Glittering-Cupcake — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$322

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved (90d)

7,973

Trades (90d)

26,077

36,155 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$149.5K

$255.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-15 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 213 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% +$2,667

Other

0% 48% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1475 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	—	+11	$6	2¢	$0	-$6	11-15 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	—	+10	$6	2¢	$0	-$6	11-15 12:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4PM ET	5	$400	762	+762	Down	+$362	11-11 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6PM ET	14	$400	766	+766	Up	+$366	11-11 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5PM ET	4	$400	792	+792	Down	-$400	11-12 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	8	$400	792	+792	Down	-$400	10-29 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ET	4	$400	792	+792	Down	-$400	10-13 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET	11	$400	763	+763	Up	-$400	10-24 23:00
bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 12am et	8	$400	777	+777	Up	+$377	10-15 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET	24	$400	803	+803	Down	-$400	10-08 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12AM ET	15	$400	763	+763	Down	-$400	11-13 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9AM ET	12	$400	777	+777	Up	+$377	10-22 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ET	25	$400	769	+769	Up	+$369	10-07 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3PM ET	6	$400	766	+766	Up	+$366	10-16 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11PM ET	16	$399	764	+764	Up	+$364	11-14 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	9	$399	777	+777	Down	-$399	10-16 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET	4	$392	763	+763	Down	-$392	11-09 05:00
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 11pm et	5	$383	744	+744	Up	+$361	09-29 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11PM ET	8	$304	589	+589	Up	+$285	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6AM ET	6	$300	559	+559	Up	+$259	11-10 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11AM ET	4	$300	574	+574	Down	+$274	11-08 16:00
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 12am et	29	$300	577	+577	Up	+$277	09-28 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	8	$300	577	+577	Down	+$277	10-16 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7PM ET	5	$300	577	+577	Down	+$277	11-02 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6PM ET	3	$300	578	+578	Up	-$300	10-20 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10AM ET	5	$300	556	+556	Up	+$256	11-06 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12AM ET	7	$300	570	+570	Up	-$300	10-02 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ET	3	$300	584	+584	Up	-$300	11-01 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET	5	$300	584	+584	Down	+$284	10-29 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	9	$300	584	+584	Down	+$284	10-25 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	5	$300	584	+584	Down	+$284	10-02 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	11	$300	556	+556	Up	+$256	10-30 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 12:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x23d4c9…
11-15 12:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x88f842…
11-15 12:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8b83bf…
11-15 12:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x65d30f…
11-15 12:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa76cb7…
11-15 12:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xd97c5f…
11-15 11:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x310ed1…
11-15 11:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd052ee…
11-15 11:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc4036f…
11-15 11:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x87b2ad…
11-15 11:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x7f9c51…
11-15 11:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x36591c…
11-15 11:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfaf9cf…
11-15 11:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa4a7a8…
11-15 11:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x778993…
11-15 11:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x9c5e71…
11-15 11:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd38ee1…
11-15 11:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5e4e80…
11-15 11:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfc6bad…
11-15 11:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8df8ea…
11-15 11:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1edc5a…
11-15 11:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6fd026…
11-15 11:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6180a3…
11-15 11:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdf0dab…
11-15 11:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x58a668…
11-15 11:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xac9023…
11-15 11:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc71456…
11-15 11:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x013e2c…
11-15 11:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x856b88…
11-15 11:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xb5a042…
11-15 11:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x23fbf2…
11-15 11:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xec724a…
11-15 11:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe9bf14…
11-15 10:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0e6b80…
11-15 10:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf605a5…
11-15 10:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x58d0e7…
11-15 10:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa4f1a4…
11-15 10:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb9e842…
11-15 10:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x258c2a…
11-15 10:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x356a86…
11-15 10:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe529aa…
11-15 10:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1d8de7…
11-15 10:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd07430…
11-15 10:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xca9079…
11-15 10:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1cf89d…
11-15 10:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x74efe4…
11-15 10:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa85690…
11-15 10:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0x68ca6c…
11-15 09:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe3e2c8…
11-15 09:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x696e94…
11-15 09:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb6c054…
11-15 09:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7e3192…
11-15 09:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfb7522…
11-15 09:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1fd74e…
11-15 09:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x44cd67…
11-15 09:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb5455e…
11-15 09:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x30b824…
11-15 09:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9fac59…
11-15 09:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x531253…
11-15 09:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8469f9…
11-15 09:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbc9130…
11-15 09:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa10dd3…
11-15 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x54656a…
11-15 09:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8c8eda…
11-15 09:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x879342…
11-15 09:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-15 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe60351…
11-15 09:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-15 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x23373d…
11-15 09:15:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-15 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xae9a4a…
11-15 09:10:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-15 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5d320c…
11-15 09:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-15 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x849f85…
11-15 09:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-15 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x38a6df…
11-15 09:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-15 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3dd299…
11-15 09:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb6ba50…
11-15 09:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa6b6df…
11-15 09:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa415f1…
11-15 09:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x562689…
11-15 09:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0a3c11…
11-15 09:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8ae194…
11-15 09:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x5d582a…
11-15 09:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0xd70b56…
11-15 09:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x3075b0…
11-15 09:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe2bf55…
11-15 09:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x357a69…
11-15 08:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5a05c3…
11-15 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9e5548…
11-15 08:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1de2b6…
11-15 08:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb899ee…
11-15 08:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x00401d…
11-15 08:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6288da…
11-15 08:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x864e62…
11-15 08:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdf71d9…
11-15 08:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x92fdc4…
11-15 08:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x81562d…
11-15 08:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xeb9e3d…
11-15 08:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb33a3c…
11-15 08:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7d3833…
11-15 08:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0a0b8c…
11-15 08:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x76b4fc…
11-15 08:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x816b4e…
11-15 08:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xea5fce…