Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$154

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

767 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.36K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-23

last 10-29 05:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

63% 38% -$326

Politics

18% 33% -$213

Crypto

7% 0% -$85

Tech

6% 11% -$78

Sports

5% 0% -$102

Pop-Culture

2% 40% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	8	$174	180	180	+0	No	+$77	10-26 21:48
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	6	$149	280	280	+0	open	—	10-29 05:36
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	7	$147	340	340	+0	Yes	-$11	10-29 05:37
Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	12	$135	339	259	+80	Yes	-$22	10-27 07:40
Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?	7	$117	220	220	+0	open	—	10-29 05:39
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	8	$113	222	222	+0	Yes	-$8	10-29 05:37
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	7	$113	280	280	+0	No	-$6	10-26 17:54
Will XRP reach $1.40 in October?	7	$104	200	200	+0	No	-$1	10-26 17:45
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?	7	$96	280	280	+0	open	—	10-29 05:36
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	7	$90	100	100	+0	No	+$37	10-26 13:11
Will Solana reach $110 in October?	5	$90	200	200	+0	No	-$14	10-26 17:53
Will Microsoft say "Azure" 15+ times during earnings call?	22	$87	73	73	+0	Yes	+$46	10-28 22:03
Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in October?	8	$86	200	200	+0	Yes	-$18	10-28 08:38
Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	2	$85	80	80	+0	No	+$40	10-26 14:05
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	6	$81	100	100	+0	open	—	10-28 08:26
Will PP win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	6	$80	280	280	+0	open	—	10-29 05:36
Next Israeli government a minority government?	4	$78	80	80	+0	open	—	10-28 13:56
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?	3	$66	100	100	+0	open	—	10-27 03:46
Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?	7	$63	120	120	+0	No	-$1	10-29 03:40
Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	4	$62	100	100	+0	Yes	+$8	10-29 05:37
Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31?	7	$61	280	0	+280	Yes	-$61	10-26 18:29
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$55	200	0	+200	Yes	-$55	10-26 18:28
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	5	$55	260	260	+0	Yes	-$35	10-29 05:36
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	4	$53	180	180	+0	Yes	-$43	10-29 05:37
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	8	$53	256	256	+0	Yes	-$52	10-29 05:37
Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?	3	$51	52	52	+0	open	—	10-29 02:54
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	7	$50	70	70	+0	Yes	+$11	10-29 05:40
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26?	5	$49	260	0	+260	No	-$49	10-26 18:28
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	9	$49	260	260	+0	Yes	-$47	10-29 05:36
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	7	$48	280	0	+280	Yes	-$48	10-26 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:40:40	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22B by October 31?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x488171…
10-29 05:40:38	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x392cc1…
10-29 05:40:37	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x883f33…
10-29 05:40:07	Will Anna Bright reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2da518…
10-29 05:40:04	Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0x72ebba…
10-29 05:40:01	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x3e741c…
10-29 05:39:58	Will Trump post "Moon" or "UFO" or "UAP" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x466357…
10-29 05:39:55	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xf1282b…
10-29 05:39:52	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xcbba80…
10-29 05:39:49	Will Augustus Ge reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x6f347a…
10-29 05:39:47	McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?	No	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x879c22…
10-29 05:39:43	Will RZP-Zehut win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xcc8ff1…
10-29 05:39:40	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xd1b335…
10-29 05:39:37	Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3be393…
10-29 05:39:34	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc78f5c…
10-29 05:39:31	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x6e9b59…
10-29 05:39:29	Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x095386…
10-29 05:39:25	Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x639f29…
10-29 05:39:22	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xf3092b…
10-29 05:39:19	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x870200…
10-29 05:39:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x0a659d…
10-29 05:39:14	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe5684c…
10-29 05:39:10	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x43578a…
10-29 05:39:07	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by at least 12%?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x500b1f…
10-29 05:39:05	Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x809e62…
10-29 05:39:01	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 3% to 7%?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xc0ae6d…
10-29 05:38:59	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xf2028e…
10-29 05:38:55	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x1c9bb4…
10-29 05:38:52	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xd33dd1…
10-29 05:38:49	Will Brice Turang lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc81bbc…
10-29 05:38:46	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xc22f9a…
10-29 05:38:43	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x740d13…
10-29 05:38:40	Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xb74ec7…
10-29 05:38:37	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x1da405…
10-29 05:38:34	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x2eb41d…
10-29 05:38:31	Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x63c925…
10-29 05:38:28	Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa09a1b…
10-29 05:38:23	Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x68c80a…
10-29 05:38:20	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x88258a…
10-29 05:38:17	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x07947e…
10-29 05:38:14	Will Casey Farrell win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9f8d32…
10-29 05:38:11	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x54eba3…
10-29 05:38:08	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8e1fcf…
10-29 05:38:05	Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x51f3cd…
10-29 05:38:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd58ac9…
10-29 05:37:59	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb6a329…
10-29 05:37:56	Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x67bcc2…
10-29 05:37:53	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22B by October 31?	No	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xb952fb…
10-29 05:37:50	Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q3 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $152?	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x87dfa0…
10-29 05:37:47	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x73ce17…
10-29 05:37:44	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x5addd0…
10-29 05:37:43	Will BNB reach $800 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	3¢	$2	0xb1b95a…
10-29 05:37:38	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	SELL	80	17¢	$13	0xf47b3f…
10-29 05:37:37	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	SELL	80	19¢	$15	0x4f5593…
10-29 05:37:34	Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	80	25¢	$20	0x2553d9…
10-29 05:37:31	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x1a8251…
10-29 05:37:28	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xdeef72…
10-29 05:37:25	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0x1fe787…
10-29 05:37:22	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	No	SELL	80	18¢	$14	0x6ca585…
10-29 05:37:19	Will MrBeast hit 145 billion views by October 31?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x33fdbe…
10-29 05:37:16	Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x65bfac…
10-29 05:37:14	Will Bert Chen win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x3b71c5…
10-29 05:37:11	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	No	SELL	180	3¢	$5	0x04d8b6…
10-29 05:37:07	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?	No	SELL	256	0¢	$0	0x04f78c…
10-29 05:37:05	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	260	1¢	$3	0xb7e3ef…
10-29 05:37:02	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?	No	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x8e9c5e…
10-29 05:36:58	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	260	0¢	$1	0x633260…
10-29 05:36:55	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	Yes	SELL	260	0¢	$0	0xed0018…
10-29 05:36:53	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	SELL	260	1¢	$2	0x4720f4…
10-29 05:36:50	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	260	0¢	$1	0xe17b0f…
10-29 05:36:47	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	No	SELL	260	1¢	$3	0xc8c963…
10-29 05:36:44	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?	Yes	SELL	260	0¢	$0	0x84a274…
10-29 05:36:43	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	No	SELL	260	1¢	$1	0x4422a0…
10-29 05:36:40	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	No	SELL	260	4¢	$10	0xdb6fe3…
10-29 05:36:38	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	262	7¢	$19	0x6d3069…
10-29 05:36:35	Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	No	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xdb2bd5…
10-29 05:36:32	Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	No	SELL	280	1¢	$4	0xcb77b2…
10-29 05:36:29	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	No	SELL	280	36¢	$101	0x76fcca…
10-29 05:36:26	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	SELL	280	1¢	$4	0x76df12…
10-29 05:36:23	Will PP win the most seats in Navarre in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	280	12¢	$34	0x6fd998…
10-29 05:35:13	Will Chainlink reach $14 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x5bfd69…
10-29 05:35:11	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xdf4cfc…
10-29 05:35:02	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xb26dac…
10-29 05:34:59	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x635a8a…
10-29 05:34:56	Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xcd3543…
10-29 05:34:53	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xc4b5fb…
10-29 05:34:50	Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe4f5a0…
10-29 05:34:47	Will Otzma Yehudit win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xadf74f…
10-29 05:20:01	Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 3% to 7%?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x54f894…
10-29 05:16:23	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x7e5cb7…
10-29 05:16:22	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x2db0ff…
10-29 04:37:34	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfdf4f6…
10-29 04:37:26	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xbe633c…
10-29 04:37:26	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$11	0xabf81d…
10-29 03:40:32	Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x492bcc…
10-29 03:40:25	Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x90e7a7…
10-29 03:40:23	Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	SELL	80	26¢	$21	0x99603a…
10-29 03:40:23	Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x7a46aa…
10-29 02:59:05	Will William Contreras win the 2026 World Series MVP?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x4d652e…
10-29 02:54:04	Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?	No	SELL	52	70¢	$36	0x7db042…