Slight-Campaign — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$19.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$194

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved (90d)

137

Trades (90d)

3,449

9,440 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$346.2K

$759.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

$312

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 11-15 21:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Other

100% 69% +$39,626

Tech

0% 100% +$438

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes		+500	$140	58¢	$292	+$152	11-15 21:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes		+400	-$22	5¢	$20	+$42	11-15 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	84	$18.2K	11,975	11,675	+300	No	+$849	09-25 15:27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	61	$15.2K	10,762	10,762	+0	Yes	+$718	06-09 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	68	$14.4K	9,993	9,993	+0	No	+$1,004	05-22 13:41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	85	$14.0K	11,913	11,085	+828	No	+$958	10-05 10:25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	73	$13.7K	12,136	12,136	+0	No	+$367	06-06 09:08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	44	$13.3K	12,253	12,253	+0	Yes	+$1,252	05-26 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	105	$13.0K	10,913	9,273	+1,639	No	+$910	10-21 15:34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	59	$12.5K	8,493	8,310	+183	No	+$272	07-15 13:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	135	$12.2K	16,123	16,113	+10	Yes	+$1,567	09-18 14:46
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	40	$12.1K	8,778	6,110	+2,668	Yes	-$139	09-04 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	145	$10.9K	8,268	8,268	+0	No	+$975	07-17 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	69	$9.8K	6,830	6,829	+0	Yes	+$605	08-18 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	74	$9.5K	5,270	5,265	+5	Yes	+$442	10-31 15:24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	72	$9.2K	6,869	6,869	+0	No	+$413	10-24 14:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	40	$9.1K	7,671	6,730	+940	No	+$1,181	09-08 08:36
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	108	$9.0K	9,953	9,953	+0	Yes	+$112	05-05 16:00
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	33	$9.0K	6,226	6,140	+86	No	+$25	04-20 06:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	62	$8.9K	6,822	6,822	+0	No	+$459	06-02 13:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	68	$8.4K	8,461	7,494	+967	No	+$101	06-03 07:37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	45	$8.3K	5,758	5,258	+500	No	+$199	06-16 14:27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	90	$8.2K	6,717	6,717	+0	No	+$344	11-09 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	90	$8.0K	11,659	11,659	+0	Yes	+$1,035	10-02 09:54
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	63	$7.7K	7,760	7,760	+0	Yes	+$39	05-09 07:45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	38	$7.3K	9,770	7,071	+2,698	Yes	-$666	09-07 05:57
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	55	$7.2K	5,476	5,476	+0	Yes	+$486	11-09 16:16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	20	$7.0K	4,255	4,255	+0	No	+$225	09-12 06:32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	46	$7.0K	9,494	7,465	+2,028	No	+$242	08-28 17:20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	46	$6.8K	6,974	6,974	+0	No	+$1,585	10-07 06:44
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	36	$6.6K	3,831	3,831	+0	No	+$501	08-13 21:47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	6	$6.6K	3,520	3,520	+0	No	+$150	05-13 04:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 21:25:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$9	0x4a6134…
11-15 21:25:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x0aee7c…
11-15 21:07:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x5d762b…
11-15 21:07:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x48a426…
11-15 21:07:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xb64df1…
11-15 21:02:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x4b68f4…
11-15 21:02:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xe69e14…
11-15 20:43:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$34	0xe32487…
11-15 20:43:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	61¢	$303	0xd9d1b9…
11-15 19:32:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x3cef57…
11-15 19:31:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x448279…
11-15 19:31:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x544a42…
11-15 19:31:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x6bf386…
11-15 19:31:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x12ab54…
11-15 19:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$109	0x6d4196…
11-15 18:49:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	51¢	$255	0x6850cb…
11-15 18:49:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	11¢	$55	0x543880…
11-15 09:37:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa143de…
11-15 09:37:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0xa3c2cf…
11-15 09:37:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x29cd10…
11-15 09:36:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x4565f7…
11-15 09:36:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$65	0x99c25e…
11-15 09:36:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x14c2b6…
11-15 09:20:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$14	0xed85e3…
11-15 08:59:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xf543ae…
11-15 08:59:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0xbb1d2d…
11-15 08:59:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x70464b…
11-15 07:56:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$36	0xec5832…
11-15 07:48:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x951f49…
11-15 07:48:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xfa508a…
11-15 07:48:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xcdb99c…
11-15 07:22:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	11¢	$44	0xc4ea17…
11-15 06:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xceb517…
11-15 06:59:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x2982dc…
11-14 15:52:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0x83a4ac…
11-14 15:50:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9926e1…
11-14 15:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xf87fa8…
11-14 15:49:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xffcd42…
11-14 15:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2d9499…
11-14 15:49:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x16bb9a…
11-14 15:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,104	97¢	$1,075	0x31e0a6…
11-14 15:47:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x9ea28d…
11-14 15:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x5a5934…
11-14 15:45:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	400	22¢	$87	0x571118…
11-14 15:45:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	549	80¢	$439	0x9d7ea1…
11-14 15:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x0e0090…
11-14 15:41:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$61	0x827b10…
11-14 15:39:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	287	75¢	$216	0x819185…
11-14 15:38:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0xe98f70…
11-14 15:36:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	74¢	$125	0xe0df97…
11-14 15:34:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	400	38¢	$153	0x45694f…
11-14 15:34:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	317	56¢	$177	0x26f0c2…
11-14 15:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	44¢	$87	0x319e49…
11-14 15:30:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0xa9c423…
11-14 15:30:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	181	40¢	$72	0x25c4ec…
11-14 15:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	49¢	$126	0x46c672…
11-14 14:59:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$109	0xbdb758…
11-14 14:58:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xa6a302…
11-14 14:45:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xed5e46…
11-14 14:43:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x6aea4f…
11-14 14:43:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xe67573…
11-14 14:42:55	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xe98d3a…
11-14 14:42:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xd338a8…
11-14 14:42:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0xadea62…
11-14 14:37:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	29¢	$25	0x4981dc…
11-14 14:30:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	33¢	$23	0x38cdc7…
11-14 14:30:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	24¢	$13	0xc597fe…
11-14 14:24:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	22¢	$15	0x95eff0…
11-14 14:18:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	475	21¢	$100	0x02f3ab…
11-14 14:06:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	22¢	$27	0xa2fff2…
11-14 14:03:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	516	14¢	$71	0x4bff20…
11-14 13:55:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	516	19¢	$100	0xc5690f…
11-14 13:53:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	554	18¢	$100	0xfdafb5…
11-14 13:53:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	18¢	$22	0x8b7157…
11-14 13:53:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	18¢	$23	0x69d8d5…
11-14 13:48:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	807	12¢	$100	0x04a00b…
11-14 06:55:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	302	84¢	$253	0x721aeb…
11-14 06:41:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	302	83¢	$250	0x9972ca…
11-13 23:49:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	51¢	$96	0x3b7fd1…
11-13 23:48:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	46¢	$57	0x663fc6…
11-13 23:48:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x028041…
11-13 23:48:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	47¢	$75	0xb26402…
11-13 23:43:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	44¢	$213	0x698535…
11-13 22:55:25	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	SELL	227	97¢	$220	0x066234…
11-13 22:55:24	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	SELL	149	97¢	$144	0x8d3443…
11-13 22:55:22	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xa3fecb…
11-13 22:55:22	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0x905c6d…
11-13 22:55:22	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	SELL	76	97¢	$74	0x4f1422…
11-13 22:55:22	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	SELL	102	97¢	$99	0x132dce…
11-13 22:53:19	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	BUY	645	31¢	$200	0xf2c790…
11-13 22:17:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x11c461…
11-13 18:57:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	SELL	600	68¢	$408	0x5c8b39…
11-13 17:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	68¢	$135	0xbffa5a…
11-13 17:59:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x817665…
11-13 17:58:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x55914d…
11-13 16:11:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	3¢	$3	0x93f84e…
11-13 16:05:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x16be7b…
11-13 16:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	380	4¢	$15	0x17e8cc…
11-13 16:05:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x8e9450…
11-13 15:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xef9540…