Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$187

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

36.3%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$892

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$41

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-29

last 10-30 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

60% 24% -$148

Politics

35% 17% -$40

Crypto

5% 100% +$4

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	+81	$20	22¢	$18	-$2	10-30 02:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+57	$25	24¢	$14	-$11	10-30 00:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+77	$15	7¢	$5	-$10	10-30 09:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+24	$5	14¢	$3	-$2	10-22 06:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	5	$77	124	67	+57	Spain	-$24	07-19 20:16
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$77	67	67	+0	open	—	10-28 02:08
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	2	$75	183	0	+183	No	-$75	07-07 19:39
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	2	$37	27	27	+0	No	+$17	08-01 17:16
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	3	$35	46	8	+38	Switzerland	-$19	07-07 22:56
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	10	$29	210	210	+0	No	-$13	08-24 09:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	2	$25	57	0	+57	open	—	10-30 00:26
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	2	$24	20	20	+0	No	+$4	10-21 18:39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	7	$21	86	86	+0	open	—	09-09 19:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$21	154	77	+77	open	—	10-30 09:34
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	08-30 11:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	2	$20	81	0	+81	open	—	10-30 02:06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	3	$20	15	15	+0	Yes	+$11	09-09 21:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$18	55	55	+0	open	—	09-19 00:55
Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	4	$17	36	36	+0	Yes	+$4	08-31 03:34
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$17	13	13	+0	Yes	+$5	07-30 12:00
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	07-09 22:18
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$7	07-07 18:06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	2	$14	21	21	+0	Yes	+$4	10-25 20:43
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$13	49	0	+49	England	-$13	07-11 23:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$13	33	33	+0	open	—	08-24 09:54
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-19?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	08-19 21:00
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	4	$11	64	64	+0	No	-$4	09-16 18:46
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	2	$11	105	0	+105	No	-$11	10-04 19:26
Norway to score first vs. England?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$4	07-11 21:38
israel closes its airspace by august 15	3	$10	31	31	+0	No	-$10	08-15 17:16
FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5	2	$10	10	10	+0	Over	+$5	09-10 19:53
will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	4	$9	11	11	+0	No	+$5	08-18 16:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$9	21	21	+0	open	—	10-21 18:55
Will Moldova win on 2026-09-29?	2	$8	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-29 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:34:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0x09f58a…
10-30 02:06:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x75d8f9…
10-30 00:26:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x903a9b…
10-30 00:26:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	91	8¢	$7	0x4b0b19…
10-28 02:08:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x07622b…
10-28 02:07:15	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0x5389b3…
10-27 12:19:38	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xb85e08…
10-26 19:51:11	Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x59316f…
10-26 15:45:48	Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0xb02534…
10-26 12:42:17	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x7b7bc2…
10-25 23:01:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xaf5f37…
10-25 20:43:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0xef7371…
10-25 15:09:59	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x45052e…
10-24 16:48:54	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Haifa FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x3d5b74…
10-24 16:41:00	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Haifa FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xb6c3d8…
10-23 14:46:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x72a95f…
10-23 14:22:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xdac0ea…
10-22 06:01:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x11710f…
10-22 06:01:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7614e1…
10-21 18:55:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0x5e0d3b…
10-21 18:39:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xab7731…
10-21 18:08:06	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x2ecbf3…
10-21 17:22:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xeb0192…
10-21 17:22:11	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xaeedb4…
10-21 11:52:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x7f3351…
10-04 19:26:40	Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	85	7¢	$6	0xaa1bad…
10-04 18:47:19	Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8403c2…
10-01 20:22:15	Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x9f1a00…
10-01 20:22:02	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0xc7f630…
10-01 18:55:05	Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa4d3eb…
09-30 21:11:33	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0xa43007…
09-30 10:09:27	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x9b4899…
09-30 10:05:35	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x7e2bda…
09-29 17:45:12	Will Moldova win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x92d94e…
09-29 17:11:24	Will Moldova win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xf2dbfe…
09-27 20:02:05	Will Israel win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x8b14bd…
09-19 01:20:24	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Kansas City Royals	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x2d86c2…
09-19 01:01:40	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Kansas City Royals	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xd1c9d1…
09-19 00:55:07	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x6ec938…
09-16 19:08:31	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xbf49b4…
09-16 19:06:12	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xa897c6…
09-16 18:47:22	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x56ceb0…
09-16 18:46:45	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x462d88…
09-16 18:46:36	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0x6e8b6a…
09-14 17:52:18	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x77d639…
09-14 17:51:31	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x6f2f67…
09-11 15:25:27	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	55	16¢	$9	0x31e2a2…
09-10 20:19:27	Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0587fe…
09-10 19:53:45	FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xcd9d59…
09-10 18:47:06	Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x603928…
09-10 18:46:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xf6511b…
09-10 18:45:52	FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x5596dc…
09-10 18:44:33	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x23e31e…
09-10 18:11:30	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xfc0a1e…
09-09 21:00:30	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6a833a…
09-09 19:41:12	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x1f5bfa…
09-09 19:40:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xd68fc1…
09-09 19:33:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xae5151…
09-09 19:32:33	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x0934c3…
09-09 19:30:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xb59812…
09-07 18:14:18	Will Bnei Sakhnin FC win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xef5067…
09-07 18:02:22	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xc9d2cc…
08-31 13:06:49	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x423151…
08-31 13:02:37	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x671e44…
08-31 12:44:42	Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x283738…
08-31 12:44:21	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0x3e058f…
08-31 03:34:06	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x2965c9…
08-30 11:14:12	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xe09a9d…
08-30 11:13:24	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xd2bc85…
08-30 11:13:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x367819…
08-27 19:16:18	Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x28baa9…
08-27 19:15:19	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xa2e8e5…
08-27 11:42:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbdf119…
08-27 11:41:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd3de92…
08-27 11:40:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x735660…
08-27 11:39:54	Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x4f4fc7…
08-27 11:39:46	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xda527a…
08-25 22:21:36	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x331f97…
08-25 18:41:51	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-25?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x7ec692…
08-25 16:53:27	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-25?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x212b7d…
08-25 16:51:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x8bc2ce…
08-24 17:03:09	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xe80829…
08-24 17:01:37	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x809fb7…
08-24 17:01:24	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb4510e…
08-24 16:58:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x9d0ec9…
08-24 09:56:12	Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x9615ca…
08-24 09:54:54	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0x0b67d7…
08-24 09:54:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0xda2084…
08-24 00:15:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x110fda…
08-20 19:22:52	Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xbc962c…
08-20 11:39:57	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	79	4¢	$3	0x403c28…
08-20 11:06:37	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0x072016…
08-20 11:01:01	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x0a08e2…
08-19 22:30:19	will iran target a arab country on august 19 2026 20260801004719136	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x6da8ae…
08-19 21:00:00	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x453f34…
08-19 20:57:58	ucl hbs sf 2026 08 19 btts	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x51598f…
08-19 19:08:18	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3bb9f0…
08-19 18:04:09	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x4db370…
08-19 15:31:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x6d2617…
08-19 14:35:57	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xcc2a0f…