Useless-Yak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

171

Trades

2,105

lifetime

Volume

$65.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-08 22:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 70% $-106

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No		+15	$1	9¢	$1	+$0	06-08 22:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$308	500	500	+0	open	—	03-03 14:54
btc updown 15m 1770399000	2	$271	149	148	+1	open	—	02-06 17:44
btc updown 15m 1769663700	4	$234	124	124	+0	open	—	01-29 05:28
btc updown 15m 1769634000	3	$233	192	114	+78	open	—	01-28 21:14
btc updown 15m 1769636700	3	$217	176	100	+76	open	—	01-28 22:00
btc updown 15m 1768978800	12	$215	1,584	300	+1,284	open	—	01-21 07:12
btc updown 15m 1769642100	3	$202	159	103	+56	open	—	01-28 23:29
btc updown 15m 1774138500	2	$154	88	87	+1	open	—	03-22 00:29
btc updown 15m 1774109700	2	$153	86	85	+1	open	—	03-21 16:28
btc updown 15m 1774224000	2	$152	85	84	+1	open	—	03-23 00:12
btc updown 15m 1774111500	2	$151	84	84	+1	open	—	03-21 16:59
btc updown 15m 1774228500	2	$151	84	83	+1	open	—	03-23 01:26
btc updown 15m 1774202400	2	$151	84	83	+1	open	—	03-22 18:14
btc updown 15m 1774135800	2	$150	84	83	+0	open	—	03-21 23:43
btc updown 15m 1774121400	2	$150	83	83	+0	open	—	03-21 19:40
btc updown 15m 1774060200	2	$150	83	83	+0	open	—	03-21 02:44
btc updown 15m 1774146600	2	$150	83	82	+0	open	—	03-22 02:42
btc updown 15m 1774171800	2	$150	83	82	+0	open	—	03-22 09:41
btc updown 15m 1774112400	2	$149	82	82	+0	open	—	03-21 17:14
btc updown 15m 1774119600	2	$149	82	82	+0	open	—	03-21 19:14
btc updown 15m 1774139400	2	$148	81	81	+0	open	—	03-22 00:43
btc updown 15m 1774155600	2	$146	79	79	+0	open	—	03-22 05:10
btc updown 15m 1774101600	2	$145	78	78	+0	open	—	03-21 14:10
btc updown 15m 1774205100	2	$145	78	78	+0	open	—	03-22 18:58
btc updown 15m 1774219500	2	$145	78	77	+0	open	—	03-22 22:57
btc updown 15m 1774117800	2	$144	76	76	+0	open	—	03-21 18:42
btc updown 15m 1774113300	2	$143	76	76	+0	open	—	03-21 17:25
btc updown 15m 1774181700	2	$143	76	75	+0	open	—	03-22 12:23
btc updown 15m 1774143900	2	$143	76	75	+0	open	—	03-22 01:56
btc updown 15m 1774241100	2	$143	76	75	+0	open	—	03-23 04:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 22:46:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x5223f1…
06-08 22:39:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1989ea…
06-08 22:38:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x690a87…
05-12 07:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0x13f161…
05-12 07:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x1295ab…
05-12 06:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xbdf788…
05-12 06:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xb06806…
05-12 05:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0xd9a2e5…
05-12 05:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x3b71c3…
05-12 03:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xd26617…
05-12 03:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x52657f…
05-10 09:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	45	52¢	$23	0xb7e771…
05-10 09:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x8c5fa9…
05-10 07:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0xd77dea…
05-10 07:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0x050957…
05-10 04:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	55	38¢	$21	0x5d49ac…
05-10 04:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	55	71¢	$39	0xb8bcdb…
05-10 03:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	47	45¢	$21	0xa73949…
05-10 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0xd177cf…
05-10 02:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x4a17dd…
05-10 02:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	54	73¢	$39	0x0b4243…
05-10 02:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x31064a…
05-10 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0x3ee334…
05-10 00:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x75e0b3…
05-10 00:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0xcadaa6…
05-10 00:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x174ca4…
05-09 23:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x028eca…
05-09 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0xeacaa0…
05-09 20:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0xf37e19…
05-09 20:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x8cb308…
05-09 20:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0xf95d60…
05-09 19:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x811dcf…
05-09 19:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0xc968cf…
05-09 16:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xad7153…
05-09 16:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x3b9f7f…
05-09 15:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xcbacf9…
05-09 15:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x64f001…
05-09 15:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xf0442f…
05-09 15:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x3dd725…
05-09 12:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x0009c4…
05-09 12:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x7b3eaa…
05-09 10:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x048546…
05-09 10:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0xee44eb…
05-09 10:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x3d16e3…
05-09 10:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0x5aba61…
05-09 09:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x44e69a…
05-09 09:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0xa22fc9…
05-09 07:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	53	47¢	$25	0xfb399a…
05-09 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	53	74¢	$39	0x882e8d…
05-09 07:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x034cf7…
05-09 07:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0x3c2a63…
05-09 06:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xb6a8a0…
05-09 06:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0xe92ab5…
05-09 05:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xe6f809…
05-09 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0xe36357…
05-09 05:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x85c4a2…
05-09 05:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x6f2af5…
05-09 04:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	54	32¢	$17	0x4a981c…
05-09 04:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0xa0c315…
05-09 04:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xd550a5…
05-09 04:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0xf3a1b7…
05-09 04:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x8e5ea1…
05-09 04:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x272fad…
05-09 03:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x1a8807…
05-09 03:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x886ac8…
05-09 03:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	24	52¢	$13	0x1a287a…
05-09 03:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x35041d…
05-09 02:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xd3569f…
05-09 02:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xf719a3…
05-09 01:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x5700b1…
05-09 01:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x736aec…
05-09 00:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x46d085…
05-09 00:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x1034e9…
05-08 22:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x9bd3a7…
05-08 22:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0xd4a890…
05-08 22:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xbdfc03…
05-08 22:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x03323a…
05-08 21:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x57118a…
05-08 21:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x98ec51…
05-08 21:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x1cf69e…
05-08 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x41553a…
05-08 20:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xfb657e…
05-08 18:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x79a68c…
05-08 18:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x97e1a7…
05-08 17:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	48¢	$11	0x7ffb10…
05-08 17:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x80180a…
05-08 17:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xdc09b4…
05-08 17:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xdbc356…
05-08 17:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x8fc02e…
05-08 17:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x57f49b…
05-08 17:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0x1c3556…
05-08 17:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	82¢	$21	0x8ee4ed…
05-08 16:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x5d87bb…
05-08 16:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x3542cb…
05-08 16:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x8554a2…
05-08 16:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x7a8235…
05-08 15:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x19b948…
05-08 15:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	79¢	$21	0xa79469…
05-08 15:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x0f4929…
05-08 15:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x959431…