Gracious-Leading — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,336

lifetime

Volume

$70.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-12 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 30% $-36

Other

11% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-9

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 1 12am et	9	$1.8K	1,534	1,534	+0	open	—	03-01 05:58
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	4	$1.3K	1,178	1,173	+6	open	—	03-13 15:59
btc updown 5m 1773117900	17	$1.1K	710	700	+11	open	—	03-10 04:50
btc updown 5m 1772235300	56	$1.0K	1,100	999	+101	open	—	02-27 23:39
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 10pm et	4	$773	667	663	+4	open	—	03-20 02:55
btc updown 15m 1772416800	17	$597	500	500	+0	open	—	03-02 02:07
btc updown 15m 1767784500	3	$581	502	379	+123	open	—	01-07 11:26
bitcoin up or down march 9 12am et	11	$529	500	499	+1	open	—	03-09 04:59
btc updown 5m 1773553800	2	$511	394	388	+5	open	—	03-15 05:54
bitcoin up or down january 5 10am et	5	$468	341	341	+0	open	—	01-05 16:03
btc updown 5m 1772275500	2	$444	467	466	+1	open	—	02-28 10:49
es2 mal ceu 2026 01 11 mal	2	$396	218	218	+0	open	—	01-11 17:13
btc updown 5m 1772342400	3	$393	1,124	154	+970	open	—	03-01 05:24
btc updown 5m 1773384000	2	$388	298	294	+4	open	—	03-13 06:45
bitcoin up or down february 19 12pm et	4	$385	357	357	+0	open	—	02-19 17:53
lal ray mal 2026 01 11 ray	2	$382	213	213	+0	open	—	01-11 15:09
bitcoin up or down january 15 12pm et	8	$367	339	339	+0	open	—	01-15 18:09
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 3am et	2	$366	308	306	+2	open	—	03-15 08:00
bitcoin up or down february 27 12pm et	6	$361	284	284	+0	open	—	02-27 17:58
sol updown 15m 1767685500	3	$355	360	272	+87	open	—	01-06 07:59
btc updown 5m 1772342100	2	$349	1,329	0	+1,329	open	—	03-01 05:19
btc updown 15m 1772182800	3	$348	265	262	+3	open	—	02-27 09:14
btc updown 15m 1768570200	3	$348	278	274	+4	open	—	01-16 13:39
bitcoin up or down february 19 4am et	4	$321	310	310	+0	open	—	02-19 09:49
nba dal uta 2026 01 08	2	$313	263	263	+0	open	—	01-09 04:14
btc updown 15m 1770109200	2	$311	226	222	+3	open	—	02-03 09:11
btc updown 15m 1773144900	11	$300	634	143	+491	open	—	03-10 12:29
spl hil nsr 2026 01 12 hil	2	$296	280	280	+0	open	—	01-12 19:17
btc updown 15m 1773142200	7	$286	197	194	+3	open	—	03-10 11:43
bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	2	$280	250	250	+0	open	—	02-05 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 13:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	69	24¢	$16	0x8d724e…
05-12 13:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x6cb5bb…
05-12 11:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x394dfe…
05-12 11:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xaf5bf8…
05-12 11:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x4a0756…
05-12 11:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x6bca7a…
05-12 11:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0xeadeb6…
05-12 11:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa8124e…
05-12 11:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x606979…
05-12 11:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x336c13…
05-12 10:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x2ddb70…
05-12 10:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe588b4…
05-12 10:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x0a8bdc…
05-12 10:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x71ba96…
05-12 10:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x7e13dd…
05-12 10:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	29	84¢	$24	0xc42ea0…
05-12 10:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0861bb…
05-12 10:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x93fab7…
05-12 08:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x55e704…
05-12 07:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x76b9b7…
05-12 07:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb41fbc…
05-12 04:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xebe86e…
05-12 03:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x480e99…
05-12 03:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdd36f1…
05-12 03:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x309416…
05-12 03:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd948cb…
05-12 03:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf2a154…
05-11 18:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x3b342b…
05-11 18:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xbebc20…
05-11 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x329c63…
05-11 18:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0x97812f…
05-11 18:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xe271ba…
05-11 18:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xb5b7dd…
05-09 17:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x938664…
05-09 17:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6cc105…
05-09 17:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x26bf46…
05-09 17:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x636861…
05-09 17:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x31562c…
05-09 17:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x1d5301…
05-09 17:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xd68257…
05-09 17:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x6b70df…
05-09 13:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x70f6d0…
05-09 13:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe51203…
05-09 13:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0f8619…
05-09 13:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x93d093…
05-03 18:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x64ff70…
04-30 15:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x94d111…
04-30 15:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xa37e0b…
04-30 15:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9c8ef1…
04-30 14:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x16d7cf…
04-30 14:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x127471…
04-30 14:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb50207…
04-30 14:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x641751…
04-30 14:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x8e46a8…
04-30 14:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf48ddc…
04-30 14:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbe4340…
04-30 14:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xae3800…
04-30 14:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x0cfad9…
04-30 14:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x619b1c…
04-30 14:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4ef837…
04-29 10:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0xc19efc…
04-29 10:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x2f3f54…
04-29 10:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc37120…
04-29 09:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1a675e…
04-29 09:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0xc51274…
04-29 08:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7772e3…
04-29 08:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2d55d3…
04-29 08:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0xdb26b2…
04-29 08:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xb4abd8…
04-29 08:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x71159c…
04-28 08:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	47	45¢	$21	0x914f22…
04-28 08:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	88	24¢	$21	0x7822f2…
04-28 08:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x95d677…
04-28 06:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7d68c3…
04-28 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xbba4fa…
04-28 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x3550d3…
04-28 05:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xff8885…
04-28 05:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x61522a…
04-28 05:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0xa6c79e…
04-28 05:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x716bad…
04-28 05:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x98441c…
04-28 04:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x9733d4…
04-28 04:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x94ecf5…
04-28 04:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x44ac00…
04-28 04:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd96993…
04-28 04:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7291d1…
04-28 04:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7a3a40…
04-27 13:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	155	29¢	$45	0xaec0a1…
04-27 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd7e472…
04-27 13:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xaa28a5…
04-27 13:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0x7b3729…
04-27 06:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x169f7e…
04-27 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0x89677f…
04-27 06:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x620a4f…
04-27 06:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x07b76d…
04-27 06:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6f2c96…
04-27 05:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x2eddf9…
04-26 18:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	49	88¢	$43	0x62e7e4…
04-26 18:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe08046…
04-26 18:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x334e62…