Glittering-Cupcake — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$414

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved (90d)

7,152

Trades (90d)

23,731

33,799 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$133.7K

$239.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-11 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% +$3,339

Other

0% 48% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1475 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	—	+11	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	11-11 11:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	8	$400	792	+792	Down	-$400	10-29 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ET	4	$400	792	+792	Down	-$400	10-13 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET	11	$400	763	+763	Up	-$400	10-24 23:00
bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 12am et	8	$400	777	+777	Up	+$377	10-15 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET	24	$400	803	+803	Down	-$400	10-08 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9AM ET	12	$400	777	+777	Up	+$377	10-22 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ET	25	$400	769	+769	Up	+$369	10-07 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3PM ET	6	$400	766	+766	Up	+$366	10-16 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	9	$399	777	+777	Down	-$399	10-16 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET	4	$392	763	+763	Down	-$392	11-09 05:00
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 11pm et	5	$383	744	+744	Up	+$361	09-29 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11PM ET	8	$304	589	+589	Up	+$285	10-22 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6AM ET	6	$300	559	+559	Up	+$259	11-10 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11AM ET	4	$300	574	+574	Down	+$274	11-08 16:00
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 12am et	29	$300	577	+577	Up	+$277	09-28 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	8	$300	577	+577	Down	+$277	10-16 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7PM ET	5	$300	577	+577	Down	+$277	11-02 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6PM ET	3	$300	578	+578	Up	-$300	10-20 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10AM ET	5	$300	556	+556	Up	+$256	11-06 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12AM ET	7	$300	570	+570	Up	-$300	10-02 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ET	3	$300	584	+584	Up	-$300	11-01 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET	5	$300	584	+584	Down	+$284	10-29 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	9	$300	584	+584	Down	+$284	10-25 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	5	$300	584	+584	Down	+$284	10-02 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	11	$300	556	+556	Up	+$256	10-30 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3AM ET	4	$300	574	+574	Up	-$300	11-07 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	14	$300	585	+585	Down	+$285	10-28 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET	4	$300	584	+584	Up	+$284	10-16 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3PM ET	4	$300	596	+596	Down	-$300	11-09 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	5	$300	596	+596	Up	+$296	10-29 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 11:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xeb5e33…
11-11 11:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x1aa02c…
11-11 11:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x6ff666…
11-11 11:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xce5ff4…
11-11 11:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x748ef4…
11-11 10:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x46d998…
11-11 10:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4ceaa6…
11-11 10:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x50abf1…
11-11 10:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xb64cc7…
11-11 10:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x344f9a…
11-11 10:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xe4422c…
11-11 10:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x87ad6d…
11-11 10:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x066ce7…
11-11 10:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xae0e14…
11-11 10:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x6cefed…
11-11 10:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x76b150…
11-11 10:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xc7414d…
11-11 09:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xd476d8…
11-11 09:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xf21889…
11-11 09:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x500f68…
11-11 09:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xca303d…
11-11 09:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x81567e…
11-11 09:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x20d235…
11-11 09:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xf83f13…
11-11 09:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x700616…
11-11 09:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xf3274b…
11-11 08:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6f1a76…
11-11 08:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa6e80d…
11-11 08:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x568075…
11-11 08:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xa0d460…
11-11 08:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcb1c50…
11-11 08:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcd9ab5…
11-11 08:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x3fec7e…
11-11 08:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x8798e6…
11-11 08:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x67cae8…
11-11 08:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xd1d8ec…
11-11 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x32c5d0…
11-11 08:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x1ae3c8…
11-11 07:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x977a68…
11-11 07:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xd7b47b…
11-11 07:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0d4a6b…
11-11 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8e162e…
11-11 07:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xb1665f…
11-11 07:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xd2a05b…
11-11 07:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x0a25c0…
11-11 07:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x2c6927…
11-11 07:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8a5a19…
11-11 07:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x3565c6…
11-11 07:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe0ff1a…
11-11 07:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xabaa5b…
11-11 06:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0xb2930a…
11-11 06:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xe60d54…
11-11 06:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xa60b5e…
11-11 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x448ef8…
11-11 06:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0x59f5fd…
11-11 06:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x2130df…
11-11 06:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x32f1c8…
11-11 06:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x063a5d…
11-11 06:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xaaae3f…
11-11 06:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x116a03…
11-11 06:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xe49a75…
11-11 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9183a4…
11-11 05:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x5d8419…
11-11 05:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x5c077a…
11-11 05:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x82f124…
11-11 05:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2862c7…
11-11 05:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xcf86e6…
11-11 05:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xbdd961…
11-11 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x6af382…
11-11 05:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x6a5651…
11-11 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xcca281…
11-11 05:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x56547e…
11-11 05:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xe94938…
11-11 05:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7e7536…
11-11 04:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x693b2c…
11-11 04:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x73f57e…
11-11 04:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xa80a9f…
11-11 04:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xede1ba…
11-11 04:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0x514aa1…
11-11 04:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x5b75fe…
11-11 04:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbd161e…
11-11 04:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x5eda23…
11-11 04:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x507640…
11-11 04:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xfa8489…
11-11 04:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x78ee33…
11-11 04:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	177	52¢	$92	0xc95a20…
11-11 04:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x017620…
11-11 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8a9274…
11-11 03:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0xc657b7…
11-11 03:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1e15b5…
11-11 03:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe7efec…
11-11 03:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x13f17c…
11-11 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x137837…
11-11 03:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x28657b…
11-11 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x806b19…
11-11 03:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x9ec151…
11-11 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x63a7d0…
11-11 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x29b326…
11-11 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x650210…
11-11 02:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x7645d4…