Adored-Suet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.4%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-22 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% — —

Politics

23% 33% $-13

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	12	$792	416	416	+0	open	—	04-14 06:09
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	13	$757	396	396	+0	open	—	04-26 20:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	11	$563	596	729	-133	No	$-14	05-08 15:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	7	$512	260	260	+0	open	—	04-24 17:08
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$434	223	223	+0	open	—	04-10 18:55
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	7	$294	348	348	+0	open	—	03-31 05:52
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 460 479	2	$288	147	147	+0	open	—	03-23 09:34
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	2	$286	144	144	+0	open	—	04-27 18:42
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	2	$286	145	145	+0	open	—	03-25 18:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$267	137	137	+0	open	—	04-15 11:21
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	8	$265	461	461	+0	open	—	04-25 16:40
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	2	$265	150	150	+0	open	—	03-24 12:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$264	136	136	+0	open	—	05-11 23:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$264	135	135	+0	No	+$1	05-08 08:11
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$264	136	136	+0	open	—	04-12 16:34
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	3	$264	138	138	+0	open	—	04-13 06:01
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	5	$260	139	139	+0	open	—	04-18 23:16
Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?	5	$259	134	134	+0	open	—	04-20 08:07
new stranger things episode released by april 30	5	$258	131	131	+0	open	—	03-19 23:33
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	4	$258	143	143	+0	open	—	04-21 09:53
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$258	145	145	+0	open	—	03-26 15:09
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$257	130	130	+0	open	—	03-23 12:13
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$257	505	505	+0	open	—	04-05 11:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$255	325	325	+0	No	$-0	05-09 16:02
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 340 359	2	$250	129	129	+0	open	—	03-27 20:17
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	5	$250	134	134	+0	open	—	03-31 13:47
will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	3	$249	128	128	+0	open	—	03-27 04:59
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$249	134	134	+0	open	—	03-28 05:13
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$247	125	125	+0	open	—	04-27 07:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	04-22 13:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:28:10	hasan piker arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0x1dd197…
06-22 07:00:31	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0xdce4ca…
05-22 01:34:57	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	No	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0xe61357…
05-22 01:34:57	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	No	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xd8a644…
05-19 05:23:42	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x3f0373…
05-19 05:23:42	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x31a1ee…
05-18 22:25:13	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xed8073…
05-18 22:25:13	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc7f134…
05-18 22:25:13	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xc66e0a…
05-18 22:25:13	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x32c916…
05-13 06:37:57	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x4d6ef0…
05-13 06:37:57	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x308149…
05-12 12:41:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	113	95¢	$107	0xf0b078…
05-12 12:41:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xd8d1fc…
05-12 09:37:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	126	95¢	$119	0x6cd087…
05-11 23:11:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	136	97¢	$132	0x93cbf3…
05-11 21:46:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	136	97¢	$132	0xa72922…
05-11 14:26:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xce2e62…
05-11 14:26:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0x6beb82…
05-11 14:26:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	3¢	$2	0x67e153…
05-11 14:26:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	3¢	$2	0x29c13a…
05-11 14:26:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	3¢	$3	0x16bd72…
05-11 14:26:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	3¢	$2	0x021da9…
05-11 11:49:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	3¢	$10	0xce797e…
05-10 22:56:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0x7b5af7…
05-10 19:38:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$2	0x6c7435…
05-09 16:02:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xecb47e…
05-09 16:02:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	4¢	$4	0xfcd649…
05-09 16:02:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$2	0x6c7b68…
05-09 16:00:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x043961…
05-09 12:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	125	96¢	$120	0x09f652…
05-09 08:02:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	125	96¢	$121	0x8a36fd…
05-08 23:17:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xb91818…
05-08 21:17:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x532b1d…
05-08 15:19:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	135	98¢	$132	0xef05a4…
05-08 08:11:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	135	98¢	$133	0x5f3cbf…
05-08 07:01:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x0f53e5…
05-08 01:01:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	3¢	$3	0x27a44a…
05-08 01:01:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	3¢	$3	0x15da20…
05-08 01:01:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	185	3¢	$5	0x0f4997…
05-07 21:16:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	378	3¢	$12	0x707f7a…
05-07 03:47:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	127	95¢	$121	0x4e59d3…
05-06 21:10:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x4e8d1d…
05-06 21:10:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x136f5a…
05-06 10:40:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xd73131…
05-06 10:40:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	82	86¢	$70	0x8ff19d…
05-06 05:18:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	91	97¢	$88	0x5bd56d…
04-28 02:06:26	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x4a7e9c…
04-28 02:04:24	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd49479…
04-27 18:42:42	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x75a401…
04-27 15:49:58	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0x08b534…
04-27 07:19:20	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x4ea2d6…
04-27 07:19:20	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x1db341…
04-27 07:19:20	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x1498c7…
04-27 03:07:52	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xda9b8a…
04-27 03:07:52	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xa183f9…
04-26 20:28:30	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x05ad9b…
04-26 19:23:02	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0x7e9eb8…
04-26 19:23:02	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x6df769…
04-26 08:56:54	Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	244	2¢	$4	0xb06504…
04-26 06:07:34	Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	2¢	$4	0x85a257…
04-26 00:56:48	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	79	4¢	$3	0xd77e55…
04-25 23:49:34	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x658b7c…
04-25 23:49:22	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0x6baeb0…
04-25 20:56:32	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	102	4¢	$4	0xc5bc07…
04-25 20:56:32	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xba4772…
04-25 16:40:24	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xcf4eff…
04-25 16:40:24	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$86	0xac23d1…
04-25 13:12:54	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	129	98¢	$127	0xbc831d…
04-25 04:16:22	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	2¢	$2	0xd3333e…
04-25 04:16:22	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	2¢	$2	0xcedffd…
04-25 04:16:22	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	2¢	$2	0x9036db…
04-25 04:16:22	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x1a5ae4…
04-25 00:29:00	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	332	1¢	$5	0x1ff7db…
04-24 17:08:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	128	99¢	$126	0xf7af7b…
04-24 14:09:04	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xdcafe4…
04-24 14:09:02	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x1a895a…
04-24 09:22:38	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0x7b624f…
04-24 09:22:00	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x3fb956…
04-24 07:18:50	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0xe95ff7…
04-24 07:18:50	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x01968a…
04-24 07:16:34	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	324	1¢	$4	0x46f103…
04-24 02:45:12	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	2¢	$5	0x92789a…
04-23 12:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	86	92¢	$79	0x7fbb5e…
04-23 12:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x10d781…
04-23 08:35:08	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x86f6b2…
04-23 08:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	87	94¢	$82	0xc60a98…
04-23 07:01:24	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x8e364b…
04-23 07:01:24	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	81	4¢	$3	0x16b53f…
04-23 07:01:24	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0x0a5d2e…
04-23 02:20:54	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	247	4¢	$10	0xf3685e…
04-22 18:49:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	86	98¢	$85	0x3065fd…
04-22 18:49:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x0610b6…
04-22 17:15:18	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xb563cd…
04-22 17:15:18	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x229b38…
04-22 13:00:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0xa8ec4c…
04-22 09:47:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x0ce53b…
04-22 08:07:32	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	329	1¢	$4	0xf5669c…
04-22 08:07:32	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0x38ba3c…
04-22 04:36:08	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	439	1¢	$5	0x361311…