Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.87K

Unrealized P&L

+$162

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

1,735

Trades

2,991

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$431

1 position

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-27 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 58% -$396

Other

25% 34% -$643

Politics

6% 30% -$332

Tech

4% 67% -$441

Sports

4% 30% -$57

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+928	$269	46¢	$431	+$162	10-27 20:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 05:05 UTC	41	$771	745	736	+9	Up	-$15	02-16 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 05:15 UTC	38	$707	1,591	1,579	+12	Up	-$31	02-16 05:19
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$441	2,712	0	+2,712	No	-$441	04-11 19:33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$412	368	368	+0	Yes	+$272	06-20 21:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 05:10 UTC	18	$360	288	285	+3	Down	+$4	02-16 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:35 UTC	20	$339	329	296	+33	Down	-$27	02-16 01:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$280	2,154	0	+2,154	Yes	-$280	09-15 17:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$269	928	0	+928	open	—	10-27 20:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$224	6,523	0	+6,523	No	-$224	05-26 07:34
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$177	3,280	3,280	+0	No	-$83	04-07 21:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$169	38,716	0	+38,716	Yes	-$169	04-08 21:18
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	4	$167	3,019	1	+3,018	No	-$165	03-13 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:10 UTC	9	$151	123	122	+1	Down	+$1	02-16 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:40 UTC	12	$150	271	213	+58	Up	+$3	02-16 01:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$144	31,091	0	+31,091	No	-$144	06-03 22:15
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$132	631	631	+0	No	-$68	04-07 21:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 05:00 UTC	9	$115	162	72	+90	Down	-$49	02-16 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 00:25 UTC	6	$112	101	99	+2	Up	+$0	02-16 00:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:30 UTC	7	$106	82	57	+25	Down	+$5	02-16 01:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:50 UTC	12	$104	65	65	+0	Up	-$2	02-15 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 00:30 UTC	8	$101	95	94	+1	Up	-$14	02-16 00:34
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$100	6,766	0	+6,766	No	-$100	03-22 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:55 UTC	4	$82	68	67	+1	Up	+$2	02-16 04:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 00:15 UTC	4	$75	114	113	+1	Down	-$1	02-16 00:17
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	1	$71	356	0	+356	No	-$71	06-21 20:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:00 UTC	7	$60	42	41	+0	Up	+$20	02-16 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:25 UTC	3	$48	42	41	+1	Up	+$1	02-16 01:27
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	1	$48	987	0	+987	Yes	-$48	06-29 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 01:20 UTC	2	$42	26	25	+0	Down	+$1	02-16 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:50 UTC	2	$40	22	21	+0	Up	$0	02-16 04:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:21:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	928	29¢	$269	0x84f60d…
09-15 17:00:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,154	13¢	$280	0x863fb2…
06-29 11:40:31	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	987	5¢	$48	0x749468…
06-23 21:45:31	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	560	6¢	$34	0x2a321e…
06-21 20:36:46	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	356	20¢	$71	0x005ad5…
06-20 21:57:13	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	368	93¢	$342	0x00c285…
06-20 21:22:26	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	368	19¢	$70	0x2f83d8…
06-03 22:15:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,670	0¢	$35	0x737523…
06-03 16:22:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,933	0¢	$42	0x960bac…
06-02 16:01:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,488	1¢	$68	0x9ed599…
05-26 07:34:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,538	3¢	$40	0xde56be…
05-26 07:34:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,538	3¢	$40	0x48e12c…
05-25 21:49:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,848	3¢	$59	0x38a6b3…
05-17 09:18:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,598	5¢	$85	0x5044d8…
04-11 19:33:55	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	776	6¢	$50	0x06cbe5…
04-09 22:33:09	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	656	17¢	$110	0x0045f5…
04-08 21:18:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4,990	0¢	$10	0xfc2e68…
04-08 21:18:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0xe5b81b…
04-07 21:46:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	8,740	1¢	$79	0x685057…
04-07 21:46:17	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3,280	1¢	$47	0xe17add…
04-07 21:46:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	631	5¢	$32	0xfcc5a4…
04-07 17:25:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	9,986	0¢	$50	0x607153…
04-07 17:24:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	631	16¢	$100	0xfa8a9b…
04-06 16:49:25	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,280	22¢	$282	0x0f6726…
03-30 08:09:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8bac14…
03-30 07:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x946e23…
03-30 07:48:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfb9d3e…
03-30 07:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x40a757…
03-30 07:33:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xed6a2a…
03-30 07:33:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x136e60…
03-30 07:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe01318…
03-30 07:24:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x350b4b…
03-30 07:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xecce79…
03-30 05:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9b6c6c…
03-30 03:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa205af…
03-30 03:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdb8429…
03-30 02:04:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x382016…
03-30 00:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4197fd…
03-30 00:34:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd7a673…
03-29 22:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb1d82a…
03-29 21:35:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xbdfe14…
03-29 21:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x55f1ff…
03-29 20:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8e7a59…
03-29 20:39:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3cc27a…
03-29 20:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb8842f…
03-29 20:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1d5243…
03-29 20:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x59f15c…
03-29 19:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xd82892…
03-29 19:44:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7dd721…
03-29 19:43:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x563d6c…
03-29 19:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaba480…
03-29 19:24:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9874b0…
03-29 19:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8d18be…
03-29 18:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfcaac0…
03-29 18:48:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbbb9fd…
03-29 18:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e6fea…
03-29 18:43:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x260b22…
03-29 17:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9d21df…
03-29 17:04:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe7e4f4…
03-29 16:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x012028…
03-29 16:43:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x521378…
03-29 16:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee7375…
03-29 16:34:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf674cf…
03-29 15:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0e9ae8…
03-29 15:33:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc7b5b2…
03-29 14:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x204a31…
03-29 14:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x84b2a7…
03-29 13:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x599b06…
03-29 13:53:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x437c9c…
03-29 13:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8bfa12…
03-29 13:43:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0f79bc…
03-29 13:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x734cbd…
03-29 12:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xccecc9…
03-29 12:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcbf47f…
03-29 12:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5bf32d…
03-29 12:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6c0980…
03-29 11:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14954a…
03-29 11:49:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x89cf0a…
03-29 11:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf65ff4…
03-29 11:44:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x25db28…
03-29 11:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc660b9…
03-29 11:03:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x37f8ce…
03-29 10:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x60fd80…
03-29 10:34:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa1ffbf…
03-29 10:34:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6af877…
03-29 10:15:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x49ff08…
03-29 10:14:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3bb67f…
03-29 06:30:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xdcc5ac…
03-29 06:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3cb912…
03-29 06:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2f16a9…
03-29 06:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93050a…
03-29 06:23:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x93f76f…
03-29 06:15:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa72933…
03-29 06:14:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8d17ba…
03-29 06:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbba6e5…
03-29 06:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xab43b5…
03-29 06:04:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1739a3…
03-29 05:49:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb65ec3…
03-29 05:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x17f84b…
03-29 05:44:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd7c36d…