Gracious-Leading — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$62

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

30.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

2,622 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$293

$73.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-31 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 34% +$1,353

Other

12% 27% -$260

Sports

4% 34% +$165

Politics

1% 0% -$182

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes		+15	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	04-29 12:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 1 12am et	9	$1.8K	1,534	1,534	+0	Down	+$1,064	03-01 05:58
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	4	$1.3K	1,178	1,173	+6	No	+$963	03-13 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 04:45 UTC	17	$1.1K	710	700	+11	Up	+$275	03-10 04:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:35 UTC	56	$1.0K	1,100	999	+101	Up	+$711	02-27 23:39
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 10pm et	4	$773	667	663	+4	Up	+$517	03-20 02:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 02:00 UTC	17	$597	500	500	+0	Down	+$297	03-02 02:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 11:15 UTC	3	$581	502	379	+123	Up	+$145	01-07 11:26
bitcoin up or down march 9 12am et	11	$529	500	499	+1	Down	+$450	03-09 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:50 UTC	2	$511	394	388	+5	Down	+$216	03-15 05:54
bitcoin up or down january 5 10am et	5	$468	341	341	+0	Up	+$105	01-05 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:45 UTC	2	$444	467	466	+1	Down	+$348	02-28 10:49
es2 mal ceu 2026 01 11 mal	2	$396	218	218	+0	Yes	+$36	01-11 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:20 UTC	3	$393	1,124	154	+970	Up	-$88	03-01 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 06:40 UTC	2	$388	298	294	+4	Down	+$192	03-13 06:45
bitcoin up or down february 19 12pm et	4	$385	357	357	+0	Up	+$221	02-19 17:53
lal ray mal 2026 01 11 ray	2	$382	213	213	+0	Yes	+$42	01-11 15:09
bitcoin up or down january 15 12pm et	8	$367	339	339	+0	Down	+$40	01-15 18:09
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 3am et	2	$366	308	306	+2	Down	+$236	03-15 08:00
bitcoin up or down february 27 12pm et	6	$361	284	284	+0	Up	+$161	02-27 17:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 07:45 UTC	3	$355	360	272	+87	Down	+$37	01-06 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:15 UTC	2	$349	1,329	0	+1,329	Up	-$48	03-01 05:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 09:00 UTC	3	$348	265	262	+3	Up	+$164	02-27 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 13:30 UTC	3	$348	278	274	+4	Down	+$151	01-16 13:39
bitcoin up or down february 19 4am et	4	$321	310	310	+0	Down	+$241	02-19 09:49
nba dal uta 2026 01 08	2	$313	263	263	+0	Jazz	+$213	01-09 04:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 09:00 UTC	2	$311	226	222	+3	Down	+$115	02-03 09:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 12:15 UTC	11	$300	634	143	+491	Down	+$471	03-10 12:29
spl hil nsr 2026 01 12 hil	2	$296	280	280	+0	Yes	+$201	01-12 19:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 11:30 UTC	7	$286	197	194	+3	Down	+$90	03-10 11:43
bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	2	$280	250	250	+0	Down	+$220	02-05 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:52:16	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x728dab…
10-22 10:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xe105b7…
10-15 07:51:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0x187195…
10-15 07:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xc0c734…
10-15 07:34:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	121	10¢	$13	0x73c432…
10-15 05:45:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	121	48¢	$58	0x5eae51…
10-15 05:30:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x62e5d8…
10-15 05:17:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0xf031b1…
10-15 04:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3289d4…
10-15 04:23:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	160	10¢	$16	0x398fbe…
10-15 03:29:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb1af19…
10-14 21:23:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xdab788…
10-14 19:37:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x135613…
10-14 19:32:12	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x6361af…
10-14 19:31:15	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x19fd3f…
10-14 19:30:52	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x49f957…
10-14 19:29:57	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 team total away 3pt5	Over	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x755f0d…
10-14 14:06:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xee8145…
10-14 06:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x828eb2…
10-14 06:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2846bb…
10-14 05:35:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	77	33¢	$25	0x1e8825…
10-01 03:41:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x21c1b7…
09-29 07:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0xf0fffb…
09-29 07:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x635f01…
09-21 08:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x15bd44…
08-23 08:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x3caddf…
08-13 12:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	39	27¢	$11	0x7c54a8…
08-13 12:40:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3e46ff…
08-12 04:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf894c6…
08-12 04:55:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe00199…
08-12 04:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa4f0eb…
08-11 16:39:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa7a551…
08-11 04:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcc9268…
07-17 13:37:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	216	13¢	$28	0xd9a68f…
07-17 07:47:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xfd134a…
07-17 04:51:31	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xd76a09…
07-17 04:47:46	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	118	42¢	$49	0xe36a0f…
07-17 04:45:04	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	118	16¢	$19	0x1d4bb1…
07-14 18:55:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x9fd2c3…
07-14 18:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xcbe692…
07-14 17:56:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x2f5f66…
07-14 09:35:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	109	37¢	$40	0x08cd09…
07-10 19:44:17	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	88	14¢	$12	0x09bd88…
07-09 16:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	62	39¢	$24	0xd650f6…
07-09 06:19:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	266	9¢	$23	0xf3d27e…
07-08 16:15:04	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	154	30¢	$46	0x198faf…
07-08 16:12:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xc30a87…
07-08 16:10:37	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0xe07e28…
07-08 16:03:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x234a98…
07-07 18:11:14	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x99647d…
07-07 17:41:38	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x05f48d…
07-07 17:40:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xca5229…
07-07 16:58:35	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals emam ashour gte1	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xfc9d88…
07-07 16:49:49	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x43c5e0…
07-07 16:49:25	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x2df6f8…
07-07 16:47:59	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xea7b99…
07-07 16:45:37	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 assists mohamed salah gte1	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x38cc18…
07-07 04:58:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:55 UTC	Up	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x49d880…
07-07 04:57:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x0f4483…
07-06 20:55:46	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x2e5264…
07-06 20:55:44	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa871c4…
07-06 20:50:40	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	196	5¢	$9	0x205592…
07-06 20:50:26	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$1	0xcd0f9d…
07-06 20:49:26	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xba4ea0…
07-06 20:49:17	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xd8bfe5…
07-06 20:48:56	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?	Yes	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x5a0e82…
07-06 20:47:29	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	53	10¢	$6	0x7efdba…
07-06 20:34:34	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$2	0x6cc71a…
07-06 19:17:41	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfdfb57…
07-06 19:16:46	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x1a1f89…
07-06 19:16:16	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3656d8…
07-06 19:00:13	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x7316d7…
07-06 18:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 18:50 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xdce0f3…
07-06 18:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4e71b2…
07-06 18:42:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xed6dda…
07-06 06:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x3fc400…
07-06 06:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x879b61…
07-05 22:07:35	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	196	5¢	$10	0x28b0c0…
07-05 22:01:29	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xe76f39…
07-05 21:45:19	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	36	60¢	$21	0x021078…
07-05 21:43:31	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0x8b2ae3…
07-05 21:39:10	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9d3768…
07-05 20:44:07	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 6pt5	Under	SELL	53	15¢	$8	0x9f71cf…
07-05 20:43:41	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 6pt5	Under	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x90b56a…
07-05 20:31:44	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0x5bea25…
07-05 19:14:07	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals igor thiago gte1	Yes	BUY	258	6¢	$15	0xff444b…
07-05 19:09:29	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 assists raphinha gte1	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x8e59b4…
07-05 08:40:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xbe679a…
07-05 08:32:34	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0x75bbf7…
07-04 19:03:17	Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	78	34¢	$26	0x3db5f8…
07-04 17:53:52	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	204	24¢	$49	0xf10843…
07-04 16:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x18024d…
07-04 15:53:08	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 corners first half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	104	28¢	$29	0xafa622…
07-04 15:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x0ff6cd…
07-04 15:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	90	53¢	$48	0xe99133…
07-04 15:38:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	73	22¢	$16	0x4f9883…
07-04 14:39:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xf263e9…
07-04 14:39:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xb41dc5…
07-04 14:39:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x9b3da8…
07-04 14:39:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0x4c0145…