Realized P&L (7d)
+$466
Unrealized P&L
+$620
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
124
242,454 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$74.1K
$27.4M lifetime
Avg / trade
$113
Open exposure
$63.9K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-29 02:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Crypto
89% 70% +$332,324
Other
5% 87% +$2,909
Politics
5% 87% +$3,939
Sports
1% 84% +$196
Tech
0% 78% +$59
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 510 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +35,178 $34,429 96¢ $33.7K -$711 10-29 02:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No +14,355 $13,568 96¢ $13.7K +$177 10-25 03:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,761 98¢ $4.9K +$146 10-25 16:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,000 $3,877 82¢ $4.1K +$248 09-01 10:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,029 $1,864 98¢ $2.0K +$134 10-27 10:18
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,111 $1,108 100¢ $1.1K +$0 10-25 23:47
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,112 $1,071 97¢ $1.1K +$6 10-27 02:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +700 $665 96¢ $668 +$4 10-24 22:19
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +629 $604 97¢ $609 +$5 10-24 23:12
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +528 $527 100¢ $528 +$1 10-28 12:48
gta vi released before november 2026 No +500 $485 100¢ $499 +$14 08-20 22:15
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +500 $424 94¢ $472 +$49 06-16 08:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +377 -$152 96¢ $363 +$515 10-24 23:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 09-01 10:16
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 10-24 23:10
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 10-25 14:15
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +100 $19 1¢ $1 -$18 10-27 21:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -0 -$50 96¢ $-0 +$50 06-08 00:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -0 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 06-05 12:07