Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$304

Unrealized P&L

+$59

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

158

Trades

681

lifetime

Volume

$7.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$480

15 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 11-11 21:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

68% 79% +$285

Politics

25% 80% +$50

Sports

6% 64% +$66

Crypto

2% 0% -$97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+80	$63	92¢	$74	+$11	10-26 16:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$35	67¢	$67	+$32	09-22 09:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+50	$36	98¢	$49	+$12	08-24 12:11
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	+40	$32	94¢	$38	+$6	09-07 03:24
Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$31	92¢	$37	+$6	10-29 17:49
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	+50	$36	74¢	$37	+$1	11-11 19:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+40	$34	92¢	$37	+$2	11-03 13:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+30	$23	94¢	$28	+$5	08-07 10:06
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	+30	$21	88¢	$26	+$5	07-14 06:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026?	No	+30	$23	79¢	$24	+$1	11-11 19:27
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	+22	$14	88¢	$19	+$6	10-08 07:58
Will Iran target an Arab country by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+25	$16	70¢	$18	+$1	11-11 21:33
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	+40	$45	44¢	$17	-$28	10-31 01:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922	Yes	+25	$21	40¢	$10	-$11	10-28 19:50
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	+0	-$12	3¢	$0	+$12	08-29 23:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	2	$179	100	100	+0	Yes	+$19	06-17 21:50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$155	165	45	+120	No	-$97	06-01 12:38
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$128	70	70	+0	No	+$2	06-11 18:42
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	11	$127	120	120	+0	Yes	+$8	06-15 10:43
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	4	$121	66	66	+0	No	+$10	10-28 11:34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	6	$120	80	80	+0	Yes	+$11	08-18 18:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$119	63	63	+0	No	+$1	05-24 14:31
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	5	$110	60	60	+0	No	+$8	08-18 13:33
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	3	$104	60	60	+0	No	+$14	09-25 17:57
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	13	$101	450	450	+0	open	—	08-29 23:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	9	$97	90	90	+0	No	+$22	06-29 16:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$4	09-04 07:01
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$95	100	100	+0	No	-$21	05-19 19:45
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	3	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$5	10-31 17:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	4	$92	80	80	+0	No	+$0	09-28 14:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$90	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-28 04:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	2	$90	50	50	+0	No	+$10	09-19 14:55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	4	$88	260	220	+40	Yes	+$20	07-15 20:55
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	9	$88	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 12:23
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?	3	$87	50	50	+0	No	+$12	10-18 20:27
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	7	$85	90	50	+40	open	—	10-31 01:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$80	50	50	+0	No	+$20	10-31 21:48
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	29	$78	70	70	+0	No	-$16	07-21 08:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	10	$76	50	50	+0	No	+$22	08-14 13:39
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	6	$73	40	40	+0	No	+$4	05-31 19:08
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	2	$72	40	40	+0	No	+$8	10-15 23:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$72	40	40	+0	No	+$8	09-22 12:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	2	$70	40	40	+0	No	+$9	08-09 17:09
israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	7	$69	300	300	+0	No	+$3	07-18 00:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	7	$69	550	550	+0	No	+$9	06-01 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 21:33:33	Will Iran target an Arab country by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x6cc507…
11-11 19:27:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x998413…
11-11 19:10:39	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x80373d…
11-04 00:45:37	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xfb188e…
11-03 13:35:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x62b995…
11-01 00:07:46	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x421b99…
10-31 21:48:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x8bb232…
10-31 17:40:27	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x43d244…
10-31 13:18:12	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x61037e…
10-31 01:33:39	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xeb4559…
10-29 17:49:19	Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x3408e5…
10-29 17:49:10	Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xb0d5b3…
10-29 17:48:13	Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x147e75…
10-29 17:41:04	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc725a4…
10-29 08:51:23	Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe5a03a…
10-28 21:37:28	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xb863a7…
10-28 19:50:37	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x9bf5d7…
10-28 11:34:47	Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf7bdd0…
10-28 11:34:47	Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x0bae1c…
10-26 17:39:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x10493a…
10-26 16:13:50	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	79¢	$63	0x150a4d…
10-25 23:21:14	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xd6fa7d…
10-18 20:27:56	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa7741e…
10-15 23:16:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x15eea8…
10-15 09:57:17	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x357cd9…
10-14 09:51:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x8f3bb2…
10-12 12:56:12	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x2dd40b…
10-12 11:08:51	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x002b56…
10-11 17:59:03	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x67e20e…
10-11 08:08:06	Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	No	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0x363881…
10-10 22:28:12	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x6a8a05…
10-08 09:47:26	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x858194…
10-08 07:58:16	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xf71a69…
10-06 01:23:40	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf2931d…
10-05 22:50:58	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x8b0d8e…
10-05 22:22:17	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x3a4984…
10-05 21:58:59	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0x0c38e0…
10-04 20:04:59	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0xde57ac…
10-04 19:34:55	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0xbf6525…
10-04 16:14:43	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x421637…
10-04 16:14:28	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xdfd88e…
10-04 16:14:26	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x5a4852…
10-04 16:14:25	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xccde8f…
10-04 14:18:55	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	54	10¢	$5	0xd8db0f…
10-04 10:55:41	Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xe83086…
10-04 10:01:41	houthi x saudi arabia effective ceasefire by october 15	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x6d810d…
10-04 09:47:23	saudi troops enter taiz governorate by october 31 2026	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xd12d8d…
10-01 21:58:35	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xfe07ee…
09-30 19:37:53	next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by october 5 2026	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa20b2c…
09-30 18:01:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x5da5f3…
09-30 04:37:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x89b3be…
09-28 14:32:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x77a546…
09-28 14:05:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0xcf4cd1…
09-28 12:30:08	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x800613…
09-28 12:04:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x3a49aa…
09-28 11:40:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x14cf65…
09-28 08:45:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x82dcc3…
09-25 17:57:05	Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x93a287…
09-22 12:31:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x6acc7f…
09-22 09:55:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x2e347b…
09-19 14:55:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x5a8585…
09-18 22:11:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcd26df…
09-15 14:31:28	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x8d8825…
09-15 12:56:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2c05e8…
09-13 22:43:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x27c993…
09-11 05:45:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xd5bb42…
09-10 10:50:48	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0xaa9e1d…
09-07 03:24:07	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x776842…
09-06 22:53:10	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xa4446b…
09-06 17:30:06	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9477db…
09-06 17:28:54	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xcba440…
09-04 07:01:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd6827e…
09-04 06:25:16	Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0xda6286…
09-03 14:56:19	Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0x001599…
08-31 04:21:31	Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x28c2d5…
08-29 23:21:55	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x0825c1…
08-29 23:21:45	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xe42374…
08-29 23:21:45	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x7053f6…
08-28 16:55:51	Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xee8776…
08-28 09:19:22	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x7f8b81…
08-27 14:49:36	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xbc467e…
08-26 14:50:04	Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x8aee4c…
08-26 14:49:48	Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xcdb0e0…
08-26 14:49:33	Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x3ac9d3…
08-25 20:46:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x67e33b…
08-25 19:57:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xb4ef26…
08-24 12:11:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x7270fc…
08-23 05:46:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x48fbcb…
08-22 19:54:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x9aa477…
08-22 17:04:24	Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x2bb320…
08-22 17:04:15	Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xd982a9…
08-22 15:52:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3ada88…
08-22 15:48:07	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xef0d30…
08-22 15:24:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb28890…
08-22 14:32:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc6593…
08-22 14:29:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x331ec9…
08-22 14:09:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1c262b…
08-22 14:00:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdc4d9b…
08-22 13:06:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6b44d…
08-22 11:16:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb8a873…