Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

508 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$4.85K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$13

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-20

last 10-29 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

58% 60% +$160

Politics

35% 60% -$57

Tech

6% 53% -$72

Sports

1% 100% +$18

Crypto

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	—	+14	$7	62¢	$8	+$2	09-24 21:34
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No		+4	$2	74¢	$3	+$1	09-24 18:06
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+4	$1	26¢	$1	$0	09-22 18:29
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No		+22	$20	4¢	$1	-$19	09-23 16:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 4 CA Paranaense?	6	$178	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	10-12 23:54
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	3	$126	130	130	+0	Yes	+$4	09-22 17:54
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	4	$109	68	68	+0	open	—	09-28 15:31
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	4	$108	62	62	+0	open	—	09-23 09:10
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-18?	2	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	10-11 22:42
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	2	$93	100	100	+0	Yes	+$5	10-21 19:17
next confirmed pneumonic plague case in russia 20261003t000000000z will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in russia by october 31 2026	3	$90	51	51	+0	No	+$11	10-29 17:38
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	14	$86	100	100	+0	Yes	+$54	10-15 18:29
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	6	$81	109	50	+59	Yes	-$18	09-22 17:59
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	3	$80	100	100	+0	No	+$28	10-14 20:10
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	4	$71	55	47	+8	open	—	09-24 18:06
will ohio enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027	2	$68	51	51	+0	open	—	10-29 17:38
trump renames ai by september 30	6	$58	62	62	+0	Yes	+$6	09-25 12:49
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-10-15?	3	$58	100	100	+0	No	+$0	10-13 12:16
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	09-23 15:08
Will Dario Amodei attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?	8	$49	86	27	+59	No	-$2	09-23 08:37
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	3	$49	101	101	+0	Yes	+$4	10-14 04:27
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$47	39	39	+0	Yes	+$7	09-23 14:06
will trump say great hall during his evening remarks with xi jinping	3	$46	90	0	+90	No	+$7	09-24 17:40
Will Senegal win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group J?	3	$45	27	27	-0	open	—	10-29 17:38
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?	7	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	10-29 17:38
Will South Africa win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group D?	3	$44	35	35	+0	open	—	10-29 17:38
Will Trump say "Cuba" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	2	$43	64	0	+64	Yes	-$43	09-22 12:55
Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	3	$43	38	38	+0	Yes	+$3	09-24 16:39
will trump say si during his evening remarks with xi jinping	5	$42	91	0	+91	No	+$10	09-24 17:25
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	10-29 17:38
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	1	$41	50	0	+50	Yes	-$41	09-22 18:00
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?	4	$40	27	27	+0	No	+$1	09-24 16:38
Will Trump say "Commencement" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	1	$40	51	0	+51	No	+$11	10-02 18:32
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	3	$40	33	33	+0	open	—	10-29 17:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:39:08	Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x28ab29…
10-29 17:39:04	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x5edee8…
10-29 17:39:02	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x260d85…
10-29 17:38:59	Mortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?	No	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0xff396c…
10-29 17:38:58	Will Burkina Faso win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group F?	Yes	SELL	26	51¢	$13	0xeb67cd…
10-29 17:38:56	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf9e286…
10-29 17:38:55	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	21	60¢	$12	0xb8707b…
10-29 17:38:52	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x8f0914…
10-29 17:38:52	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0x14cf7c…
10-29 17:38:47	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xdb8a3c…
10-29 17:38:46	Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0xbe4716…
10-29 17:38:46	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x0b8eb8…
10-29 17:38:43	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0xdbdfd6…
10-29 17:38:40	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0x433e40…
10-29 17:38:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa3c859…
10-29 17:38:37	Will Equatorial Guinea win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group E?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xd15249…
10-29 17:38:35	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on December 31?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xa86c19…
10-29 17:38:35	Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x3a97d7…
10-29 17:38:34	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1ce4a0…
10-29 17:38:32	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	38	47¢	$18	0x7d7828…
10-29 17:38:29	Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?	No	SELL	24	93¢	$22	0xc9fcae…
10-29 17:38:28	Will Senegal win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group J?	Yes	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0xcc6fc0…
10-29 17:38:25	Will South Africa win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group D?	Yes	SELL	35	68¢	$24	0x426e1e…
10-29 17:38:11	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	88¢	$29	0x16179d…
10-29 17:38:10	Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	51	78¢	$40	0xc30831…
10-29 17:38:08	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x53c996…
10-21 19:17:14	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	No	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x3da73f…
10-21 18:48:05	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x392e00…
10-15 18:29:35	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x19170b…
10-14 20:10:13	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x82a3f9…
10-14 04:27:47	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	SELL	101	26¢	$26	0xb83d73…
10-13 12:16:05	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-10-15?	No	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xc33656…
10-13 08:42:40	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-10-15?	No	SELL	99	29¢	$29	0xae3eba…
10-12 23:54:45	Exact Score: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 4 CA Paranaense?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$0	0xf95953…
10-12 23:54:44	Exact Score: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 4 CA Paranaense?	No	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0x37f390…
10-12 23:54:26	Exact Score: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 4 CA Paranaense?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xcbdf13…
10-12 23:54:24	Exact Score: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 4 CA Paranaense?	No	SELL	27	90¢	$25	0x50dadf…
10-12 23:53:41	Exact Score: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 4 CA Paranaense?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x3dfa6a…
10-12 23:13:30	Exact Score: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 1 - 4 CA Paranaense?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x435ed5…
10-11 22:42:09	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xa27e6b…
10-10 12:12:18	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$11	0xa7cd69…
10-10 07:18:25	Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0xe12826…
10-09 13:25:31	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x0995b8…
10-06 08:05:28	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	87	26¢	$23	0xdca1f9…
10-06 08:01:34	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x83e1f8…
10-06 02:59:49	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xee6c6a…
10-06 02:07:47	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xf3020a…
10-06 00:45:35	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x079ef2…
10-06 00:45:34	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xf20a72…
10-06 00:45:34	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xe289c0…
10-05 22:32:58	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	72	21¢	$15	0x185f4e…
10-05 22:32:32	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xd37133…
10-05 22:31:04	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x3b11ec…
10-05 22:31:04	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x2c8ac5…
10-05 22:18:01	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5cfb0b…
10-05 21:37:17	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x72a694…
10-05 21:31:13	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x9309a3…
10-05 21:31:13	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x10fb1a…
10-05 21:30:10	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xe00b5a…
10-05 21:30:10	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x947623…
10-05 21:29:50	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x917646…
10-05 21:29:50	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x2ac10d…
10-05 21:29:43	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x48ec0d…
10-05 21:29:43	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x0e3e20…
10-05 21:28:37	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xbafee4…
10-05 21:28:35	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xd61c47…
10-05 15:54:29	Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	Latvia	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xa17b2b…
10-05 15:51:17	Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x950fb6…
10-05 06:28:02	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xa0025a…
10-05 04:20:19	next confirmed pneumonic plague case in russia 20261003t000000000z will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in russia by october 15 2026	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xdaaba7…
10-05 03:24:43	next confirmed pneumonic plague case in russia 20261003t000000000z will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in russia by october 15 2026	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x545280…
10-05 03:07:04	next confirmed pneumonic plague case in russia 20261003t000000000z will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in russia by october 31 2026	No	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0xe58729…
10-05 02:24:22	next confirmed pneumonic plague case in russia 20261003t000000000z will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in russia by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x022bee…
10-04 18:32:31	Wales vs. Denmark: Wales O/U 3.5 Corners	Under	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x73105b…
10-04 18:14:04	Denmark to score first vs. Wales?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xeca11f…
10-04 18:06:55	Will Wales win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc7b085…
10-04 18:03:47	Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x652538…
10-03 09:35:51	Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe065df…
10-03 09:00:26	Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xd362bf…
10-03 08:12:08	Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x129d90…
10-03 02:35:17	Will Estonia win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xc5377a…
10-03 00:57:00	Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc16aeb…
10-02 18:39:56	Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xdbe360…
10-02 18:38:45	Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xa1677d…
10-02 18:38:45	Will Trump say "Hell" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x560a5c…
10-02 18:38:45	Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3ba78f…
10-02 18:38:44	Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x32f753…
10-02 18:36:11	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x909842…
10-02 18:36:09	Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x79f462…
10-02 18:36:09	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x18bef6…
10-02 18:36:08	Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xe33955…
10-02 18:36:08	Will Trump say "ICE" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd0f79f…
10-02 18:36:06	Will Trump say "Football" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	15	17¢	$2	0xe48719…
10-02 18:36:06	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xd1ad22…
10-02 18:35:09	Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xc6585a…
10-02 18:32:42	Will Trump say "Commencement" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x7bc476…
10-02 14:59:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xdd696e…
10-02 14:28:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x26d1aa…
10-02 11:58:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1ea758…
10-01 19:10:53	France vs. Italy: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x14036b…