Realized P&L
+$11.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$128
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
467
Trades
3,375
lifetime
Volume
$351.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
$5.08K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 13:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Politics
63% 56% +$4,488
Other
28% 67% +$3,851
Sports
4% 44% -$27
Tech
3% 74% +$2,450
Crypto
2% 100% +$739
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,654 $1,120 68¢ $1.1K +$13 07-16 19:41
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$480 98¢ $-976 -$496 05-08 00:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $440 72¢ $715 +$275 07-14 20:00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,702 $226 41¢ $690 +$464 05-19 23:05
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +500 $325 68¢ $342 +$18 07-14 23:25
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +888 $282 32¢ $280 -$2 08-15 16:33
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +341 $273 79¢ $270 -$3 10-28 03:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +246 $201 94¢ $230 +$28 06-29 18:56
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +263 $150 70¢ $186 +$36 08-16 01:07
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +318 $159 55¢ $174 +$14 10-30 06:57
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? No +568 $114 15¢ $82 -$31 08-09 02:53
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -199 -$3 1¢ $-2 +$1 10-26 18:55
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 Yes +139 $114 0¢ $0 -$114 08-22 15:52
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +0 $73 6¢ $0 -$73 08-22 07:05