Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

Trades

572

lifetime

Volume

$4.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 04-12 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

49% 61% -$106

Other

48% 48% -$71

Tech

3% 100% +$6

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	153	$717	669	669	+0	Yes	-$8	02-24 14:53
lol wb tes 2026 01 27	10	$568	543	543	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$8	01-27 11:24
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	26	$306	165	170	-5	No	+$5	03-11 11:56
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	23	$291	162	162	+0	Yes	+$6	03-10 04:07
lol edg nip 2026 01 19	5	$282	240	240	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$2	01-19 15:34
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	27	$251	131	130	+1	No	+$3	03-10 04:07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	22	$203	108	104	+4	Yes	+$1	03-10 04:07
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	18	$184	94	94	+0	No	$0	03-10 04:07
will alexandria ocasio cortez be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	5	$167	119	59	+60	No	+$3	02-25 05:49
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	9	$103	65	42	+23	No	+$1	03-04 01:11
lol blg jdg 2026 01 26	3	$100	251	0	+251	JD Gaming	-$23	01-26 13:06
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	11	$95	69	39	+30	Yes	+$5	03-24 12:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	10	$92	53	40	+13	No	+$0	03-19 01:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$54	53	46	+6	No	+$4	03-23 14:00
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	9	$53	34	34	+0	No	-$3	03-10 04:07
will israel strike lebanon on january 24 2026	2	$52	32	32	+0	No	+$12	01-26 13:32
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	9	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	03-10 04:07
will agatha christies seven dials be the 2 us netflix show this week january 20 2026	1	$50	63	0	+63	No	-$50	01-19 14:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	14	$49	56	11	+45	Yes	-$35	04-01 08:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	15	$48	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	04-05 15:32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$45	74	61	+13	Yes	-$20	04-03 15:43
will germany strike iran by march 31	8	$45	27	18	+9	No	+$0	03-24 13:14
will 11pt22pt63 be the 2 us netflix show this week january 20 2026	1	$40	47	0	+47	Yes	+$7	01-20 00:48
will israel strike lebanon on january 21 2026	2	$40	89	0	+89	Yes	-$40	01-19 15:45
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	01-19 15:35
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$40	27	25	+2	No	+$4	03-31 05:30
will kevin spacey be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	3	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-23 05:49
will alec baldwin be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	4	$36	23	15	+8	No	+$0	02-25 05:49
will jay z be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	3	$34	20	17	+3	No	$0	02-24 13:45
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	6	$32	20	17	+3	No	+$2	03-30 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-12 15:23:17	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa30b06…
04-12 15:23:07	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0xd788fd…
04-12 15:22:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x2f958e…
04-12 15:22:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x1d9ea1…
04-12 15:21:55	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xdf9824…
04-12 15:21:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xeaed62…
04-05 15:32:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa97e06…
04-04 11:47:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf0fc47…
04-03 15:43:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	49	15¢	$7	0x0197e8…
04-01 23:45:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0xd2a2b3…
04-01 15:14:51	will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7668bd…
04-01 08:55:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x6692b2…
04-01 08:50:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x068fde…
03-31 20:58:01	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	24	23¢	$6	0x8462ae…
03-31 12:48:43	will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc1cb9f…
03-31 05:31:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x5569c8…
03-31 05:30:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xad70cf…
03-31 05:30:57	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6613ea…
03-31 05:30:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xfbfc8e…
03-31 05:30:37	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0x2f024c…
03-31 05:30:37	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x296570…
03-31 05:30:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8fb778…
03-31 05:30:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x826542…
03-30 13:06:48	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7c9a36…
03-30 13:05:14	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe67e42…
03-30 08:29:24	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xdca40d…
03-30 02:54:42	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xf54766…
03-29 20:30:42	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa01042…
03-29 20:30:24	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa1f714…
03-29 20:21:20	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x913ad2…
03-29 09:19:54	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	SELL	8	42¢	$4	0xdf9d18…
03-26 19:42:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x22ba37…
03-26 15:57:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x94e89f…
03-26 15:51:59	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x7d9bf1…
03-24 19:15:23	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x30398b…
03-24 17:45:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x9926bd…
03-24 17:45:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x75364e…
03-24 17:43:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x2e820c…
03-24 13:14:13	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x240b7f…
03-24 13:06:17	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x908c87…
03-24 12:33:59	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1ba188…
03-24 12:33:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x82dc05…
03-24 12:33:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x554abd…
03-24 12:33:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x497fd1…
03-24 12:33:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x284958…
03-24 12:33:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x39482a…
03-24 12:33:53	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x35b6db…
03-24 04:32:19	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xe9ac20…
03-24 04:19:47	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x1310f2…
03-24 02:56:35	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x28020f…
03-24 02:44:29	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe90367…
03-24 01:10:49	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xeda7d8…
03-24 00:15:55	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x74133a…
03-23 16:31:51	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0x582778…
03-23 16:30:43	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xba0f9a…
03-23 14:11:17	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x44f988…
03-23 14:09:05	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xa3972b…
03-23 14:05:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb65485…
03-23 14:00:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x6de02c…
03-23 12:32:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xdf9589…
03-23 12:13:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4846db…
03-23 12:13:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x769cdd…
03-23 12:10:07	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc94203…
03-23 12:02:13	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2218d2…
03-23 12:02:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x4194ff…
03-23 11:41:35	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xe88d93…
03-23 11:21:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x937ec9…
03-23 11:14:17	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x5aa0b1…
03-23 00:35:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x1ef2c0…
03-23 00:31:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xfff889…
03-22 20:21:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xa5752e…
03-22 19:52:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xbf47f2…
03-22 00:10:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x4ae5d8…
03-21 23:50:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x9fb3a8…
03-21 22:46:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb3fbd2…
03-21 18:33:17	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x43bb55…
03-21 14:05:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5a4a85…
03-19 08:33:49	will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x7ec7ec…
03-19 01:25:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x523175…
03-19 01:00:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb90871…
03-19 01:00:49	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4a0208…
03-19 00:59:37	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x0e8277…
03-19 00:59:35	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3397f4…
03-19 00:59:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc5c786…
03-19 00:59:31	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbdc8db…
03-19 00:59:31	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0b3b09…
03-19 00:47:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x441d7b…
03-19 00:47:17	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x9dd4ca…
03-19 00:47:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xdcc965…
03-19 00:47:13	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa3a2af…
03-19 00:47:13	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x394805…
03-17 00:16:17	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x7d7055…
03-16 12:48:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	8	90¢	$8	0xa14203…
03-16 12:32:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x9d62ea…
03-15 11:07:19	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x974a59…
03-15 10:26:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xbea490…
03-15 05:35:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xf9b76f…
03-13 15:36:27	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x35fac1…
03-13 15:36:25	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa5e553…
03-13 13:53:29	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 10 16	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc7784d…