Realized P&L
-$3.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.28K
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
36
Trades
101
lifetime
Volume
$121.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.20K
Open exposure
$9.08K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-18 06:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
37% 21% -$6,969
Politics
30% 29% +$1,166
Crypto
24% 100% +$2,792
Tech
9% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +13,042 $2,086 31¢ $4.0K +$1,924 10-14 23:17
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No +4,398 $620 27¢ $1.2K +$574 10-01 03:05
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +12,344 $1,196 9¢ $1.2K -$42 10-18 06:34
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +2,148 $443 34¢ $720 +$277 10-01 03:06
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +10,398 $1,839 6¢ $676 -$1,163 09-19 00:51
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -842 -$598 55¢ $-467 +$131 08-24 21:29
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +5,449 $481 8¢ $436 -$45 10-18 06:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,500 -$288 18¢ $-273 +$15 08-24 21:29
will the us announce a diesel export ban by october 31 Yes +5,000 $676 1¢ $68 -$609 09-30 04:33
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes -809 -$256 6¢ $-44 +$211 06-19 16:26
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +70 $32 50¢ $35 +$3 10-01 03:08