Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$104,924

Trades

12,127

Unique wallets

1,643

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-02-16

First seen

2026-02-15

last 02-16 00:22

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +4,596 (anon) +2,822 (anon) +2,015 (anon) +1,426 (anon) +1,323 Tender-Vernacular +1,232 Dutiful-Pack +1,182 (anon) +1,053

NO holders

(anon) +10,000 (anon) +5,487 (anon) +3,108 (anon) +2,271 Crooked-Tabernacle +2,000 (anon) +1,600 (anon) +1,471 Near-Familiar +1,300

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -16.7¢ (top1%: 28% YES on $39.3K vs crowd: 44% YES on $90.1K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	95	$13.4K	$24.9K	$11.5K
🐬 Dolphin	319	$11.6K	$16.4K	$4.8K
🐟 Fish	593	$11.3K	$6.6K	+$4.7K
🦐 Shrimp	636	$3.6K	$2.1K	+$1.5K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	131	$10.9K	$28.5K	$17.6K
🏆 Top 5%	128	$3.5K	$2.8K	+$678
✅ Top 10%	105	$971	$446	+$526
Median	125	$630	$393	+$237
Below median	581	$2.6K	$2.1K	+$573
⚠️ Bottom 10%	263	$3.9K	$3.1K	+$854
🔻 Bottom 5%	224	$12.0K	$7.8K	+$4.2K
💀 Bottom 1%	86	$5.3K	$5.0K	+$324

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	Down	+10,000	$9,900	$9,900	96	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0x28c0…faa1	Down	+5,487	$3,236	$3,236	38	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0x38c4…9d56	Up	+4,596	$4,195	$4,195	2	02-16 00:17
(anonymous) 0x8e10…6a89	Down	+3,108	$2,930	$2,930	1	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x1766…dff8	Up	+2,822	$1,106	$1,106	2	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Down	+2,271	$587	$669	316	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Up	+2,015	$1,490	$1,682	229	02-16 00:19
Crooked-Tabernacle 0x45bc…978b	Down	+2,000	$1,970	$1,970	1	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0x85e5…6056	Down	+1,600	$1,584	$1,584	1	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0x0a75…f655	Down	+1,471	$721	$721	68	02-16 00:15
(anonymous) 0xc7fe…b391	Up	+1,426	$1,300	$1,300	2	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x3cb6…80d0	Up	+1,323	$22	$22	17	02-16 00:22
Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a	Down	+1,300	$982	$982	7	02-16 00:19
Tender-Vernacular 0x48b0…a348	Up	+1,232	$31	$31	11	02-16 00:20
Thankful-Beat 0x82da…da33	Down	+1,226	$1,214	$1,214	1	02-16 00:20
Dutiful-Pack 0xb06c…6961	Up	+1,182	$1,100	$1,100	2	02-16 00:18
(anonymous) 0x97e6…0691	Up	+1,053	$21	$21	23	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+1,042	$686	$686	76	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Down	+1,026	$200	$200	99	02-16 00:19
Rundown-Brilliant 0xaf8b…15f1	Up	+1,000	$10	$10	2	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Down	+1,000	$980	$980	1	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x9e7e…c359	Up	+1,000	$10	$10	13	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Up	+975	$590	$590	77	02-16 00:16
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+971	$386	$386	113	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0xc2d9…1ef4	Down	+949	$137	$137	8	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Up	+945	$644	$644	74	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+940	$194	$312	88	02-16 00:19
Right-Strawman 0x7b6b…0c4c	Down	+915	$906	$906	16	02-16 00:22
(anonymous) 0x97cb…9e10	Down	+871	$154	$154	134	02-16 00:19
Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e	Down	+840	$198	$198	127	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+819	$492	$492	20	02-16 00:16
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+819	$525	$525	83	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x36ed…04ec	Up	+817	$27	$27	28	02-16 00:20
Dreary-Clavicle 0x5320…f3b2	Down	+811	$200	$200	1	02-16 00:19
Heartfelt-Carry 0x0b0b…9b00	Up	+790	$466	$466	93	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0x0e43…fa38	Up	+759	$163	$503	138	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0xb353…202e	Up	+758	$227	$227	1	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0xb353…202e	Down	+758	$227	$227	33	02-16 00:19
Heartfelt-Carry 0x0b0b…9b00	Down	+726	$292	$292	81	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0xc2d9…1ef4	Up	+700	$28	$28	25	02-16 00:19
Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79	Down	+691	$380	$380	20	02-16 00:20
This-Disembodiment 0x2727…68b5	Up	+673	$597	$597	2	02-16 00:18
(anonymous) 0x0844…2c65	Down	+650	$610	$610	24	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0xcecd…1ac5	Up	+638	$539	$539	40	02-16 00:18
Tender-Vernacular 0x48b0…a348	Down	+616	$28	$28	4	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+610	$438	$438	31	02-16 00:18
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	Up	+600	$7	$7	3	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0xa0db…75de	Down	+580	$99	$99	1	02-16 00:17
(anonymous) 0x1d00…0313	Down	+557	$284	$284	23	02-16 00:19
Extra-Large-Grill 0xd339…aea1	Down	+557	$162	$162	90	02-16 00:17
Failing-Doorway 0xfe1d…219e	Up	+544	$443	$443	15	02-16 00:18
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	Down	+528	$314	$314	65	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0xa906…69a0	Up	+517	$38	$38	6	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0x9f3c…e85a	Down	+515	$200	$200	2	02-16 00:16
Extra-Large-Grill 0xd339…aea1	Up	+514	$363	$363	60	02-16 00:17
(anonymous) 0x71dd…6ee7	Down	+510	$126	$126	111	02-16 00:18
(anonymous) 0x71dd…6ee7	Up	+508	$383	$383	96	02-16 00:18
(anonymous) 0x1d68…36c9	Down	+505	$500	$500	1	02-16 00:20
(anonymous) 0xdda6…925a	Up	+500	$248	$248	20	02-16 00:19
(anonymous) 0x1d00…0313	Up	+492	$257	$257	20	02-16 00:19