Ill-Fated-Loophole — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

164

1,319 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$607

$6.33K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-13 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

49% 57% +$64

Sports

38% 52% +$75

Politics

9% 42% -$143

Crypto

3% 59% -$19

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Henry Searle	Massimo Giunta	+10	$4	44¢	$4	+$0	11-13 09:52
W35 Heraklion: Sapfo Sakellaridi vs Matilde Paoletti	Matilde Paoletti	+5	$4	57¢	$3	-$1	11-13 08:26
Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Sumit Nagal	Sumit Nagal	+5	$2	42¢	$2	$0	11-13 09:54
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)	Singapore	+5	$1	23¢	$1	$0	11-13 05:16
Hersonissos 3: Michele Ribecai vs Adrian Andreev	Adrian Andreev	+10	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	11-13 08:18
Brisbane 3: Akira Santillan vs Christian Langmo	Akira Santillan	+10	$8	0¢	$0	-$8	11-13 07:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl ben1 rma1 2026 01 28 rma1	13	$139	116	116	+0	No	+$37	01-28 22:13
nba por was 2026 01 27	19	$138	142	145	-4	Wizards	+$44	01-28 04:42
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$120	210	0	+210	No	-$120	03-07 21:07
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	12	$106	58	58	+0	No	+$1	02-01 04:54
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$82	63	63	-0	Yes	+$11	01-31 06:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$59	36	36	+0	Yes	+$1	02-15 14:26
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	4	$44	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	02-02 19:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$41	25	25	+0	No	+$0	01-29 06:51
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$35	82	82	+0	No	-$5	02-02 19:17
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	3	$34	58	4	+54	No	+$24	02-02 20:38
atp fritz korda 2026 02 13	4	$29	43	14	+29	Fritz	-$3	02-13 21:26
WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova	7	$26	28	20	+7	Jessica Pegula	+$3	11-13 00:04
nba ind mil 2026 02 06	5	$25	49	0	+49	Bucks	-$4	02-06 19:45
nba lac hou 2026 02 10 spread home 7pt5	5	$25	49	0	+49	Clippers	+$5	02-10 20:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$23	56	56	+0	Yes	+$3	02-28 06:04
Brisbane 3: Akira Santillan vs Christian Langmo	5	$22	20	10	+10	open	—	11-13 09:41
Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren	5	$22	20	10	+10	August Holmgren	-$2	11-13 07:01
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$1	02-01 04:54
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	3	$21	21	11	+10	No	-$1	01-29 06:51
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	02-01 04:53
nba min dal 2026 01 28	3	$21	75	0	+75	Timberwolves	-$21	01-28 23:48
nba dal phx 2026 02 10 spread home 7pt5	5	$20	40	0	+40	Suns	-$1	02-10 14:34
nba det nyk 2026 02 19 spread home 4pt5	2	$20	40	0	+40	Pistons	-$1	02-19 17:56
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-31 06:44
nba sas det 2026 02 23 total 230pt5	2	$20	40	0	+40	Under	+$2	02-23 23:59
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	1	$20	24	0	+24	Yes	+$4	02-28 06:15
nba sac mem 2026 02 23 total 233pt5	2	$20	40	0	+40	Over	+$0	02-24 00:43
nba bkn okc 2026 02 20 total 212pt5	2	$20	39	0	+39	Under	+$0	02-20 17:24
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. San Jose State Spartans	5	$20	20	10	+10	UC Riverside Highlanders	+$0	11-13 05:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	02-01 04:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 09:54:16	Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Sumit Nagal	Sumit Nagal	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x95dfc6…
11-13 09:52:51	Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Henry Searle	Massimo Giunta	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc30aae…
11-13 09:42:15	Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Henry Searle	Massimo Giunta	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0d6332…
11-13 09:41:52	Brisbane 3: Akira Santillan vs Christian Langmo	Christian Langmo	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x50512d…
11-13 08:26:24	W35 Heraklion: Sapfo Sakellaridi vs Matilde Paoletti	Matilde Paoletti	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x535315…
11-13 08:18:09	Hersonissos 3: Michele Ribecai vs Adrian Andreev	Adrian Andreev	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xac59f6…
11-13 08:08:15	Hersonissos 3: Michele Ribecai vs Adrian Andreev	Adrian Andreev	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6c177e…
11-13 07:35:43	Brisbane 3: Akira Santillan vs Christian Langmo	Akira Santillan	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xdf1182…
11-13 07:33:16	Brisbane 3: Akira Santillan vs Christian Langmo	Akira Santillan	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3569ce…
11-13 07:01:04	Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren	August Holmgren	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x87954e…
11-13 06:45:19	Brisbane 3: Akira Santillan vs Christian Langmo	Christian Langmo	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3a8e4b…
11-13 06:43:18	Matsuyama: Kaichi Uchida vs Billy Harris	Billy Harris	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xdc3472…
11-13 06:37:10	Matsuyama: Kaichi Uchida vs Billy Harris	Billy Harris	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7cfaae…
11-13 05:57:40	Brisbane 3: Akira Santillan vs Christian Langmo	Christian Langmo	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1bdc95…
11-13 05:52:15	Spread: Louisiana (-13.5)	Louisiana	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc4aa73…
11-13 05:51:31	Brisbane 3: Dane Sweeny vs Juncheng Shang	Juncheng Shang	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x223dc7…
11-13 05:41:31	Spread: Louisiana (-17.5)	Louisiana	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x41ce76…
11-13 05:40:22	Spread: Louisiana (-17.5)	Louisiana	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfd86ae…
11-13 05:37:52	Spread: Louisiana (-17.5)	Louisiana	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa0a61f…
11-13 05:36:43	Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren	August Holmgren	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x361bec…
11-13 05:34:58	Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren	August Holmgren	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x120921…
11-13 05:31:46	Spread: Louisiana (-10.5)	Louisiana	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x82d6d2…
11-13 05:30:15	Spread: Louisiana (-7.5)	Louisiana	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7896c8…
11-13 05:25:22	Spread: Louisiana (-16.5)	Louisiana-Monroe	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x230ecd…
11-13 05:25:01	Brisbane 3: Dane Sweeny vs Juncheng Shang	Juncheng Shang	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x458f57…
11-13 05:24:57	Spread: Louisiana (-14.5)	Louisiana-Monroe	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0bf5be…
11-13 05:24:07	Spread: Louisiana (-13.5)	Louisiana	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xcdbdc3…
11-13 05:22:45	Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe: O/U 55.5	Over	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x583aa4…
11-13 05:17:36	Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren	Bernard Tomic	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x77f4ef…
11-13 05:17:10	Spread: Louisiana (-17.5)	Louisiana-Monroe	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x37b6a1…
11-13 05:16:34	Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)	Singapore	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x55873e…
11-13 05:15:10	Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren	Bernard Tomic	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe9a4d7…
11-13 05:15:06	Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe: O/U 55.5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xefb1d0…
11-13 05:13:21	Matsuyama: Kaichi Uchida vs Billy Harris	Billy Harris	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfdd859…
11-13 05:12:55	Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe: O/U 55.5	Over	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1da94c…
11-13 05:12:48	Blues vs. Utah	Blues	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd46a45…
11-13 05:09:51	Blues vs. Utah	Blues	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x384aba…
11-13 05:06:00	Spread: Louisiana (-5.5)	Louisiana	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xaae4d1…
11-13 05:06:00	Spread: Louisiana (-6.5)	Louisiana	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3280e2…
11-13 05:05:45	UC Riverside Highlanders vs. San Jose State Spartans	UC Riverside Highlanders	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x37da34…
11-13 05:03:19	Brisbane 3: Dane Sweeny vs Juncheng Shang	Juncheng Shang	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe9b31d…
11-13 05:02:45	UC Riverside Highlanders vs. San Jose State Spartans	UC Riverside Highlanders	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x29e2de…
11-13 05:02:28	Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Louisiana	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd4aaf5…
11-13 04:50:19	Blues vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8e1829…
11-13 04:50:04	UC Riverside Highlanders vs. San Jose State Spartans	San Jose State Spartans	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8e64b0…
11-13 04:49:30	W75 Brisbane: Xinxin Yao vs Emerson Jones	Emerson Jones	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3f60de…
11-13 04:47:04	Spread: Louisiana (-5.5)	Louisiana	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9ba4ac…
11-13 04:47:03	Spread: Louisiana (-10.5)	Louisiana	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcf75df…
11-13 04:46:27	Hornets vs. Suns	Suns	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x880640…
11-13 04:43:15	W75 Brisbane: Xinxin Yao vs Emerson Jones	Emerson Jones	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbdb350…
11-13 04:43:09	Memphis vs. South Florida	Memphis	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7a9981…
11-13 04:38:49	Spread: Louisiana (-6.5)	Louisiana	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x23e5aa…
11-13 04:36:30	UC Riverside Highlanders vs. San Jose State Spartans	San Jose State Spartans	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7269eb…
11-13 04:36:00	Spread: Louisiana (-10.5)	Louisiana	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0a5a63…
11-13 04:35:54	Spread: Louisiana (-7.5)	Louisiana-Monroe	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x478622…
11-13 04:35:24	Memphis vs. South Florida	South Florida	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5d3410…
11-13 04:33:58	Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Louisiana-Monroe	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa093aa…
11-13 04:32:49	UC Riverside Highlanders vs. San Jose State Spartans	UC Riverside Highlanders	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x04da1b…
11-13 04:32:15	Memphis vs. South Florida	South Florida	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf82875…
11-13 04:31:49	Spread: Louisiana (-7.5)	Louisiana	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5bf3e8…
11-13 04:31:39	Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc50b1c…
11-13 04:30:49	W50 Yokohama: Kyoka Okamura vs Rinko Matsuda	Rinko Matsuda	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe6a2c7…
11-13 04:30:45	Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 211.5	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf0d7ab…
11-13 04:30:45	Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 197.5	Under	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x33066e…
11-13 04:30:43	Spread: Suns (-6.5)	Hornets	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x28305f…
11-13 04:30:42	Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 237.5	Under	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x685841…
11-13 04:19:36	Spread: Louisiana (-10.5)	Louisiana-Monroe	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3697c8…
11-13 04:18:49	Spread: Louisiana (-7.5)	Louisiana-Monroe	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x68f57c…
11-13 04:17:34	Memphis vs. South Florida	Memphis	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xfe02f9…
11-13 04:17:28	Spread: Commanders (-2.5)	Commanders	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3c7e88…
11-13 04:13:16	Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 211.5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd89609…
11-13 04:12:42	Spread: Hornets (-5.5)	Suns	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb40f9f…
11-13 04:07:46	Matsuyama: Kaichi Uchida vs Billy Harris	Kaichi Uchida	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x87b21b…
11-13 04:03:37	Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 197.5	Under	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbe6691…
11-13 04:03:27	Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 201.5	Over	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6feae4…
11-13 04:03:24	Spread: Commanders (-4.5)	Giants	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf57731…
11-13 03:31:22	Spread: Louisiana (-7.5)	Louisiana	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc03bd3…
11-13 03:30:52	Hornets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x33a485…
11-13 03:30:37	Memphis vs. South Florida: O/U 59.5	Over	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcb3f76…
11-13 03:18:36	Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 211.5	Under	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x32c306…
11-13 03:15:36	Spread: Memphis (-14.5)	Memphis	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5fd467…
11-13 03:15:21	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb303ab…
11-13 02:58:07	Memphis vs. South Florida: O/U 71.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc9e28b…
11-13 02:57:22	Memphis vs. South Florida: O/U 71.5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6fb0de…
11-13 02:56:33	Hornets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 99.5	Over	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x52f45d…
11-13 02:55:27	Jets vs. Stars: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe05d29…
11-13 02:54:03	Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Louisiana	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x318e58…
11-13 02:53:43	Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc830e6…
11-13 02:50:24	Hornets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 99.5	Over	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7c8bf3…
11-13 02:50:15	Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars	South Alabama Jaguars	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x789732…
11-13 02:49:24	Spread: Commanders (-4.5)	Giants	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4e5019…
11-13 02:48:33	Spread: Commanders (-2.5)	Commanders	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5e26bc…
11-13 02:48:13	Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x595a9e…
11-13 02:46:58	Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x97838b…
11-13 02:46:07	Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1ddac1…
11-13 02:46:03	Spread: Hornets (-13.5)	Suns	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4f6baf…
11-13 02:44:03	Spread: Suns (-3.5)	Hornets	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x667b6a…
11-13 02:43:39	Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars	South Alabama Jaguars	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x49924d…
11-13 02:25:51	Spread: Suns (-6.5)	Hornets	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x75501a…
11-13 02:25:46	Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd2208a…