Realized P&L
+$216
Unrealized P&L
+$471
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
11
Trades
237,300
lifetime
Volume
$26.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$5.89K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-21 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 50% $-63
Politics
4% 100% +$77
Other
4% 100% +$203
Sports
0% 0% $-1
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 727 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5,000 $4,300 94¢ $4.7K +$425 06-06 09:00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +500 $424 86¢ $427 +$4 06-16 08:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -380 $-371 98¢ $-373 $-1 07-09 23:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +380 $277 72¢ $276 $-2 07-21 20:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $94 89¢ $89 $-5 07-16 08:36
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 92¢ $-0 $-0 06-18 07:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-50 80¢ $-0 +$50 06-08 00:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-05 12:07