Frilly-Hail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-18 13:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 100% +$0

Politics

27% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	21	$218	3,305	3,305	-0	open	—	02-22 14:06
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	3	$65	2,001	2,001	+0	open	—	02-22 12:21
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-12 13:31
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-10 09:25
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-09 12:43
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-08 10:30
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-07 09:09
bitcoin above 78k on april 19	2	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-19 14:49
bitcoin above 74k on april 6	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-05 17:56
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-04 14:55
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-03 15:06
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-31 07:42
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-30 11:12
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-29 07:57
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-28 12:51
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-27 12:41
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-26 09:35
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-25 16:38
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-23 08:21
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-22 11:56
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-21 12:23
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-20 08:42
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-19 10:26
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-18 12:34
will iran strike israel on march 4	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	03-07 16:29
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	03-13 16:46
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-24 08:08
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-12 09:52
ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-12 13:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 13:14:29	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf46da3…
06-14 13:27:45	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x857047…
06-12 13:09:40	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x605ce2…
06-11 00:57:12	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x55a2d6…
06-04 09:08:21	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xca9cfa…
05-28 02:11:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf987dd…
05-23 11:46:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe7d127…
05-21 12:15:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8e21c3…
05-18 14:34:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x47bb47…
05-14 08:50:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf927b9…
05-10 09:25:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x0f428b…
05-09 16:00:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xadff59…
05-07 12:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbd0ef3…
05-03 08:44:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9603ef…
04-27 09:28:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x69b6e5…
04-26 12:44:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe71ebb…
04-24 10:07:14	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xee50b9…
04-23 09:31:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x930993…
04-22 13:31:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdb3dfe…
04-21 10:40:34	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc1625e…
04-20 13:52:22	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x39eb65…
04-19 14:49:16	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfec9a3…
04-19 14:44:12	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x392011…
04-18 13:56:06	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x996c55…
04-15 10:06:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x022149…
04-14 14:55:49	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xeacae5…
04-13 10:10:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6be783…
04-13 01:01:49	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x05e8a0…
04-12 13:31:57	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xee8808…
04-11 19:22:25	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2a8522…
04-11 19:22:09	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6490bc…
04-10 09:25:29	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x421126…
04-09 12:43:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xd3ae86…
04-08 10:30:27	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x189a5f…
04-07 09:09:45	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xaf2204…
04-05 17:56:51	bitcoin above 74k on april 6	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe94dab…
04-04 14:55:25	will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x81c735…
04-03 15:06:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x476ff7…
04-01 04:04:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd627c4…
03-31 07:42:17	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x48fa9e…
03-30 11:12:24	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x517db9…
03-29 07:57:32	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x53cc60…
03-28 12:51:55	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x51a715…
03-27 12:41:03	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3be54f…
03-26 09:35:55	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x41292e…
03-25 16:38:49	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd4c4aa…
03-24 08:08:41	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x453f0e…
03-23 08:21:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8d692a…
03-22 11:56:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa5620a…
03-21 12:23:17	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5a4c53…
03-20 08:42:59	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x345383…
03-19 10:26:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf303fe…
03-18 12:34:25	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7ad0dd…
03-13 16:46:01	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x468471…
03-12 09:52:31	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x519bd9…
03-07 16:29:53	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xa6bad1…
03-04 10:10:21	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x932920…
03-03 14:08:59	solana up or down on march 3	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4b2817…
02-22 14:06:26	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0xc4d0c7…
02-22 14:00:10	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x0ad7bc…
02-22 13:59:04	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0x21ae5f…
02-22 13:58:14	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0xfc58e2…
02-22 13:57:20	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x103945…
02-22 13:54:40	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x44024c…
02-22 13:54:10	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	51	3¢	$2	0x0121e5…
02-22 13:53:12	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0x3df3df…
02-22 13:52:42	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb6fc3b…
02-22 13:52:04	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xecc178…
02-22 13:49:00	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0x0d7868…
02-22 13:42:26	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	46	3¢	$2	0x79e060…
02-22 13:41:08	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	47	3¢	$2	0x864905…
02-22 13:39:42	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,303	3¢	$43	0x5006f5…
02-22 13:25:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,805	3¢	$60	0x067cd2…
02-22 12:27:56	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,500	3¢	$50	0x736d20…
02-22 12:27:38	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	848	3¢	$28	0x9598e2…
02-22 12:27:22	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$2	0x538e15…
02-22 12:22:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0xa619f2…
02-22 12:21:00	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$17	0x3d9294…
02-22 12:20:58	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	446	3¢	$15	0xd7e6b8…
02-22 12:20:56	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0xcc9682…
02-22 12:13:56	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$16	0x5362e1…
02-22 12:10:06	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2,001	2¢	$32	0xa1df57…