Thunderous-Cylinder — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

6 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$6 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 33% $-1

Politics

33% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-1	$-1	81¢	$-1	$-0	05-10 04:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-09 18:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-09 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-10 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-09 18:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-10 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 04:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd61079…
05-10 04:52:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4f3d6e…
05-09 19:07:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x66aa82…
05-09 18:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe7d355…
05-09 18:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x49c346…
05-09 18:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf6a2e1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$741	57	05-10 04:56
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	3	$974	16	05-10 04:51
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	3	$696	59	05-10 04:51
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	3	$635	23	05-10 04:51