Fluid-Organizing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$179

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.9%

Resolved

Trades

871

lifetime

Volume

$124.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-16 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% $-179

Other

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1774963800	72	$4.2K	2,548	2,504	+44	open	—	03-31 13:40
btc updown 15m 1775480400	3	$3.8K	2,751	2,660	+90	open	—	04-06 13:10
btc updown 15m 1774454400	7	$3.8K	1,951	1,949	+2	open	—	03-25 16:15
btc updown 15m 1768908600	2	$3.7K	1,971	1,964	+6	open	—	01-20 11:45
btc updown 15m 1774452600	10	$3.5K	1,851	1,847	+4	open	—	03-25 15:42
btc updown 15m 1774445400	2	$3.5K	1,965	1,952	+13	open	—	03-25 13:41
will backpack launch a token on march 23	4	$3.4K	1,842	1,839	+2	open	—	03-23 12:30
btc updown 15m 1768853700	2	$3.3K	1,721	1,718	+4	open	—	01-19 20:30
btc updown 15m 1775566800	7	$3.1K	2,348	2,279	+69	open	—	04-07 13:05
btc updown 15m 1774778400	25	$3.0K	1,907	1,885	+21	open	—	03-29 10:07
btc updown 15m 1775740500	3	$3.0K	4,829	0	+4,829	open	—	04-09 13:16
btc updown 15m 1768852800	2	$2.7K	1,564	1,550	+14	open	—	01-19 20:14
btc updown 15m 1775653200	12	$2.6K	2,277	2,213	+63	open	—	04-08 13:02
btc updown 15m 1774372500	6	$2.2K	1,365	1,355	+10	open	—	03-24 17:28
btc updown 15m 1768851900	2	$2.2K	1,179	1,175	+4	open	—	01-19 20:00
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$2.0K	1,141	1,140	+0	open	—	03-22 22:54
btc updown 15m 1768693500	2	$2.0K	1,044	1,042	+2	open	—	01-18 00:01
btc updown 15m 1774359000	3	$1.9K	3,023	2,991	+32	open	—	03-24 13:37
btc updown 15m 1775048400	14	$1.8K	2,279	2,182	+97	open	—	04-01 13:11
btc updown 15m 1774191600	70	$1.8K	1,283	1,263	+20	open	—	03-22 15:06
btc updown 15m 1768819500	2	$1.7K	922	919	+3	open	—	01-19 11:00
btc updown 15m 1775423700	1	$1.7K	3,366	0	+3,366	open	—	04-05 21:15
btc updown 15m 1768813200	2	$1.5K	744	744	+0	open	—	01-19 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$1.5K	1,071	1,071	+0	open	—	05-19 18:39
btc updown 15m 1775134800	14	$1.4K	1,158	1,123	+36	open	—	04-02 13:06
btc updown 15m 1768817700	2	$1.4K	717	716	+1	open	—	01-19 10:30
btc updown 15m 1768775400	2	$1.3K	684	683	+1	open	—	01-18 22:45
btc updown 15m 1775739600	14	$1.3K	3,341	0	+3,341	open	—	04-09 13:08
btc updown 15m 1774962000	5	$1.3K	1,038	1,004	+34	open	—	03-31 13:08
btc updown 15m 1775656800	2	$1.2K	1,126	1,077	+49	open	—	04-08 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 11:00:00	btc updown 5m 1781607300	Up	BUY	1,526	1¢	$19	0xef3c10…
06-13 10:59:15	btc updown 5m 1781348100	Up	SELL	124	50¢	$63	0xd8d027…
06-13 10:55:33	btc updown 5m 1781348100	Up	BUY	124	26¢	$32	0x9a7807…
06-13 10:54:12	btc updown 5m 1781347800	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x181037…
06-13 10:53:25	btc updown 5m 1781347800	Up	SELL	56	77¢	$43	0xafc0d6…
06-13 10:50:43	btc updown 5m 1781347800	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x9cb33b…
06-13 10:49:34	btc updown 5m 1781347500	Up	SELL	86	94¢	$81	0xe5306c…
06-13 10:49:12	btc updown 5m 1781347500	Up	BUY	86	64¢	$55	0xe62248…
06-11 09:04:01	btc updown 5m 1781168400	Up	SELL	186	57¢	$106	0xf2b11d…
06-11 09:00:54	btc updown 5m 1781168400	Up	BUY	186	29¢	$54	0xe78a95…
06-08 11:34:16	btc updown 5m 1780918200	Down	SELL	49	79¢	$39	0xdfbc9e…
06-08 11:32:16	btc updown 5m 1780918200	Down	BUY	49	47¢	$23	0x74eb2d…
06-08 11:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780917600	Down	SELL	222	11¢	$25	0x5e5d82…
06-08 11:22:58	btc updown 5m 1780917600	Down	BUY	222	19¢	$42	0xd8e320…
06-04 13:53:45	btc updown 5m 1780581000	Down	BUY	77	71¢	$55	0xb0456b…
05-30 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	42	89¢	$37	0x0a36dc…
05-30 10:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x5918b9…
05-26 16:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	230	15¢	$35	0x07294b…
05-26 16:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	168	30¢	$50	0xa1690d…
05-22 18:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	212	26¢	$55	0x45773d…
05-22 18:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	212	45¢	$95	0x4778a9…
05-20 10:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	362	31¢	$112	0x875422…
05-19 20:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0x954cc3…
05-19 20:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	103	53¢	$55	0x31b115…
05-19 20:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	196	72¢	$141	0xc9d838…
05-19 20:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x3a001d…
05-19 19:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	300	74¢	$222	0x404627…
05-19 19:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xa72d85…
05-19 19:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	189	85¢	$160	0x92692d…
05-19 19:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xb52c48…
05-19 19:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x60dd94…
05-19 19:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	273	77¢	$211	0x775ed8…
05-19 19:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0x22d24a…
05-19 19:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	193	87¢	$167	0xb8b210…
05-19 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x617b44…
05-19 19:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	192	84¢	$162	0x9efa5a…
05-19 19:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x98455a…
05-19 19:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x01d897…
05-19 19:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	130	34¢	$44	0x681b81…
05-19 19:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	248	75¢	$186	0x95ff6c…
05-19 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	248	52¢	$130	0xa8156c…
05-19 19:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0x8a262a…
05-19 19:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	162	34¢	$55	0xc07a5e…
05-19 19:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	164	70¢	$115	0x147e72…
05-19 19:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x4b242b…
05-19 19:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	165	79¢	$130	0x481c52…
05-19 19:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0x742645…
05-19 19:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	173	84¢	$145	0x019024…
05-19 19:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x76f9dc…
05-19 18:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	91	15¢	$14	0x5ad065…
05-19 18:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xbd1bd5…
05-19 18:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	263	55¢	$145	0x184fe6…
05-19 18:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xcfbef3…
05-19 18:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	170	92¢	$157	0xf9532e…
05-19 18:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	170	45¢	$76	0xc819a9…
05-19 18:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	300	29¢	$88	0x0881ef…
05-19 18:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x5b2575…
05-19 18:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	522	94¢	$489	0x3f3078…
05-19 18:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	522	62¢	$324	0x6c04ec…
05-19 18:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	549	62¢	$341	0x885db1…
05-19 18:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	549	55¢	$301	0xd4a688…
05-19 18:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf0da63…
05-19 18:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	421	74¢	$314	0xa30f68…
05-19 18:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	422	45¢	$190	0x3d0280…
05-19 18:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	291	34¢	$100	0xc5425a…
05-19 18:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	403	76¢	$308	0x8634b3…
05-19 18:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	403	51¢	$206	0xe2d51d…
05-19 18:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	288	75¢	$217	0x395e02…
05-19 18:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	288	56¢	$161	0xd648ac…
05-19 18:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	267	51¢	$136	0x1f7f5b…
05-19 18:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	267	57¢	$152	0xe11543…
05-19 18:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	61	67¢	$41	0xbe89e2…
05-19 18:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	61	57¢	$34	0xf425ed…
05-19 18:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	226	84¢	$190	0x04b4ca…
05-19 18:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	226	57¢	$129	0x18cf20…
05-14 14:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0x91067e…
05-14 14:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0x74e633…
05-12 15:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xd490f5…
05-12 15:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xdd5806…
05-06 13:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	281	65¢	$182	0x395260…
04-09 13:16:53	btc updown 15m 1775740500	Up	BUY	1,853	64¢	$1,186	0xf443f5…
04-09 13:16:53	btc updown 15m 1775740500	Up	BUY	2,477	61¢	$1,512	0xa3f3ca…
04-09 13:16:53	btc updown 15m 1775740500	Up	BUY	499	66¢	$331	0x03376f…
04-09 13:08:13	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	859	6¢	$55	0xba2b11…
04-09 13:03:07	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x7f7719…
04-09 13:01:17	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	63	35¢	$22	0xb1e8b8…
04-09 13:01:17	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x28cbe8…
04-09 13:01:17	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x153703…
04-09 13:01:01	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x3dc1b9…
04-09 13:00:57	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfaca13…
04-09 13:00:57	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xd540f0…
04-09 13:00:57	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6f7660…
04-09 13:00:57	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x0bc29c…
04-09 12:58:37	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x90a81e…
04-09 12:58:37	btc updown 15m 1775739600	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3ed2b8…
04-09 12:20:19	btc updown 15m 1775736900	Down	SELL	96	75¢	$72	0x26497d…
04-09 12:17:57	btc updown 15m 1775736900	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xbe1f21…
04-09 12:09:41	btc updown 15m 1775736000	Down	SELL	125	3¢	$4	0x08028f…
04-09 12:08:29	btc updown 15m 1775736000	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x89bdce…
04-09 11:25:25	btc updown 15m 1775733300	Down	SELL	201	87¢	$175	0x0a3920…