Useless-Yak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$996

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

1,107

Trades

2,148

lifetime

Volume

$67.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-19 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 71% -$413

Tech

2% 0% -$249

Other

1% 0% -$109

Politics

0% 50% -$97

Sports

0% 0% -$128

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	7	$447	1,210	1,210	+0	No	-$16	06-12 14:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	5	$328	505	505	+0	No	-$75	06-12 14:48
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$308	500	500	+0	Yes	-$98	03-03 14:54
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	5	$280	330	158	+172	No	-$115	06-12 18:54
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	6	$273	253	253	+0	Yes	-$50	06-12 15:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:30 UTC	2	$271	149	148	+1	Up	+$19	02-06 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 05:15 UTC	4	$234	124	124	+0	Down	+$8	01-29 05:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 21:00 UTC	3	$233	192	114	+78	Up	-$6	01-28 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 21:45 UTC	3	$217	176	100	+76	Down	-$17	01-28 22:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 07:00 UTC	12	$215	1,584	300	+1,284	Down	-$19	01-21 07:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 23:15 UTC	3	$202	159	103	+56	Down	+$3	01-28 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 00:15 UTC	2	$154	88	87	+1	Up	+$19	03-22 00:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 16:15 UTC	2	$153	86	85	+1	Down	+$17	03-21 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 00:00 UTC	2	$152	85	84	+1	Up	+$16	03-23 00:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	3	$151	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$41	06-12 14:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 16:45 UTC	2	$151	84	84	+1	Down	+$15	03-21 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 18:00 UTC	2	$151	84	83	+1	Up	+$15	03-22 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 01:15 UTC	2	$151	84	83	+1	Up	+$15	03-23 01:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 23:30 UTC	2	$150	84	83	+0	Up	+$15	03-21 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 19:30 UTC	2	$150	83	83	+0	Down	+$15	03-21 19:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 02:30 UTC	2	$150	83	83	+0	Up	+$14	03-21 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 09:30 UTC	2	$150	83	82	+0	Up	+$14	03-22 09:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 02:30 UTC	2	$150	83	82	+0	Down	+$14	03-22 02:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 17:00 UTC	2	$149	82	82	+0	Down	+$13	03-21 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 19:00 UTC	2	$149	82	82	+0	Up	+$13	03-21 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 00:30 UTC	2	$148	81	81	+0	Up	+$12	03-22 00:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 05:00 UTC	2	$146	79	79	+0	Down	+$11	03-22 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 14:00 UTC	2	$145	78	78	+0	Up	+$9	03-21 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 18:45 UTC	2	$145	78	78	+0	Up	+$9	03-22 18:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 22:45 UTC	2	$145	78	77	+0	Up	+$9	03-22 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:44:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xeb269a…
07-19 21:43:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0x7a6751…
07-19 21:15:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x4ee395…
07-19 21:14:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0x75be1d…
06-18 15:34:16	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$34	0x1ce9e0…
06-18 15:34:01	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$54	0xd14e59…
06-18 15:31:52	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$40	0x563b51…
06-12 18:54:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	67	56¢	$37	0x67a8b5…
06-12 18:54:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0xeeb895…
06-12 18:50:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	86	56¢	$48	0x90d550…
06-12 15:41:00	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	238	43¢	$102	0x3d70f8…
06-12 14:56:01	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	151	65¢	$98	0x25a252…
06-12 14:49:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	87	65¢	$57	0x431944…
06-12 14:48:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	426	25¢	$107	0x6950d5…
06-12 14:48:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	74	25¢	$18	0x0afd0c…
06-12 14:46:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x3535f9…
06-12 14:46:55	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x7bafff…
06-12 14:46:40	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0x1294d2…
06-12 14:46:03	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	256	17¢	$44	0x2265d3…
06-12 14:42:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	158	52¢	$82	0x9e0126…
06-12 14:41:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	400	18¢	$72	0x137184…
06-12 14:41:39	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	409	18¢	$74	0xd8712c…
06-12 14:41:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	145	18¢	$26	0xa91c83…
06-12 14:37:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	SELL	360	5¢	$18	0xf0d5fd…
06-12 14:37:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	SELL	740	5¢	$37	0x248864…
06-12 07:58:10	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0xaa73ce…
06-12 07:58:10	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0x2fd6d6…
06-12 07:55:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	BUY	1,100	9¢	$96	0x59805b…
06-12 07:50:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	158	64¢	$101	0x4f627d…
06-12 07:49:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xf34243…
06-12 07:47:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1,050	19¢	$200	0x2eed78…
06-08 22:47:09	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x1e3086…
06-08 22:47:04	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9c7513…
06-08 22:46:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x5223f1…
06-08 22:39:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1989ea…
06-08 22:38:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x690a87…
06-08 22:35:21	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb2bc9c…
06-08 22:35:15	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6c9ab7…
05-12 07:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0x13f161…
05-12 07:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x1295ab…
05-12 06:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xbdf788…
05-12 06:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xb06806…
05-12 05:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0xd9a2e5…
05-12 05:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x3b71c3…
05-12 03:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xd26617…
05-12 03:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x52657f…
05-10 09:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	45	52¢	$23	0xb7e771…
05-10 09:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x8c5fa9…
05-10 07:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0xd77dea…
05-10 07:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0x050957…
05-10 04:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	55	38¢	$21	0x5d49ac…
05-10 04:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	55	71¢	$39	0xb8bcdb…
05-10 03:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	47	45¢	$21	0xa73949…
05-10 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0xd177cf…
05-10 02:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x4a17dd…
05-10 02:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	54	73¢	$39	0x0b4243…
05-10 02:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x31064a…
05-10 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0x3ee334…
05-10 00:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x75e0b3…
05-10 00:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0xcadaa6…
05-10 00:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x174ca4…
05-09 23:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x028eca…
05-09 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0xeacaa0…
05-09 20:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0xf37e19…
05-09 20:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x8cb308…
05-09 20:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0xf95d60…
05-09 19:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x811dcf…
05-09 19:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0xc968cf…
05-09 16:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xad7153…
05-09 16:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x3b9f7f…
05-09 15:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xcbacf9…
05-09 15:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x64f001…
05-09 15:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xf0442f…
05-09 15:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x3dd725…
05-09 12:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x0009c4…
05-09 12:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x7b3eaa…
05-09 10:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x048546…
05-09 10:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0xee44eb…
05-09 10:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x3d16e3…
05-09 10:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0x5aba61…
05-09 09:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x44e69a…
05-09 09:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0xa22fc9…
05-09 07:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	53	47¢	$25	0xfb399a…
05-09 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	53	74¢	$39	0x882e8d…
05-09 07:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x034cf7…
05-09 07:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0x3c2a63…
05-09 06:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xb6a8a0…
05-09 06:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0xe92ab5…
05-09 05:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xe6f809…
05-09 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0xe36357…
05-09 05:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x85c4a2…
05-09 05:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x6f2af5…
05-09 04:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	54	32¢	$17	0x4a981c…
05-09 04:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0xa0c315…
05-09 04:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xd550a5…
05-09 04:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0xf3a1b7…
05-09 04:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x8e5ea1…
05-09 04:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x272fad…
05-09 03:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x1a8807…
05-09 03:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x886ac8…