Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
149
lifetime
Volume
$936
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$104
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 06-09 23:36
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
44%
Other
42%
Crypto
14%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -300 $-24 12¢ $-36 $-12 06-01 14:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +30 $28 96¢ $29 +$1 06-01 17:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-18 68¢ $-14 +$4 05-31 20:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +100 $14 11¢ $11 $-4 06-07 13:41
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 06-09 04:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -30 $-17 16¢ $-5 +$12 05-28 14:14
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +23 $-1 10¢ $2 +$3 06-02 20:11