Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.82K

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$366

Open exposure

$12.1K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-30 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

91% 67% -$1,993

Politics

9% 33% -$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,203	$2,000	90¢	$2.9K	+$882	10-30 09:45
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,026	$2,186	93¢	$2.8K	+$628	10-30 16:38
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,632	$2,450	76¢	$2.7K	+$292	10-30 09:46
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,017	$1,500	92¢	$1.9K	+$356	10-03 12:20
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,804	$1,251	94¢	$1.7K	+$435	10-19 07:08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	+102	-$119	100¢	$102	+$221	10-03 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	8	$3.6K	3,808	783	+3,026	open	—	10-30 16:38
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	7	$2.8K	1,587	1,485	+102	open	—	10-03 12:38
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	5	$2.4K	3,632	0	+3,632	open	—	10-30 09:46
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	5	$2.3K	2,405	601	+1,804	open	—	10-19 07:08
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	5	$2.2K	1,328	1,264	+64	open	—	10-30 09:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	6	$2.0K	3,203	0	+3,203	open	—	10-30 09:45
ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	1	$2.0K	2,071	0	+2,071	No	+$71	03-16 06:27
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.5K	2,017	0	+2,017	open	—	10-03 12:20
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	5	$1.0K	0	2,778	-2,778	No	-$1,760	03-05 08:40
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by April 30?	1	$500	529	0	+529	No	+$29	04-16 08:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	2	$422	303	303	+0	No	+$122	04-07 07:05
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	1	$400	484	0	+484	No	+$84	05-02 05:52
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	2	$397	0	740	-740	No	-$343	01-05 14:49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$328	0	520	-520	Yes	-$192	03-05 11:25
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?	1	$200	225	0	+225	No	+$25	08-25 19:13
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?	1	$200	220	0	+220	No	+$20	08-25 19:15
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?	1	$200	220	0	+220	No	+$20	08-25 19:12
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	2	$168	91	91	+0	open	—	10-03 12:37
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?	1	$100	133	0	+133	No	+$33	08-25 19:16
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	1	$100	120	0	+120	No	+$20	08-25 19:02
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	1	$100	244	0	+244	Yes	-$100	01-10 21:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$51	179	179	+0	No	-$49	04-13 10:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$50	549	0	+549	Yes	-$50	02-28 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:38:07	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	566	88¢	$500	0xb1ae4c…
10-30 09:50:22	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xa31a88…
10-30 09:46:01	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	675	74¢	$500	0x55ba13…
10-30 09:45:34	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	587	85¢	$500	0xb28c6f…
10-30 09:45:01	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	783	91¢	$714	0x1fd90d…
10-30 09:44:33	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	92¢	$550	0x868571…
10-19 07:08:48	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0x20d6a9…
10-19 07:08:06	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	601	91¢	$549	0x25dce6…
10-19 07:07:24	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	664	91¢	$605	0x61ef18…
10-13 12:05:49	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0xd52c1d…
10-03 12:38:38	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc15016…
10-03 12:37:50	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	91	97¢	$88	0x9b7251…
10-03 12:20:14	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	649	77¢	$500	0xaf9aa0…
10-03 12:19:09	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x46aea6…
10-03 12:18:20	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0x309cdc…
10-03 12:17:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,485	97¢	$1,444	0x058194…
10-01 13:39:38	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	653	77¢	$500	0xb7b353…
10-01 13:39:00	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	373	67¢	$250	0xd5d1d2…
08-30 08:10:42	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	415	72¢	$300	0x0669c1…
08-28 09:32:57	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x94a2c3…
08-28 09:32:24	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0x3d4a19…
08-27 09:46:48	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	566	53¢	$300	0x52a4f8…
08-27 06:13:13	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	402	75¢	$300	0x5417ef…
08-26 17:50:07	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0xfd145e…
08-26 13:49:51	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	510	49¢	$250	0x3a0e43…
08-26 13:48:25	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	157	83¢	$130	0x81a674…
08-26 13:33:18	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	650	77¢	$500	0xc325dc…
08-26 13:32:48	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xdceaea…
08-26 13:32:13	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	700	71¢	$500	0xebc513…
08-26 09:45:49	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	719	70¢	$500	0x16cb15…
08-26 09:45:37	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0x4edd26…
08-26 09:44:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	119	80¢	$95	0xc800f8…
08-25 19:30:18	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	362	83¢	$300	0xc87845…
08-25 19:17:00	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	543	46¢	$250	0x1ffca1…
08-25 19:16:09	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x18e054…
08-25 19:15:30	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x1d2741…
08-25 19:13:13	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xa7f858…
08-25 19:12:54	Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xb4bcf7…
08-25 19:02:15	Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x5aca73…
08-25 18:57:57	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	683	73¢	$500	0xcf4041…
08-25 18:57:45	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	734	68¢	$500	0x6a200b…
08-25 18:46:13	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0xf34dce…
08-25 18:42:10	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	91	88¢	$80	0x4597ab…
08-25 18:31:40	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	527	76¢	$400	0xabdc71…
08-25 11:28:24	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	399	75¢	$300	0xdb789e…
08-25 11:20:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	601	83¢	$500	0x616306…
05-02 05:52:02	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	No	BUY	484	83¢	$400	0xad8eea…
04-16 08:02:38	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by April 30?	No	BUY	529	95¢	$500	0x49a3bf…
04-13 10:46:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	179	0¢	$1	0x0448fa…
04-11 12:29:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x0e7162…
04-07 07:05:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	303	90¢	$272	0x8cfb84…
03-16 06:27:39	ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	No	BUY	2,071	97¢	$2,000	0x62a43d…
03-05 11:25:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	520	63¢	$328	0x00716f…
03-05 08:40:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	303	50¢	$150	0x60a8a6…
03-05 08:40:05	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	SELL	204	78¢	$159	0x77782c…
03-05 08:38:53	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	SELL	600	78¢	$468	0x818485…
02-28 21:09:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	549	9¢	$50	0x986884…
02-01 07:02:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	SELL	400	49¢	$196	0xe97b2f…
01-10 21:56:00	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xfe8ad7…
01-05 14:49:23	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	SELL	370	53¢	$197	0x6a3801…
01-05 14:48:31	will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	No	SELL	370	54¢	$201	0x86d786…
01-05 14:48:15	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	SELL	1,204	12¢	$147	0xd07e86…
01-05 14:47:11	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	SELL	370	13¢	$48	0x1a9c53…