Dishonest-Timeout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$718

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

274

Trades

1,648

lifetime

Volume

$438.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$266

Open exposure

$10.8K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 07:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Politics

68% 56% +$4,604

Other

12% 42% +$943

Sports

10% 25% +$2,607

Crypto

7% 43% +$1,498

Tech

3% 57% -$1,488

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	+11,010	$9,592	92¢	$10.2K	+$593	10-29 17:48
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-4,502	-$479	5¢	$-225	+$253	10-28 07:09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+610	$402	36¢	$223	-$180	11-01 07:30
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	+600	$116	28¢	$167	+$52	09-13 20:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	26	$30.7K	16,803	16,803	+0	No	+$2,853	04-22 16:40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$22.2K	21,000	21,000	+0	No	-$396	07-14 20:42
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	22	$18.7K	17,023	6,024	+11,000	No	+$1,695	06-15 14:46
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	25	$17.4K	9,209	9,209	+0	Yes	+$842	10-27 06:22
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	88	$17.3K	36,257	20,889	+15,368	Yes	-$4,323	03-16 09:40
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	134	$15.3K	12,176	12,176	+0	Yes	+$2,126	02-28 07:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$13.8K	9,320	9,320	+0	No	+$3,197	06-02 05:27
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	6	$13.8K	8,100	8,100	+0	No	+$295	10-23 20:04
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	5	$12.4K	6,548	6,548	+0	No	+$227	06-17 13:08
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$11.5K	8,023	8,023	+0	Yes	-$235	07-19 08:32
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	38	$10.9K	6,100	6,644	-544	No	+$1,279	01-31 21:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	26	$10.8K	7,505	7,505	+0	No	+$2,527	06-19 21:06
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	10	$9.6K	11,010	0	+11,010	open	—	10-29 17:48
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	11	$9.4K	9,092	906	+8,186	No	+$544	05-29 09:56
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	35	$7.6K	4,740	5,442	-701	No	+$907	03-05 19:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	25	$7.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$290	06-18 17:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	20	$7.0K	8,385	0	+8,385	No	+$1,409	02-28 19:21
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$6.9K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$3,708	07-19 08:32
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	11	$6.8K	3,620	3,620	+0	No	+$375	03-31 12:46
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$6.7K	5,000	2,265	+2,735	No	+$523	05-31 13:18
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$6.6K	3,400	3,400	+0	No	+$134	03-21 16:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$6.4K	7,100	7,100	+0	No	-$3,092	05-10 20:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	12	$6.0K	9,288	9,288	+0	Yes	+$436	06-15 19:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	15	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$110	07-09 14:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$5.6K	2,990	2,990	+0	No	+$267	04-04 07:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$5.3K	4,154	4,154	+0	Yes	-$198	04-17 18:27
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	11	$4.8K	2,935	2,935	+0	No	+$833	02-11 01:49
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	17	$4.6K	10,192	2,213	+7,980	No	-$1,078	06-20 07:30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	11	$4.3K	3,616	3,616	+0	Yes	+$165	02-28 20:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$3.8K	0	4,000	-4,000	No	-$236	04-16 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 07:30:25	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$176	0x55d123…
10-31 17:12:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	500	32¢	$160	0xa38e88…
10-29 17:48:47	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	78	89¢	$70	0x37d1f6…
10-29 17:47:58	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	922	89¢	$820	0xf2eea5…
10-28 15:22:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,179	32¢	$378	0x9be73f…
10-28 15:22:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	480	32¢	$155	0x284555…
10-28 07:09:02	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,700	4¢	$68	0x8df151…
10-28 06:24:28	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,500	2¢	$56	0x73aa92…
10-28 00:28:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x44bcb2…
10-28 00:26:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	36¢	$183	0xb6e515…
10-27 21:25:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	913	37¢	$338	0x40cc7e…
10-27 21:22:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	628	44¢	$275	0x859c73…
10-27 21:22:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	513	44¢	$224	0xa38fc0…
10-27 21:00:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0x841b7e…
10-27 20:59:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,500	3¢	$98	0xfe3932…
10-27 20:15:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$107	0xed8262…
10-27 20:15:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	205	54¢	$110	0xb6693d…
10-27 20:10:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0x15eadc…
10-27 20:07:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	600	29¢	$174	0x390778…
10-27 17:38:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	97	64¢	$62	0x787e6d…
10-27 17:38:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x537a67…
10-27 09:31:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x10e049…
10-27 09:31:21	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x9137b0…
10-27 06:23:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xf460e6…
10-27 06:22:11	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	9,115	100¢	$9,106	0xc3ece7…
10-26 14:03:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xe3bf1c…
10-26 14:03:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x864189…
10-26 14:03:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xef2c5e…
10-26 14:02:23	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x244829…
10-26 14:00:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x91385b…
10-26 07:07:42	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	571	98¢	$559	0x7174cf…
10-24 19:53:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,373	81¢	$1,922	0x8bff1d…
10-24 13:57:08	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	320	96¢	$306	0xbcf9d7…
10-24 08:16:23	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0x2bf1b1…
10-23 20:07:30	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	601	94¢	$565	0xe941c5…
10-23 20:07:20	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$187	0x1be646…
10-23 20:07:14	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x718091…
10-23 20:06:54	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	666	93¢	$619	0x629175…
10-23 20:06:48	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	243	92¢	$223	0xfa418c…
10-23 20:04:17	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	96¢	$4,800	0x937da1…
10-23 15:51:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,100	73¢	$2,258	0xc619ee…
10-23 09:41:30	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	187	94¢	$176	0x80c6f4…
10-23 07:37:33	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	1,154	93¢	$1,073	0x966664…
10-22 20:38:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	900	79¢	$711	0xfe821a…
10-22 15:45:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	800	84¢	$672	0x206b3b…
10-22 15:19:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x43ceb1…
10-22 14:42:11	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	528	89¢	$469	0x4a9999…
10-22 13:53:29	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0xcea4ff…
10-22 13:53:23	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x5810f7…
10-22 13:53:15	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	111	89¢	$98	0x469ed7…
10-21 08:05:41	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x98ada5…
10-21 05:43:15	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	178	96¢	$171	0x2bb54b…
10-21 05:42:57	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	340	96¢	$326	0xeb23de…
10-18 09:03:24	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	88	76¢	$67	0x2566d5…
10-16 14:33:57	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0x3f42a4…
10-16 01:08:19	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$35	0xa925d9…
10-15 23:28:31	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	138	95¢	$131	0x973075…
10-15 07:12:44	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa5a48a…
10-15 06:38:35	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x222de4…
10-15 06:26:05	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7dfbbe…
10-15 05:38:34	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x5cab66…
10-15 02:49:16	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3112b4…
10-15 02:43:22	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x97d98d…
10-15 02:43:22	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3b7d04…
10-15 02:43:20	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2f6c59…
10-15 02:43:19	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xf8163b…
10-15 02:43:19	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xb1212f…
10-15 02:43:19	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x216550…
10-15 02:42:34	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xf01cdd…
10-15 02:37:44	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8e146b…
10-15 02:37:44	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x1bec37…
10-15 02:37:43	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xde81e7…
10-15 02:37:43	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5cf373…
10-15 02:37:43	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x33dfa7…
10-15 02:37:43	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x031c0c…
10-15 02:12:31	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf98727…
10-14 19:03:49	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xa0cf98…
10-14 06:20:38	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xc60e5a…
10-14 06:20:38	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5c4441…
10-14 06:20:37	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa06033…
10-14 06:20:35	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x27aced…
10-14 06:20:34	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6cb2ed…
10-14 06:12:37	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0xf082f3…
10-14 06:12:35	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xe90671…
10-14 06:12:35	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xaa99f6…
10-14 06:12:32	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x83cdbe…
10-14 06:12:31	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0xb3b103…
10-14 06:09:44	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x3fb383…
10-14 06:09:43	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xf0f396…
10-14 06:09:41	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xb2d08a…
10-14 06:09:41	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb1032a…
10-14 06:09:41	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0a6a2d…
10-14 06:04:11	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x59c63c…
10-14 06:04:10	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb19336…
10-14 06:04:10	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2989b3…
10-14 06:04:07	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0xedc62c…
10-14 06:04:05	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xb8726f…
10-14 05:26:50	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x97533a…
10-14 02:05:58	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4e8f7c…
10-13 20:59:13	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	557	90¢	$502	0xa00c87…