Realized P&L
+$197
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
60.6%
Resolved
56
Trades
77
lifetime
Volume
$3.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$526
11 positions
First seen
2026-09-09
last 10-26 13:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
71% 64% +$376
Crypto
10% 33% -$168
Sports
8% 75% +$112
Politics
6% 25% -$27
Tech
5% 0% -$95
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +118 $100 93¢ $109 +$9 10-09 08:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +132 $100 74¢ $98 -$2 10-09 08:08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +87 $75 96¢ $84 +$9 09-09 08:02
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +88 $60 94¢ $83 +$23 09-14 09:23
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +83 $50 55¢ $46 -$4 10-26 13:07
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +42 $25 88¢ $36 +$11 10-20 18:51
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $35 34¢ $34 $0 10-26 12:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +44 $20 36¢ $16 -$4 10-09 09:01
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +111 $10 8¢ $9 -$1 10-20 18:58
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +106 $20 8¢ $9 -$11 10-26 12:52
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +57 $35 0¢ $0 -$35 09-15 07:56