Dishonest-Timeout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$334

Unrealized P&L

-$54

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,282

lifetime

Volume

$315.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$246

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 10:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

71% — —

Other

17% 0% $-91

Crypto

9% 0% $-244

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No		+610	$55	0¢	$1	$-54	06-20 15:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	26	$30.7K	16,803	16,803	+0	open	—	04-22 16:40
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	88	$17.3K	36,257	20,889	+15,368	open	—	03-16 09:40
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	134	$15.3K	12,176	12,176	+0	open	—	02-28 07:28
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	5	$12.4K	6,548	6,548	+0	open	—	06-17 13:08
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	12	$12.1K	14,024	2,024	+12,000	open	—	06-14 12:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$11.0K	5,730	9,320	-3,590	open	—	06-02 05:27
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	38	$10.9K	6,100	6,644	-544	open	—	01-31 21:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	26	$10.8K	7,505	7,505	+0	open	—	06-19 21:06
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$8.5K	9,092	0	+9,092	open	—	05-26 08:11
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	35	$7.6K	4,740	5,442	-701	open	—	03-05 19:04
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	20	$7.0K	8,385	0	+8,385	open	—	02-28 19:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	11	$6.8K	3,620	3,620	+0	open	—	03-31 12:46
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$6.6K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	03-21 16:05
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$6.4K	5,000	2,000	+3,000	open	—	05-31 13:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$6.4K	7,100	7,100	+0	open	—	05-10 20:39
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	15	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	07-09 14:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$5.6K	2,990	2,990	+0	open	—	04-04 07:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$5.3K	4,154	4,154	+0	open	—	04-17 18:27
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	11	$4.8K	2,935	2,935	+0	open	—	02-11 01:49
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	11	$4.3K	3,616	3,616	+0	open	—	02-28 20:02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	4	$3.9K	0	4,000	-4,000	open	—	06-18 17:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$3.8K	0	4,000	-4,000	open	—	04-16 20:27
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	12	$3.7K	14,636	816	+13,820	open	—	07-01 19:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	10	$3.5K	8,200	7,200	+1,000	open	—	06-15 19:11
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	22	$3.4K	3,500	1,262	+2,238	open	—	07-01 17:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$3.1K	0	3,250	-3,250	open	—	01-17 09:25
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	16	$3.0K	1,715	1,715	+0	open	—	07-13 04:17
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	16	$2.7K	7,980	2,213	+5,767	open	—	06-20 07:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-10 20:39
will bnb reach 1000 in january	18	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	01-30 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 10:35:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	1,355	9¢	$123	0x5eb76b…
07-20 10:34:12	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	1,529	9¢	$138	0xee4217…
07-20 10:33:36	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	5,399	10¢	$542	0xaaaa2f…
07-20 06:55:34	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	2,316	12¢	$281	0x813e01…
07-20 06:54:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	645	10¢	$67	0x68f9c3…
07-20 05:25:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	166	18¢	$30	0xd801e2…
07-19 20:46:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x4d0cb9…
07-19 17:09:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	1,834	18¢	$330	0x629440…
07-19 17:03:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	SELL	3,047	11¢	$339	0x907bd2…
07-19 15:09:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	105	13¢	$14	0xfbf1ce…
07-19 15:09:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	1,727	13¢	$221	0xa6e1b0…
07-19 15:09:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0xa7724a…
07-19 15:09:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	715	10¢	$71	0xdfa719…
07-19 15:06:49	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	9,245	15¢	$1,367	0x53237a…
07-16 01:30:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	1,043	52¢	$542	0x91e1fa…
07-15 18:12:31	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	405	3¢	$13	0x2f7fe3…
07-15 16:15:31	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5e3844…
07-15 15:21:11	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	206	3¢	$7	0x47eb9c…
07-15 13:58:04	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	900	3¢	$29	0xaacb37…
07-15 13:30:20	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xfac7e7…
07-15 12:45:22	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x32e36a…
07-15 12:36:20	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	114	3¢	$4	0x1d98b1…
07-15 12:36:19	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	114	3¢	$4	0x23bf9c…
07-15 12:36:17	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0xdb41f1…
07-15 12:36:02	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0xd93fe8…
07-15 12:36:02	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	106	3¢	$3	0x6fa39d…
07-15 12:24:59	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x279265…
07-15 12:18:46	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xe00360…
07-15 12:05:07	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1adc43…
07-15 11:08:50	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x3c7cfc…
07-15 10:57:04	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6fb357…
07-15 10:56:41	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x8c20e0…
07-15 10:49:32	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdd9983…
07-15 10:19:19	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	47	52¢	$24	0xf0f38b…
07-15 10:16:01	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x6bdc74…
07-15 09:58:20	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf384f9…
07-13 04:17:58	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	115	97¢	$111	0x85ed04…
07-13 03:42:25	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xd92128…
07-13 02:40:20	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	500	97¢	$484	0x997807…
07-13 02:37:13	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x4c5021…
07-13 02:24:11	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x421de4…
07-13 02:23:56	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x595234…
07-12 18:28:47	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	261	96¢	$251	0xa3ada9…
07-12 18:14:43	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa3260a…
07-12 16:21:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x7bff41…
07-12 16:17:02	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x051370…
07-12 14:47:04	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	555	96¢	$533	0x823db9…
07-12 14:37:01	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xa727e9…
07-10 11:45:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x540bc3…
07-10 11:36:50	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xe8f4ca…
07-10 11:30:41	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x8930b6…
07-10 10:24:17	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	186	94¢	$175	0xf5da24…
07-10 08:18:20	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x27b8fa…
07-10 08:18:04	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	41	94¢	$38	0x946b2a…
07-10 08:17:22	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2251ea…
07-09 14:38:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2,526	97¢	$2,460	0x84cfa0…
07-09 14:37:44	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	434	98¢	$424	0x0b4efa…
07-09 10:14:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb5e456…
07-09 09:37:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x359aa6…
07-09 07:36:44	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xaec7d9…
07-09 06:50:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xacd40d…
07-09 06:33:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7f0f88…
07-09 05:49:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdf48e1…
07-09 04:46:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcb5ca7…
07-09 04:21:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xede18e…
07-09 04:21:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa27d12…
07-09 04:21:38	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x13db9e…
07-09 04:21:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa50ba2…
07-09 04:21:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x240334…
07-08 18:07:25	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x65fc13…
07-08 18:07:01	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xaf0be1…
07-08 18:06:01	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	102	79¢	$80	0x80ec50…
07-08 18:05:56	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	168	79¢	$133	0x0218c2…
07-08 18:05:50	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,420	77¢	$1,098	0xe55654…
07-06 15:50:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	320	36¢	$115	0xdc59b3…
07-05 07:40:34	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x6f3168…
07-05 07:37:41	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$40	0x4342bb…
07-04 06:32:53	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	698	0¢	$1	0xfce8b3…
07-03 08:38:53	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	Yes	BUY	257	38¢	$98	0x46d289…
07-01 20:00:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	964	98¢	$944	0x52eba6…
07-01 19:34:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	3,727	0¢	$4	0x04a98e…
07-01 19:34:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	2,637	0¢	$3	0xe14415…
07-01 19:34:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	3,637	0¢	$4	0xdbea62…
07-01 17:51:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	100	18¢	$19	0x2a41d7…
07-01 17:51:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	80	18¢	$15	0xb5e563…
07-01 17:25:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x74381c…
07-01 16:47:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0ddaf6…
07-01 15:41:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xf032d5…
07-01 13:58:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	196	100¢	$195	0x121770…
07-01 12:06:40	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9dc4d0…
07-01 12:06:32	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf1e97d…
07-01 10:27:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	574	89¢	$511	0x814a72…
07-01 10:14:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	320	51¢	$164	0x96a043…
07-01 09:36:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5995e2…
07-01 09:27:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	932	89¢	$830	0x24521a…
07-01 09:01:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x22ae7b…
07-01 08:36:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x58fba7…
07-01 07:18:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa49686…
07-01 07:03:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x913115…
07-01 06:48:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc94557…