Hopeful-Subject 0x741403…fb82b8 Create alert
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
33.8%
Resolved
74
Trades
430
lifetime
Volume
$3.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$66
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 11-08 20:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
65% 44% -$41
Tech
11% 0% -$9
Crypto
10% 53% -$16
Politics
6% 50% -$1
Sports
4% 25% +$83
Pop-Culture
4% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12? Yes +20 $5 100¢ $20 +$15 11-05 23:25
Will there be exactly 1 government shutdown by December 31, 2027? No +20 $19 64¢ $13 -$6 11-05 05:10
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +20 $16 59¢ $12 -$4 11-08 11:08
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? No +20 $7 41¢ $8 +$1 11-07 12:33
Will there be exactly 1 government shutdown by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $9 36¢ $7 -$2 11-05 06:27
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 70% by March 31? Yes +5 $7 67¢ $3 -$3 11-07 12:57
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 70% by March 31? No +5 $3 33¢ $2 -$1 11-07 04:27
Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? Yes +1 $2 39¢ $0 -$2 11-05 12:02
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? Yes +1 $3 34¢ $0 -$2 11-05 02:09
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? Yes +0 $0 35¢ $0 $0 11-06 01:07
Will Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for between $50m and $60m at auction? Yes +0 $0 37¢ $0 +$0 11-08 18:46
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +50 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-04 17:50
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12? No +20 $14 0¢ $0 -$14 11-05 23:07