Vast-Eligibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$482

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

256

Trades

905

lifetime

Volume

$105.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

$454

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-24 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Politics

86% 22% +$39,905

Other

11% 16% -$291

Sports

3% 31% +$1,595

Crypto

0% 45% -$223

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+1,464	$278	22¢	$329	+$51	09-13 18:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		-3,164	-$555	4¢	$-125	+$430	05-02 22:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	22	$26.1K	25,935	25,935	+0	Yes	+$23,444	04-08 01:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	22	$22.6K	19,986	19,986	+0	Yes	+$17,125	04-07 23:28
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	6	$8.2K	6,215	6,215	+0	Yes	+$3,599	04-16 16:05
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$4.5K	4,251	4,251	+0	Yes	+$3,967	02-28 20:53
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	10	$4.0K	29,407	0	+29,407	No	-$4,047	01-15 00:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	14	$3.6K	2,997	2,997	+0	Yes	+$2,326	04-07 23:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$3.1K	23,363	0	+23,363	No	-$3,067	03-29 04:58
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	133	$1.5K	21,774	0	+21,774	No	-$1,541	04-14 23:27
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$1.4K	6,777	0	+6,777	Yes	+$5,329	02-25 21:27
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$1.4K	555,555	0	+555,555	No	-$1,441	04-30 11:00
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Zomblers (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs	1	$1.3K	2,538	0	+2,538	cancelled	-$23	05-03 23:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	22	$1.2K	6,750	7,250	-500	No	-$845	05-06 18:57
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	16	$1.2K	2,856	3,000	-144	No	-$1,213	05-03 23:44
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	21	$1.0K	105,133	5,133	+100,000	No	+$14	05-12 00:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	8	$1.0K	16,016	0	+16,016	No	-$1,001	05-20 17:27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$999	10,000	7,000	+3,000	Yes	-$1	05-23 00:03
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$990	7,071	0	+7,071	No	-$990	01-29 20:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	10	$878	7,002	7,002	+0	open	—	06-18 19:09
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	10	$871	7,245	7,245	+0	No	-$187	06-17 22:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$826	1,108	1,108	+0	No	-$374	05-23 17:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$700	3,333	3,333	+0	No	-$300	04-30 13:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$630	500	1,500	-1,000	Yes	-$430	05-08 18:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	2	$617	611	611	+0	No	+$517	05-25 23:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	13	$556	1,461	0	+1,461	No	-$480	04-18 15:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$555	0	3,164	-3,164	open	—	05-02 22:41
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$510	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$130	05-07 21:34
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 assists jalen brunson 5pt5	6	$505	1,011	0	+1,011	No	-$505	06-14 01:11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	5	$491	6,215	3,650	+2,564	No	-$209	05-25 23:25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$473	3,041	41	+3,000	Yes	+$2,539	06-17 21:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	8	$443	17,952	5,011	+12,941	Yes	-$247	05-28 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 01:16:27	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	2,500	2¢	$57	0x5e1b5a…
10-06 19:08:26	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	210	8¢	$17	0x7bca83…
10-06 16:56:44	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	700	8¢	$56	0x41c247…
10-06 16:46:32	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0xdbbc4b…
10-06 15:29:26	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$11	0x57c67c…
10-06 14:49:23	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x85ad6c…
10-06 14:28:39	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	714	8¢	$57	0xc2c295…
10-06 13:16:33	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	78	8¢	$6	0xb16868…
10-06 13:09:25	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x954b2f…
10-06 12:34:13	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	82	8¢	$7	0x7b5d56…
10-06 12:31:15	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	333	8¢	$27	0xa00cf2…
09-13 18:59:07	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	149	19¢	$28	0xbacd3e…
09-08 05:49:37	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,316	19¢	$250	0x53f138…
07-31 22:26:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	977	1¢	$5	0x302216…
07-24 20:37:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	1,140	1¢	$10	0xd74668…
07-19 18:56:43	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	690	3¢	$20	0xbdca8d…
07-19 18:56:36	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x6b807d…
07-11 21:06:44	Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x1fbfff…
07-11 20:43:50	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x6b5bd7…
07-11 20:42:46	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xc7c7e3…
07-10 19:07:04	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xd55651…
07-10 19:06:10	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x0f3c10…
07-10 19:03:35	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	222	11¢	$25	0x3043f3…
07-10 19:03:11	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x32667e…
07-10 19:03:01	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xafad6b…
07-10 19:01:58	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x4e746c…
07-10 19:01:16	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0x165675…
07-10 19:00:53	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x315a37…
07-10 19:00:49	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	210	2¢	$5	0x574b39…
07-09 21:06:56	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	205	11¢	$23	0xc81e6c…
07-09 20:35:56	Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x7e5160…
07-07 16:56:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	550	40¢	$220	0x050ba7…
07-07 16:23:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	458	48¢	$220	0x4ba150…
07-07 15:51:10	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xde8b03…
07-07 15:50:58	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xca0e2a…
07-07 15:50:32	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x021b77…
07-07 15:50:16	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x93d805…
07-07 15:49:59	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x422c36…
07-07 15:49:31	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x098226…
07-07 15:49:20	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xc96c28…
07-07 15:49:07	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 3pt5	Argentina	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xc127b1…
07-07 15:48:49	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 4pt5	Argentina	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x573b73…
07-07 15:48:43	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 5pt5	Argentina	BUY	452	1¢	$5	0x3b35be…
07-07 15:48:35	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x49e675…
07-07 15:48:31	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x23939e…
07-07 00:34:50	Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x8643a9…
07-06 22:21:53	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	408	5¢	$20	0xe28b7a…
07-06 22:21:40	Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x0e34eb…
07-06 22:21:22	Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x1e86e5…
07-06 18:57:59	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0xa222d8…
07-06 18:36:23	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x5528ec…
07-06 10:43:44	Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x7e7a49…
07-06 09:01:52	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0xf3a1f8…
07-05 21:33:23	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?	Yes	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x7f2f0a…
07-05 20:54:23	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x74fced…
07-05 20:54:22	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa7d5ab…
07-05 20:54:04	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xee4af2…
07-05 20:07:13	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0xa3afa2…
07-05 20:07:01	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	166	9¢	$15	0x151492…
07-05 20:02:08	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	260	8¢	$20	0x742bab…
07-05 20:01:50	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xec2ea5…
07-05 20:01:34	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0x675914…
07-05 19:56:46	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x3d5b0e…
07-05 19:56:08	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	104	27¢	$28	0x7cef4d…
07-04 00:34:38	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	396	5¢	$18	0x2a62fe…
07-04 00:21:50	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x236e24…
07-04 00:12:07	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	179	6¢	$10	0x3e9ac1…
07-04 00:09:47	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	317	6¢	$20	0x020605…
07-04 00:01:01	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe31c63…
07-02 18:36:56	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xa95423…
07-01 19:57:13	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x91103c…
07-01 19:56:58	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x8870c7…
07-01 19:56:40	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	625	3¢	$20	0x7c4ead…
06-30 16:44:55	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x27a2d1…
06-30 16:44:49	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	325	3¢	$10	0x05785a…
06-30 16:44:44	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x7b8328…
06-30 01:09:05	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	357	4¢	$15	0xfe66e2…
06-30 01:08:31	Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	241	4¢	$10	0x7bc4b5…
06-30 00:59:07	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0xb1c81c…
06-30 00:59:02	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0x9761c2…
06-30 00:58:56	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	837	1¢	$10	0x1c4ced…
06-30 00:58:50	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x17bae4…
06-29 16:42:05	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x6a0dac…
06-29 16:30:14	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xc7e6fb…
06-29 16:30:01	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?	Yes	BUY	333	2¢	$5	0xfb7e1f…
06-29 16:29:47	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xaa7baa…
06-29 16:29:20	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x258840…
06-29 16:29:14	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x81bf05…
06-29 16:29:08	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x38e1c0…
06-29 16:29:04	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xea96c1…
06-27 22:38:41	Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0xc53049…
06-27 22:38:20	Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x65025c…
06-27 22:37:58	Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0x269748…
06-27 22:37:37	Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x9c4ea8…
06-27 22:37:23	Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0xd06cf5…
06-27 22:37:11	Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x2f6a3c…
06-27 22:37:01	Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x73186b…
06-27 22:36:50	Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0xed4343…
06-27 22:36:41	Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	429	2¢	$10	0x3fa4aa…
06-27 22:36:34	Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xe5e34b…