Knowing-Buy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$207

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

439

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-13 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 51% -$48

Other

34% 43% -$149

Sports

0% 12% -$9

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	11	$63	104	54	+50	Up	+$3	05-12 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	7	$59	55	55	+0	Up	+$29	05-12 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on May 6?	13	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	05-05 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	9	$51	89	74	+15	Down	+$1	05-12 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	9	$49	50	42	+8	Up	+$7	05-12 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	3	$48	39	39	+0	Up	+$12	05-08 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	9	$47	147	98	+48	Up	-$2	05-12 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?	16	$44	2,469	0	+2,469	Yes	-$24	05-03 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$42	64	64	+0	Down	+$14	05-08 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	9	$42	93	93	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	7	$36	116	61	+56	Up	-$4	05-12 10:37
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 5?	9	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-05 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	5	$35	24	24	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$34	46	20	+26	Down	+$4	05-11 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	6	$33	32	31	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$32	27	27	+0	Up	+$14	05-08 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	6	$32	27	27	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$32	41	22	+19	Down	-$8	05-12 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$30	22	22	+0	Up	+$12	05-08 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$29	102	62	+40	Up	+$31	05-12 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	2	$29	46	46	+0	Up	+$17	05-08 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	3	$28	519	19	+500	Up	$0	05-08 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$28	42	28	+14	Up	-$2	05-12 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	5	$28	137	81	+56	Down	-$2	05-12 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$28	52	14	+39	Down	-$2	05-12 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	5	$27	46	19	+27	Up	-$3	05-12 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	6	$27	32	24	+8	Up	-$3	05-12 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$27	24	16	+8	Up	+$4	05-12 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$25	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$24	18	18	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 03:15:51	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xbce863…
06-09 20:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcfff69…
06-09 20:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0b584a…
06-09 20:11:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x479bd2…
06-09 20:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x262851…
06-09 20:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xaf76aa…
06-09 20:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7d45b5…
06-09 19:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0f47df…
06-09 19:15:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x417e74…
06-09 19:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x918779…
06-09 19:10:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:10 UTC	Down	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x5b2543…
06-09 19:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x7c70f0…
06-09 19:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfb5e57…
06-09 18:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa87ccc…
06-09 18:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x020378…
06-09 18:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3ccf2d…
06-09 15:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x75d64e…
06-09 15:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xf12e2e…
06-09 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x77bad9…
06-09 14:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6c1e64…
06-09 13:36:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x510bba…
06-09 13:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa599c9…
06-08 14:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xd37ee2…
06-08 14:26:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x810942…
06-08 14:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2de41d…
06-08 14:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7dbfd0…
06-07 14:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x48d0d5…
06-07 13:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe19228…
06-07 13:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xeb5938…
06-06 22:30:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x08d4a8…
06-06 22:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb538b7…
06-06 22:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5654dc…
06-06 21:55:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xd6f004…
06-06 21:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1394c6…
06-06 21:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x93bd26…
06-06 21:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5eddac…
06-06 21:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd8ad7c…
06-06 20:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x156eda…
06-06 20:37:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xce174f…
06-06 20:35:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfb8b91…
06-06 20:30:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0xa6c677…
06-06 20:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9887cb…
06-06 20:06:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x35a7d4…
06-06 20:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4ffcd5…
06-06 20:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xa3cbc7…
06-06 20:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x23f94c…
06-06 19:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:50 UTC	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x561826…
06-06 19:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa6f7c6…
06-06 19:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x254f94…
06-06 19:31:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0xcb1623…
06-06 19:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc4812f…
06-06 19:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x71991b…
06-06 19:14:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5db848…
06-06 19:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfbfccd…
06-06 19:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xdef2f4…
06-06 19:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3712b3…
06-06 18:50:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 18:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x557b18…
06-06 18:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x635454…
06-06 17:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x36edac…
06-06 17:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x75f0d1…
06-06 16:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x390ddf…
06-06 16:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa00045…
06-06 16:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x65702e…
06-06 15:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xb86fdc…
06-06 15:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x199ebd…
06-06 15:05:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0xa291ae…
06-06 15:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xafbd9c…
06-06 14:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x620b40…
06-06 14:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x0a280e…
06-06 14:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0833ca…
06-06 14:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2f1024…
06-06 14:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7f5485…
05-22 03:03:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4cfcfc…
05-22 03:03:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd5a3c1…
05-18 02:19:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbba0a2…
05-18 02:19:20	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6e2566…
05-13 00:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x4404e3…
05-13 00:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa75481…
05-13 00:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9037c2…
05-13 00:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x93801f…
05-13 00:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc30002…
05-13 00:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc73070…
05-13 00:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x15200b…
05-12 23:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0f969d…
05-12 23:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x76f184…
05-12 23:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x1078a2…
05-12 23:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeeb147…
05-12 23:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9cfd29…
05-12 23:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd67b30…
05-12 23:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3f17fe…
05-12 23:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb82929…
05-12 23:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1f1618…
05-12 10:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x870841…
05-12 10:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb20442…
05-12 10:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	45	10¢	$4	0x5e466e…
05-12 10:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x0f9e96…
05-12 10:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x8081fc…
05-12 10:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x529395…
05-12 10:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x1abcd5…
05-12 10:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x133e4d…