Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.87K

Unrealized P&L

-$162

Hit rate

82.5%

Resolved

Trades

671

lifetime

Volume

$65.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$8.28K

18 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-29 05:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

52% 43% +$1,882

Politics

39% 76% +$5,902

Tech

8% 33% +$2,293

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

1% 0% -$209

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	-2,000	-$1,951	99¢	$-1982	-$31	08-17 10:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,271	98¢	$2.0K	+$689	09-14 18:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+1,000	$790	100¢	$996	+$206	09-11 12:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-1,000	-$950	97¢	$-966	-$16	08-17 10:38
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	-1,000	-$916	94¢	$-941	-$25	08-17 10:38
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+2,000	$320	14¢	$270	-$50	09-02 08:13
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	+403	$250	65¢	$262	+$12	10-25 13:54
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	+385	$250	68¢	$260	+$10	10-25 13:54
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+180	$29	88¢	$158	+$129	10-06 13:35
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+500	$130	30¢	$148	+$18	10-16 19:52
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+500	$135	30¢	$147	+$12	10-06 08:02
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+71	$10	86¢	$61	+$51	10-10 07:17
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	+6,129	$513	1¢	$46	-$467	10-25 18:07
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	+1,000	$80	4¢	$41	-$39	08-26 11:54
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	+862	$397	2¢	$22	-$375	09-25 12:46
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+500	$195	2¢	$11	-$184	10-04 18:20
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	+1,000	$60	0¢	$5	-$56	09-02 08:14
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	No	+110	$48	2¢	$2	-$47	10-04 12:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	41	$9.1K	5,170	5,170	+0	No	+$1,207	09-02 08:09
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	14	$4.3K	6,612	0	+6,612	No	+$2,314	09-11 21:55
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	6	$2.3K	1,381	1,381	+0	No	+$326	08-17 18:15
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	1	$2.0K	0	2,000	-2,000	open	—	08-17 10:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 19:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$1.5K	3,172	0	+3,172	No	+$1,672	06-19 09:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	6	$1.3K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	09-14 18:01
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 24 2026	9	$1.2K	1,173	1,173	+0	No	+$676	10-21 13:24
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	11	$1.2K	894	894	+0	open	—	10-25 13:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	17	$1.0K	762	762	+0	No	+$315	10-21 13:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$950	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	08-17 10:38
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	1	$916	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	08-17 10:38
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	3	$824	500	500	+0	No	+$174	10-19 16:07
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	3	$820	500	500	+0	open	—	10-28 18:00
khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	7	$800	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$200	02-28 20:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	1	$790	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	09-11 12:35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?	1	$737	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$264	09-09 18:50
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	1	$720	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$280	01-14 03:21
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	6	$714	769	769	+0	Yes	-$286	10-20 11:37
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	2	$680	500	500	+0	open	—	10-19 16:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$660	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$340	04-26 15:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	3	$646	482	482	+0	open	—	10-25 13:05
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	9	$640	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-19 16:18
hamilton flips marshall for kansas senate by november 2	2	$608	428	428	+0	open	—	10-25 13:05
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	2	$600	500	500	+0	open	—	10-25 13:05
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	4	$600	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$1,400	08-19 17:55
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	2	$587	403	403	+0	open	—	10-25 13:05
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	3	$549	446	446	+0	No	+$49	10-25 11:14
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	5	$540	622	622	+0	open	—	10-25 11:15
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	4	$531	423	423	+0	open	—	10-25 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:14:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	447	66¢	$295	0xb76bf8…
10-29 05:14:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	454	65¢	$295	0x37d93e…
10-29 01:11:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 60%-65%?	No	BUY	341	63¢	$215	0x722143…
10-28 23:36:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	160	67¢	$107	0x9d5680…
10-28 23:31:01	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x0215a1…
10-28 23:13:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	219	63¢	$138	0x7fc057…
10-28 18:00:05	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$49	0xbe32d1…
10-28 17:54:49	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	446	93¢	$415	0x6feb2e…
10-28 13:48:38	Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0x4cefb2…
10-28 05:13:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	428	69¢	$295	0xa9a9d0…
10-27 16:42:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	216	55¢	$119	0x868b1f…
10-27 16:41:17	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xec6f51…
10-27 16:41:17	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x585944…
10-27 16:41:17	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	125	55¢	$69	0x0ab036…
10-27 16:03:29	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xe09814…
10-27 16:03:29	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x08a891…
10-27 09:17:17	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x273a3f…
10-27 09:09:03	Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	125	19¢	$24	0x7378e1…
10-27 02:54:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 80%-85%?	No	BUY	110	65¢	$71	0xb08392…
10-26 23:27:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 80%-85%?	No	BUY	172	65¢	$112	0x30e998…
10-26 18:47:23	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xdb0437…
10-26 18:32:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	19	55¢	$11	0xe069b7…
10-26 17:41:09	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	375	53¢	$199	0x6d0043…
10-26 17:21:17	Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	546	16¢	$87	0xc29bf9…
10-26 17:21:08	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	761	23¢	$175	0xcd7240…
10-26 17:21:08	Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	51	16¢	$8	0x75688b…
10-26 12:29:00	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x7a8a0f…
10-26 12:21:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xa46a2f…
10-26 12:21:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	349	65¢	$227	0xc73bb4…
10-26 12:21:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	236	74¢	$175	0xb027d0…
10-26 12:21:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?	No	BUY	404	73¢	$295	0xaee5af…
10-26 12:21:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	231	61¢	$141	0x5b375a…
10-26 08:29:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x148923…
10-26 08:29:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	106	2¢	$2	0x1c983a…
10-26 08:29:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	603	2¢	$12	0x0f7737…
10-26 08:29:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	248	2¢	$5	0xd710c8…
10-26 08:29:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	806	2¢	$16	0x509250…
10-26 08:29:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1,515	2¢	$37	0x4c36ee…
10-26 05:23:38	Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2?	No	SELL	315	55¢	$173	0x161162…
10-26 04:57:23	Will Peggy Flanagan run 3 to 6 points behind Amy Klobuchar?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x06ac5b…
10-26 03:11:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3,278	9¢	$282	0xdfde65…
10-26 01:06:33	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x02a816…
10-26 01:03:50	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xb595f6…
10-26 00:41:42	Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xeb4657…
10-25 23:39:29	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xc88a1d…
10-25 23:35:26	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0xda501a…
10-25 23:35:26	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	47	33¢	$15	0x8c1880…
10-25 23:35:21	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	152	33¢	$50	0xa8a40f…
10-25 23:35:21	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	146	33¢	$48	0x764360…
10-25 23:35:20	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	146	33¢	$48	0xda12b8…
10-25 23:35:20	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	209	33¢	$69	0x0826d6…
10-25 23:08:48	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0xc9aae2…
10-25 23:05:53	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	635	30¢	$190	0x98f39a…
10-25 19:25:57	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0xd7a129…
10-25 19:23:51	Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xc44aa6…
10-25 18:07:14	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	No	BUY	3,178	7¢	$218	0xb7c6d9…
10-25 18:07:14	Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1,094	16¢	$175	0x37a3d5…
10-25 18:07:14	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x07ef8e…
10-25 17:13:50	Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	370	35¢	$129	0xf0df85…
10-25 15:57:26	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x39ecba…
10-25 15:02:48	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	500	30¢	$150	0x114efb…
10-25 13:54:38	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	385	65¢	$250	0xdf32b2…
10-25 13:54:35	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	403	62¢	$250	0x2673cd…
10-25 13:05:41	Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x745563…
10-25 13:05:36	Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xa59610…
10-25 13:05:29	Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x6c2b43…
10-25 13:05:26	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	894	77¢	$689	0x34eea7…
10-25 13:05:24	Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?	No	SELL	428	71¢	$304	0x870957…
10-25 13:05:24	Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	SELL	500	50¢	$250	0x07d470…
10-25 13:05:23	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	403	83¢	$337	0xf815a9…
10-25 13:05:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	423	69¢	$292	0xf0b225…
10-25 13:05:23	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	482	77¢	$371	0xe7fc3d…
10-25 13:05:23	Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x8dff5a…
10-25 13:05:23	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	205	56¢	$114	0x8bac10…
10-25 13:05:23	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	102	55¢	$56	0x0ef7c5…
10-25 13:05:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	45	66¢	$30	0x0b9369…
10-25 13:05:23	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x02ea49…
10-25 13:05:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?	No	SELL	297	53¢	$156	0x965b6f…
10-25 13:05:21	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	95	55¢	$52	0x61f8ea…
10-25 13:05:21	Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	53¢	$77	0x0f5b29…
10-25 13:05:20	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	68	82¢	$56	0xa27d29…
10-25 13:05:20	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?	No	SELL	86	51¢	$44	0x01aeb1…
10-25 12:35:57	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	102	23¢	$23	0x163aed…
10-25 12:35:51	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	221	23¢	$51	0xe69db9…
10-25 12:09:41	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x7fe5e9…
10-25 12:09:35	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x3dd656…
10-25 11:15:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xd1da53…
10-25 11:15:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	78	40¢	$31	0xc3e046…
10-25 11:15:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	544	48¢	$262	0x9e46d5…
10-25 11:14:57	Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	SELL	386	67¢	$257	0xddc074…
10-25 11:03:56	Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1,562	16¢	$250	0x677c40…
10-25 11:02:02	Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0xf4b21f…
10-25 09:45:27	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x94bd4a…
10-25 09:45:21	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x98cff5…
10-25 09:45:15	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xcb024d…
10-25 09:45:09	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x534bd1…
10-25 09:41:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	24	52¢	$12	0xd534c9…
10-25 09:41:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	402	52¢	$209	0xa54e3d…
10-25 09:41:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	74	53¢	$39	0x0755e2…
10-25 09:35:32	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x218592…