Discrete-Potential — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

27 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$49

$49 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 92% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$4	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-14 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-14 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-14 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	$-2	05-13 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-14 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-14 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	$-2	05-13 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-14 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-14 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-13 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-14 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-13 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-14 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-14 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-13 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-14 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-14 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-14 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-13 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-14 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x12b0d4…
05-14 06:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x630187…
05-14 05:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x03eedf…
05-14 05:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x97cfa6…
05-14 05:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbef613…
05-14 05:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x42a59b…
05-14 03:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf82d9b…
05-14 03:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x555310…
05-14 02:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa152ff…
05-14 02:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd059c3…
05-14 02:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x54d4fc…
05-14 02:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xbf7554…
05-14 01:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc483b2…
05-14 01:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x98be24…
05-14 01:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2ad3aa…
05-13 23:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb2c30b…
05-13 23:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa68fe3…
05-13 23:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x673cb1…
05-13 22:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x04a7f8…
05-13 22:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2e2b5a…
05-13 22:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x78f1d2…
05-13 21:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xfeb8e8…
05-13 21:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x60a32e…
05-13 21:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd137ca…
05-13 20:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6eaf68…
05-13 20:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xea7339…
05-13 19:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdf2917…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	26	$6.03K	195	05-14 06:20
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	26	$771	200	05-14 06:18
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	25	$4.04K	352	05-14 06:18
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	25	$1.83K	167	05-14 06:16
Outlandish-Dragon-Curler 0x218f…17bc	25	$712	170	05-14 06:16
Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579	25	$696	92	05-14 06:16
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	24	$7.00K	105	05-14 06:16
Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7	24	$1.80K	133	05-14 06:16