Distorted-Convenience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$67

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-17 05:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

46% 0% $-6

Other

36% 0% $-0

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+52	$49	94¢	$49	$-0	06-13 08:57
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+18	$18	99¢	$18	+$0	06-12 09:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	16	$2.7K	1,415	1,415	+0	No	$-5	03-31 17:49
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	6	$806	418	418	+0	open	—	03-10 17:55
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$781	402	402	+0	open	—	03-11 23:23
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$693	356	356	+0	open	—	04-27 07:37
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	6	$461	236	236	-0	open	—	04-21 08:45
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$399	212	212	+0	Yes	$-0	03-07 01:30
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$398	204	204	+0	open	—	03-04 16:06
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$397	206	206	+0	open	—	03-15 14:07
2026 the players championship winner hideki matsuyama win	2	$391	201	201	+0	open	—	03-11 18:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$385	196	196	+0	open	—	03-13 04:24
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	6	$384	204	204	+0	open	—	03-15 20:43
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$377	203	203	+0	open	—	03-14 19:41
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$375	200	200	+0	open	—	03-18 02:46
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$374	197	197	+0	open	—	03-20 10:40
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$373	195	195	+0	open	—	03-17 12:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$367	189	189	+0	open	—	03-18 15:28
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$366	187	187	+0	open	—	03-19 00:54
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$362	194	194	+0	open	—	03-22 08:03
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$355	183	183	+0	open	—	03-25 17:03
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$352	186	186	+0	open	—	03-25 09:42
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$350	183	183	+0	open	—	03-27 23:14
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$347	178	178	+0	open	—	03-28 06:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$341	175	174	+0	open	—	04-24 17:06
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$338	178	178	+0	open	—	03-29 17:26
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$236	121	121	+0	No	$-1	04-24 09:49
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$216	113	113	+0	open	—	04-13 14:20
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$214	111	111	+0	open	—	04-09 11:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$201	107	107	+0	open	—	05-22 18:54
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$182	94	94	+0	open	—	04-14 09:20
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$145	77	77	+0	open	—	03-12 14:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 05:10:26	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x0d5e3e…
06-16 22:10:04	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xd5f21b…
06-14 23:38:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xa08b83…
06-14 16:36:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x89405a…
06-14 07:23:27	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	SELL	46	90¢	$41	0xc48746…
06-14 02:18:18	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0xff74b1…
06-13 08:57:42	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x41124a…
06-13 03:09:16	will scotland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149719	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xa7a848…
06-12 20:04:04	will scotland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149719	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x3be565…
06-12 09:39:12	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xfad9bf…
06-10 19:09:46	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x1da127…
06-10 14:05:15	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x9ed33e…
06-06 08:29:12	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0xf5f6b0…
06-06 04:28:28	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x83fca5…
06-04 11:57:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x2ab497…
06-04 04:52:16	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0x46f3c1…
06-04 04:14:51	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xa76e77…
06-04 00:12:15	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x3f2e55…
06-03 15:56:36	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x19990c…
06-03 10:37:38	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0x5a57f6…
05-22 18:54:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xbc945d…
05-22 14:50:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x6859e3…
05-21 16:15:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x2b7f82…
05-21 11:07:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0xd1ef5b…
05-20 06:17:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x25de77…
05-19 22:13:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$53	0xe1b0f3…
05-18 19:18:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$55	0x911f11…
05-18 12:08:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x2365bc…
05-15 12:52:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	57	91¢	$52	0xb0a6e5…
05-15 08:42:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0xecf928…
05-15 06:52:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x7f9369…
05-12 10:47:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xb0c068…
04-28 02:16:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0xb01539…
04-27 23:52:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x9c7153…
04-27 23:36:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0xd02bc3…
04-27 19:23:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x6b79c3…
04-27 07:37:06	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	175	97¢	$170	0x58e16c…
04-27 03:36:08	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0x9ca8b7…
04-24 17:06:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	174	98¢	$171	0xd1f648…
04-24 10:50:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0x5480ad…
04-24 09:49:00	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0x0dbc0e…
04-22 23:52:52	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$63	0xf69f8b…
04-21 08:45:02	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xd8da73…
04-21 02:06:50	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x6600d9…
04-20 12:57:24	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xa014fc…
04-20 05:49:34	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x97b4ac…
04-14 09:20:25	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0x88eefd…
04-14 01:00:57	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x82b5d9…
04-14 00:38:07	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xffd09e…
04-13 16:33:55	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xbbfb39…
04-13 14:20:01	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0xa661be…
04-13 07:03:45	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0xcb7123…
04-12 10:03:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x018460…
04-12 02:22:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$55	0x2ca696…
04-12 01:56:01	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$52	0x842b82…
04-11 17:55:53	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xed9a7a…
04-11 15:49:43	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	54	96¢	$51	0xab9dfa…
04-11 10:38:45	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xb76829…
04-10 09:11:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x842b31…
04-10 00:21:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x6e855f…
04-09 11:43:55	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x8a71f4…
04-09 04:59:51	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x253c84…
04-09 04:10:43	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x8e59c3…
04-08 22:01:33	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x3cca66…
04-08 21:53:53	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0x66e04d…
04-08 15:46:31	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$63	0xee68a6…
04-08 13:36:03	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x9d6f94…
04-08 05:01:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x6d14bf…
03-31 17:49:31	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x9216b0…
03-31 12:06:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x584dcb…
03-30 23:05:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xed969f…
03-30 18:26:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xe8a39b…
03-30 18:24:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$29	0x151dfe…
03-30 18:22:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x79c9e6…
03-30 17:27:27	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x72b723…
03-30 08:14:40	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x65f97b…
03-29 17:26:38	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	178	95¢	$169	0x146bdf…
03-29 09:39:16	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	178	95¢	$169	0x95a96f…
03-29 07:49:58	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	181	97¢	$175	0x54e0b4…
03-29 01:07:38	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	181	97¢	$175	0x5f9dfb…
03-29 00:06:02	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	182	97¢	$175	0xc70798…
03-28 17:21:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	182	97¢	$176	0xca8a4f…
03-28 06:50:45	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	178	97¢	$173	0x632b1a…
03-27 23:48:21	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$174	0xd55b0a…
03-27 23:14:09	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	183	95¢	$175	0x034d29…
03-27 16:45:45	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	183	96¢	$175	0xf0c670…
03-25 22:52:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	189	97¢	$183	0x9646ee…
03-25 18:05:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	189	97¢	$184	0xf0fc6e…
03-25 17:03:11	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	183	97¢	$178	0x374ef9…
03-25 12:12:05	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	183	97¢	$178	0xb25495…
03-25 09:42:57	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	186	95¢	$176	0x619206…
03-25 01:39:59	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	186	95¢	$176	0x583f85…
03-24 15:14:41	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	181	97¢	$176	0x141b04…
03-24 08:06:39	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	181	98¢	$177	0x25701b…
03-23 03:58:29	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	189	97¢	$184	0x5e729a…
03-22 19:45:07	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xb3c268…
03-22 19:38:13	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x3b19c4…
03-22 19:30:09	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xa1705d…
03-22 08:03:41	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	194	93¢	$181	0xab151b…
03-21 23:35:25	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	194	93¢	$181	0xc61124…