Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.8%

Resolved

128

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$291

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-24

last 11-01 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

86% 36% -$29

Politics

7% 56% +$0

Tech

5% 67% +$1

Crypto

3% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	2	$19	24	24	+0	No	-$6	07-24 01:49
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	2	$14	13	13	+0	Yes	+$10	06-25 02:55
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	08-04 09:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	07-25 16:44
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$3	06-25 02:56
will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	07-24 04:02
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	+$3	07-08 16:05
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 0pt5	2	$5	139	0	+139	Over	-$5	06-30 10:58
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	2	$5	11	0	+11	Over	-$5	06-24 21:35
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$4	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	08-04 09:49
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 spread home 1pt5	2	$4	3	3	+0	Sweden	$0	06-25 03:50
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$0	08-04 09:50
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	2	$4	10	10	+0	No	$0	06-25 03:50
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	1	$4	25	0	+25	Yes	-$4	06-25 03:54
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$4	27	0	+27	Paraguay	+$23	06-29 16:34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	2	$4	8	0	+8	No	-$1	08-17 00:27
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	08-11 01:38
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	08-11 01:38
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	2	$3	8	8	+0	No	-$1	08-08 02:20
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	-$1	08-11 01:38
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 5pt5	3	$3	180	0	+180	Bosnia and Herzegovina	-$3	07-01 16:55
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread away 4pt5	3	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	United States	-$3	07-01 16:55
fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 0pt5	1	$3	86	0	+86	Over	-$3	06-26 13:23
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	1	$3	11	0	+11	Yes	-$3	06-24 08:35
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	-$1	08-25 02:58
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$3	8	8	+0	Yes	-$1	08-08 02:20
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	-$1	08-11 01:37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	2	$3	4	4	+0	No	-$1	08-12 06:22
Will Lyntris' market cap be between $3B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	-$1	08-15 02:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	07-12 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x873e92…
10-28 19:03:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x60dcb3…
10-23 20:25:15	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2c41d7…
10-22 12:21:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb08416…
10-22 03:35:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x751bb1…
10-21 07:24:44	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x551a06…
10-16 22:29:08	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbc4f7f…
10-16 12:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc9eca9…
10-16 03:50:36	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1f8d76…
10-15 19:14:20	Will Meta (META) close at $730-$740 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe38fa2…
10-15 11:02:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe34e33…
10-15 03:01:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3cf88d…
10-12 06:51:20	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc33e60…
10-12 06:51:08	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb7347a…
10-09 20:04:29	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb86d61…
10-08 22:35:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3dfa75…
10-07 14:08:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x03f752…
10-07 06:05:02	Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xad373e…
10-07 06:04:56	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7c5a43…
10-02 05:35:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4e7ec5…
09-26 06:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6184b2…
09-25 21:56:38	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x12daa1…
09-23 01:09:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x903fec…
09-22 17:09:24	will meta reach 770 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x284a80…
09-20 15:18:15	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9993a7…
09-20 08:24:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1d8471…
09-19 22:03:17	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0e1ca0…
09-19 13:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe13ebc…
09-19 10:19:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaa2937…
09-19 05:05:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8898d0…
09-19 02:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc03d5f…
09-19 02:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa2bcae…
09-18 20:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6ce6cb…
09-18 17:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x759f67…
09-18 17:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaad750…
09-17 08:42:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0164d1…
09-17 08:28:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x34463f…
09-12 03:51:12	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xddb51e…
09-08 05:09:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe5a290…
09-07 21:06:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5f4a73…
09-03 14:29:55	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4a6c1d…
08-30 14:52:31	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x320088…
08-30 06:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1bb202…
08-25 20:03:27	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfec799…
08-25 11:36:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x59856a…
08-25 03:01:40	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdc5339…
08-25 02:58:00	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x9654d2…
08-18 06:14:10	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8e23be…
08-17 22:13:45	will mu reach 1050 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9b2c67…
08-17 00:27:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe7052a…
08-16 22:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8fdca8…
08-15 02:12:28	Will Lyntris' market cap be between $3B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xd7ba9a…
08-14 06:58:43	Will Lyntris' market cap be between $3B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x253249…
08-13 10:51:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x72bd5d…
08-13 02:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x93e3bf…
08-12 18:33:04	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x47022c…
08-12 10:31:40	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb49ba9…
08-12 06:22:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x2c75e1…
08-12 02:31:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf23329…
08-11 18:30:36	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x0f2af9…
08-11 10:28:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe967ab…
08-11 01:38:30	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xbabf6a…
08-11 01:38:16	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x29d87a…
08-11 01:38:01	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x96fd41…
08-11 01:37:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xe55518…
08-09 14:11:18	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x396b57…
08-09 06:08:15	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x74a05d…
08-08 21:29:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x985976…
08-08 13:22:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x193fae…
08-08 02:20:30	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xb18f42…
08-08 02:20:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xabef34…
08-07 05:21:00	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xfd07d6…
08-06 21:13:23	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x859131…
08-06 12:46:08	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2275ed…
08-06 04:45:20	Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2593b2…
08-05 20:20:12	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x733d69…
08-05 12:19:20	msft up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9fe7c0…
08-05 04:18:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7da4e3…
08-04 20:16:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xcd929e…
08-04 12:16:21	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x65885f…
08-04 09:50:03	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x47a1a7…
08-04 09:49:33	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xb9b137…
08-04 09:49:12	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x40e96f…
08-03 00:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8c1ab9…
08-02 16:12:32	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4bd75e…
07-28 22:11:05	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357438	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xae0e15…
07-27 04:13:12	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa05c0d…
07-26 16:11:39	sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xd5d0e8…
07-26 04:11:27	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4b8009…
07-25 16:47:03	atc svb swb 2026 07 25 first half team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x5710ff…
07-25 16:44:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x051bea…
07-25 16:03:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9e0ba7…
07-24 04:02:31	will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x754e87…
07-24 01:49:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0x90f826…
07-23 04:01:57	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb0b0d9…
07-22 04:01:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6383dc…
07-21 16:01:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xfac231…
07-14 04:00:31	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcf4157…
07-12 17:59:59	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc0782c…
07-12 05:59:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xf93116…