Sparkling-Crocodile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$105

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

269

Trades

425

lifetime

Volume

$6.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$50

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-06 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

86% 59% +$49

Crypto

7% 53% -$23

Politics

4% 60% +$23

Sports

4% 80% +$56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+29	$20	72¢	$21	+$1	11-05 10:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November?	No	+18	$10	62¢	$11	+$1	11-04 22:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+16	$10	62¢	$10	$0	10-10 21:14
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	+18	$10	44¢	$8	-$2	11-06 20:32
Besiktas vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Besiktas	+12	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	11-06 17:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	2	$105	55	55	+0	Usyk	+$5	05-23 23:42
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	2	$102	62	62	+0	Over	+$22	07-07 18:10
VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5	2	$96	56	56	+0	Over	+$16	10-23 20:14
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Christian Mbilli	4	$95	74	74	+0	Canelo	+$6	10-31 22:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$92	56	56	+0	Yes	+$12	11-04 06:25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$75	45	45	+0	Yes	+$15	11-04 06:26
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 total 3pt5	2	$75	45	45	+0	Over	+$15	02-24 20:06
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	2	$62	42	42	+0	Yes	+$22	07-01 18:09
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$60	33	33	+0	No	+$6	04-01 20:01
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 first half total 2pt5	2	$56	36	36	+0	Over	+$16	07-18 21:44
epl che wes 2026 01 31 che	2	$55	40	40	+0	Yes	+$25	01-31 19:36
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total home 3pt5	2	$53	33	33	+0	Over	+$13	06-14 18:12
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	2	$53	33	33	+0	Yes	+$13	01-10 15:44
Will Albania win on 2026-09-26?	2	$52	33	33	+0	Yes	+$12	09-26 20:16
ucl ata1 bvb 2026 02 25 total 3pt5	2	$52	32	32	+0	Over	+$12	02-25 20:44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	3	$51	47	32	+15	No	-$9	10-27 21:34
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$51	36	36	+0	Yes	+$21	07-08 11:32
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	1	$50	74	0	+74	Over	+$24	07-15 20:22
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19?	5	$50	77	0	+77	No	-$50	09-19 20:01
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	2	$50	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	09-13 17:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$49	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	05-10 21:11
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 0.5	2	$49	29	29	+0	Over	+$9	11-05 19:30
sea par int 2026 01 07 int	2	$48	28	28	+0	Yes	+$8	01-07 22:27
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	2	$47	27	27	+0	Over	+$7	07-18 22:13
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$46	28	28	+0	Yes	+$9	03-24 19:59
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$46	24	24	+0	No	+$1	04-14 05:45
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$45	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	04-01 15:40
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 0pt5	2	$44	26	26	+0	Over	+$8	06-29 18:21
boxing ursu vaugha 2026 08 29	2	$42	22	22	+0	Constantin Ursu	+$2	08-29 19:48
lal bar vil 2026 02 28 total 3pt5	2	$42	24	24	+0	Over	+$7	02-28 17:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 20:32:06	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc22242…
11-06 17:17:55	Besiktas vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Besiktas	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1299c4…
11-05 20:06:03	Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x3def10…
11-05 19:32:06	Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x83229e…
11-05 19:30:24	FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xdb8ae4…
11-05 19:20:12	FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xd11505…
11-05 10:52:33	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xd42984…
11-04 22:09:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xbdccdc…
11-04 21:42:52	PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x137d29…
11-04 06:26:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xe09fcb…
11-04 06:25:54	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xaa8009…
11-03 17:41:31	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x51e803…
10-31 22:58:22	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x33db5f…
10-31 22:30:27	Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Christian Mbilli	Canelo	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xec394f…
10-31 22:18:33	Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Christian Mbilli	Canelo	BUY	46	75¢	$35	0x63a942…
10-31 22:15:24	Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Christian Mbilli	Mbilli	SELL	28	22¢	$6	0xc1d2fd…
10-31 22:13:46	Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Christian Mbilli	Mbilli	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5b355c…
10-31 19:35:54	Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x641069…
10-31 17:47:34	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x86394f…
10-31 13:57:55	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xfc347e…
10-30 21:32:40	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x777741…
10-28 21:10:17	Fulham FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x384a9d…
10-28 20:46:31	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x3cb0ec…
10-28 20:34:41	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: Team to Advance	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x699cc6…
10-28 19:35:05	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc051f5…
10-28 18:56:23	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2e0e3a…
10-28 18:42:11	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x61a5c0…
10-28 18:22:28	SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x2a8fdc…
10-28 18:21:02	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x790e9b…
10-27 22:14:05	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x6292f8…
10-27 21:36:06	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	28	25¢	$7	0x730715…
10-27 21:34:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4be85a…
10-27 21:32:33	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	32	67¢	$21	0xc1d41c…
10-27 21:32:00	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc8462b…
10-27 21:22:42	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x28c332…
10-27 21:13:05	Panathinaikos vs. Olimpia Milano	Panathinaikos	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xd4ef76…
10-27 21:04:17	Panathinaikos vs. Olimpia Milano	Panathinaikos	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x547745…
10-27 20:56:05	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x14046c…
10-27 20:36:50	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xe86ba9…
10-27 20:01:29	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x880362…
10-27 19:35:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xce0104…
10-27 19:03:36	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xde739e…
10-27 19:02:26	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x03cd4a…
10-27 18:56:53	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8d39c7…
10-27 18:50:57	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xf50b73…
10-27 17:18:06	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x23a022…
10-25 21:27:56	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8ac09d…
10-25 21:25:41	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	20	67¢	$14	0x5c92a6…
10-25 21:14:26	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xec87d6…
10-25 21:05:06	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0d932b…
10-25 19:43:20	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5b1687…
10-25 15:55:38	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6420e3…
10-25 15:53:24	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9dea06…
10-25 13:35:03	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x0432c5…
10-25 13:27:54	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x2662ef…
10-25 13:23:30	FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x81b5bc…
10-25 12:59:30	FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: FC Internazionale Milano O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x735e8a…
10-25 12:53:24	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xff8864…
10-24 20:22:03	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2b4447…
10-24 20:19:02	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2cbe33…
10-24 20:15:47	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc2c16a…
10-24 13:10:18	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x295362…
10-23 20:18:44	Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4dd4ec…
10-23 20:14:35	VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0xf15b31…
10-23 20:00:36	VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x29adc5…
10-22 20:36:20	FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xccbac7…
10-22 18:09:33	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x97d256…
10-21 20:59:38	Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd66bbf…
10-21 20:35:05	Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xaa738c…
10-21 19:46:26	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0xdeda8b…
10-21 19:14:15	FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x34c386…
10-20 20:55:36	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf2eba3…
10-20 20:28:14	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x060d66…
10-19 20:17:05	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x22fa9c…
10-19 19:59:50	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC: Parma Calcio 1913 O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3cc353…
10-19 19:54:33	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	Yes	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x7507ee…
10-19 19:54:08	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x1daeec…
10-19 19:36:56	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x39f6a8…
10-18 14:30:57	AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x165211…
10-17 20:08:45	Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x469629…
10-17 18:37:59	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc1a4c3…
10-17 18:11:03	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd88170…
10-17 17:56:35	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x808eed…
10-17 17:07:20	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x97827c…
10-17 15:34:27	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x44f992…
10-17 14:36:38	Venezia FC vs. SSC Napoli: SSC Napoli O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa1995f…
10-15 20:48:56	Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. OFI: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x07f1fe…
10-15 20:48:44	Will SK Brann win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xd2c3f5…
10-15 20:31:18	Will SK Brann win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9d0b44…
10-15 20:28:06	Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. OFI: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4bc330…
10-15 20:25:09	NEC vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8bfda6…
10-14 20:44:16	ucl bet por 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0xdad2eb…
10-14 20:43:12	ucl rom rma 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x76edd3…
10-14 20:40:49	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x168531…
10-14 20:39:58	ucl bet por 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xef4750…
10-14 20:27:15	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x648fe2…
10-14 20:20:19	ucl bet por 2026 10 14 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xd4d294…
10-14 20:19:55	ucl rom rma 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x2c21b8…
10-14 19:53:19	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7d8a05…
10-14 19:39:37	ucl bet por 2026 10 14 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe0cb45…