Realized P&L
+$339.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.17K
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved
7,704
Trades
242,447
lifetime
Volume
$27.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$113
Open exposure
$71.2K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-28 07:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 193 days
Categories
Crypto
89% 70% +$332,324
Politics
5% 87% +$3,939
Other
5% 86% +$2,443
Sports
1% 84% +$196
Tech
0% 78% +$59
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 510 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +32,625 $31,962 98¢ $31.9K -$39 10-27 08:11
Trump out as President before 2027? No +14,355 $13,568 95¢ $13.7K +$120 10-25 03:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +8,333 $7,885 95¢ $7.9K +$32 10-28 05:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,761 98¢ $4.9K +$141 10-25 16:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,000 $3,877 82¢ $4.1K +$198 09-01 10:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,029 $1,864 98¢ $2.0K +$132 10-27 10:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,500 $1,496 100¢ $1.5K -$1 10-27 01:06
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,111 $1,108 100¢ $1.1K +$0 10-25 23:47
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,112 $1,071 96¢ $1.1K -$1 10-27 02:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +900 $899 100¢ $899 +$0 10-24 23:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +700 $665 94¢ $654 -$10 10-24 22:19
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +629 $604 97¢ $609 +$5 10-24 23:12
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +500 $424 94¢ $468 +$44 06-16 08:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +377 -$152 96¢ $362 +$515 10-24 23:10
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +28 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 10-28 07:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 09-01 10:16
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 10-24 23:10
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 10-25 14:15
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +100 $19 1¢ $1 -$18 10-27 21:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -0 -$50 96¢ $-0 +$50 06-08 00:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -0 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 06-05 12:07