774575900	6	$35	180	20	+160	open	—	03-27 01:56
btc updown 15m 1774877400	2	$34	26	25	+0	open	—	03-30 13:42
btc updown 15m 1774882800	5	$33	24	24	+0	open	—	03-30 15:07
btc updown 15m 1774577700	1	$33	73	0	+73	open	—	03-27 02:15
btc updown 15m 1774855800	7	$32	27	26	+0	open	—	03-30 07:45
btc updown 15m 1774571400	5	$32	38	38	+0	open	—	03-27 00:40
btc updown 15m 1774857600	3	$31	33	22	+10	open	—	03-30 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$30	21	21	+0	Down	+$10	05-04 20:20
btc updown 5m 1774559700	2	$30	29	28	+0	open	—	03-26 21:18
btc updown 15m 1774883700	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	03-30 15:29
btc updown 15m 1775755800	5	$28	42	33	+9	open	—	04-09 17:41
btc updown 15m 1774989000	2	$27	19	18	+1	open	—	03-31 20:43
btc updown 15m 1774996200	2	$26	20	19	+1	open	—	03-31 22:43
btc updown 15m 1774854900	5	$26	26	20	+7	open	—	03-30 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 23:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9f749e…
05-14 23:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x59a08e…
05-14 22:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x73dd38…
05-14 22:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x456266…
05-14 22:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3b73ba…
05-14 22:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x79f2e8…
05-14 22:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x0fe43d…
05-14 22:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x109d54…
05-14 22:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x5e46ee…
05-14 22:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2e8258…
05-14 22:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf54ab3…
05-11 21:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xa7a6ce…
05-11 21:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	29	91¢	$27	0x461736…
05-11 21:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0x084d48…
05-11 21:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfcae13…
05-11 21:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0x6756d0…
05-11 21:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xa3117a…
05-04 20:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	88	44¢	$39	0x204013…
05-04 20:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x983ca4…
05-04 20:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x607c94…
05-04 20:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xd5978a…
05-04 20:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x085064…
05-04 20:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x8a9e96…
05-04 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf1577e…
05-04 19:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0xeb7e97…
05-04 19:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd2a2a7…
05-04 19:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xbf85de…
05-04 19:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x4ba388…
05-04 19:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x03608a…
05-04 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x110067…
05-04 19:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe555f4…
04-29 21:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x338f43…
04-29 21:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4cfae0…
04-29 21:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb78d77…
04-29 21:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x853648…
04-29 21:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x39b6fa…
04-09 18:17:19	btc updown 15m 1775758500	Down	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x852a8d…
04-09 18:14:51	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x54f889…
04-09 18:14:43	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	166	2¢	$4	0x15ccd1…
04-09 18:01:15	btc updown 15m 1775757600	Up	BUY	40	31¢	$13	0x2fe14a…
04-09 17:50:19	btc updown 15m 1775756700	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xd75a63…
04-09 17:44:07	btc updown 15m 1775756700	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb0523b…
04-09 17:41:57	btc updown 15m 1775755800	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x54a78c…
04-09 17:36:57	btc updown 15m 1775755800	Up	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0x616d96…
04-09 17:33:25	btc updown 15m 1775755800	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x74ae33…
04-09 17:33:19	btc updown 15m 1775755800	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xdc1d33…
04-09 17:25:33	btc updown 15m 1775755800	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5d1bb3…
04-09 17:21:19	btc updown 15m 1775754900	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x79f2e6…
04-09 17:19:51	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf90a90…
04-09 17:19:11	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0xafbead…
04-01 00:01:13	btc updown 15m 1775001600	Up	BUY	308	16¢	$50	0xe6e6ca…
03-31 23:46:39	btc updown 15m 1775000700	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x61b240…
03-31 23:45:21	btc updown 15m 1775000700	Up	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x3f7ab2…
03-31 23:45:09	btc updown 15m 1775000700	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc85a17…
03-31 23:33:35	btc updown 15m 1774999800	Down	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0xf61f33…
03-31 23:33:35	btc updown 15m 1774999800	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xca4882…
03-31 23:25:33	btc updown 15m 1774998900	Up	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0xa5d370…
03-31 23:13:25	btc updown 15m 1774998900	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xf8813f…
03-31 23:09:31	btc updown 15m 1774998000	Up	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x1ed5d5…
03-31 23:01:05	btc updown 15m 1774998000	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xdd42f3…
03-31 22:58:51	btc updown 15m 1774997100	Up	SELL	21	83¢	$18	0x2992e0…
03-31 22:49:25	btc updown 15m 1774997100	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xb96b0d…
03-31 22:43:31	btc updown 15m 1774996200	Up	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0x874a43…
03-31 22:30:57	btc updown 15m 1774996200	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xe44d02…
03-31 22:27:27	btc updown 15m 1774995300	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x12579f…
03-31 22:26:05	btc updown 15m 1774995300	Down	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0xd5663d…
03-31 22:21:25	btc updown 15m 1774995300	Down	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x15c15c…
03-31 21:58:37	btc updown 15m 1774994400	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x45c89e…
03-31 21:14:03	btc updown 15m 1774991700	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x6579e3…
03-31 21:02:17	btc updown 15m 1774990800	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x47117f…
03-31 21:01:21	btc updown 15m 1774990800	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6e58ce…
03-31 20:55:41	btc updown 15m 1774990800	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x588c1d…
03-31 20:53:41	btc updown 15m 1774989900	Up	SELL	16	95¢	$16	0xfab53a…
03-31 20:44:35	btc updown 15m 1774989900	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x14611b…
03-31 20:43:05	btc updown 15m 1774989000	Up	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xef86b2…
03-31 20:29:59	btc updown 15m 1774989000	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xdf9ea7…
03-31 20:23:47	btc updown 15m 1774988100	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb5a079…
03-31 20:23:39	btc updown 15m 1774988100	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6b0235…
03-31 20:19:33	btc updown 15m 1774988100	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb2dbdb…
03-31 20:19:33	btc updown 15m 1774988100	Up	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x948e33…
03-31 20:10:23	btc updown 15m 1774988100	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa8ecbf…
03-30 15:55:33	btc updown 15m 1774885500	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xddc9c5…
03-30 15:55:33	btc updown 15m 1774885500	Down	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x61d86c…
03-30 15:44:01	btc updown 15m 1774885500	Down	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x7af01e…
03-30 15:29:17	btc updown 15m 1774883700	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xadcc38…
03-30 15:14:39	btc updown 15m 1774883700	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa3e16a…
03-30 15:07:27	btc updown 15m 1774882800	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3e72a1…
03-30 15:07:27	btc updown 15m 1774882800	Down	SELL	23	85¢	$19	0x092750…
03-30 14:59:45	btc updown 15m 1774882800	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x017361…
03-30 14:59:41	btc updown 15m 1774882800	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf2f9be…
03-30 14:59:03	btc updown 15m 1774882800	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x6d458c…
03-30 14:56:17	btc updown 15m 1774881900	Down	BUY	369	0¢	$1	0xc1d088…
03-30 13:42:19	btc updown 15m 1774877400	Down	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x4c2354…
03-30 13:32:27	btc updown 15m 1774877400	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x69f114…
03-30 13:31:29	btc updown 15m 1774876500	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3ec169…
03-30 13:29:39	btc updown 15m 1774876500	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xea7dfb…
03-30 13:29:39	btc updown 15m 1774876500	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xea6343…
03-30 13:29:39	btc updown 15m 1774876500	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xdbf946…
03-30 13:29:39	btc updown 15m 1774876500	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x5ad5f2…
03-30 13:29:39	btc updown 15m 1774876500	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x28c42f…