Wasteful-Scrutiny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$252

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

107

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$7.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$128

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-30 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Sports

73% 56% +$14

Other

26% 38% +$238

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	+213	$100	46¢	$99	-$1	10-31 17:13
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+76	$25	29¢	$22	-$3	10-28 11:29
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+16	$5	26¢	$4	-$1	10-28 11:29
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+16	$5	20¢	$3	-$2	10-27 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 47.5	2	$435	378	378	+0	Over	+$35	09-14 01:59
nfl det buf 2026 09 18 pyd josh allen 249pt5	2	$410	790	0	+790	Under	-$176	09-18 00:02
Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	2	$400	400	400	+0	Over	+$0	10-18 10:31
Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 30.5	1	$233	449	0	+449	Under	-$233	10-26 01:49
Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5	2	$211	204	204	+0	Over	+$11	10-23 03:09
Spread: England (-1.5)	1	$200	408	0	+408	England	+$208	09-28 21:22
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	1	$200	333	0	+333	Arsenal FC	+$133	10-13 12:23
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	1	$200	377	0	+377	Yes	+$177	07-15 15:27
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	1	$175	307	0	+307	Panthers	+$132	10-17 21:33
Spread: Packers (-3.5)	2	$150	300	0	+300	Packers	-$130	10-29 20:46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?	1	$120	207	0	+207	Yes	+$87	10-09 12:36
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5	1	$110	212	0	+212	open	—	10-30 22:56
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5	1	$110	212	0	+212	open	—	10-28 13:36
Spread: Bills (-5.5)	1	$110	216	0	+216	Bills	+$106	09-17 23:58
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	2	$110	204	0	+204	No	-$110	10-23 22:32
Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5	1	$100	200	0	+200	Under	+$100	10-15 15:13
Commanders vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5	1	$100	169	0	+169	Under	+$69	09-13 16:50
Spread: Steelers (-2.5)	1	$100	179	0	+179	Steelers	+$79	10-24 18:47
49ers vs. Rams: O/U 47.5	1	$100	196	0	+196	Under	+$96	09-11 00:35
Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	1	$100	182	0	+182	Over	+$82	10-26 21:32
Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 42.5	1	$100	169	0	+169	Under	-$100	10-24 18:47
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5	1	$100	204	0	+204	Over	+$104	10-06 21:15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	1	$100	213	0	+213	open	—	10-31 17:13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	1	$100	159	0	+159	No	-$100	10-25 15:25
Panthers vs. Browns	1	$100	185	0	+185	Browns	-$100	09-27 16:59
nfl atl gb 2026 09 25 spread home 5pt5	1	$100	204	0	+204	Falcons	-$100	09-23 22:31
Spread: Rams (-3.5)	1	$100	208	0	+208	Bills	-$100	10-12 23:04
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5	1	$100	204	0	+204	open	—	10-31 17:14
Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5	1	$100	192	0	+192	Under	+$92	09-09 22:22
Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	1	$100	196	0	+196	Under	-$100	10-24 18:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:14:09	Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5	Over	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xcb311f…
10-31 17:13:46	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x34e12c…
10-30 22:56:22	Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5	Under	BUY	212	52¢	$110	0xeec31f…
10-29 20:46:21	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0e1b1b…
10-29 20:46:01	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	280	50¢	$140	0x9f0649…
10-28 13:37:56	Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x6ae6ac…
10-28 13:36:43	Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	212	52¢	$110	0x9c03d1…
10-28 11:31:55	Spread: Browns (-3.5)	Steelers	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x1a7aa7…
10-28 11:29:44	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x10be71…
10-28 11:29:16	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2d3c7b…
10-27 21:41:42	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x782f3b…
10-27 21:41:30	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x535b1d…
10-27 21:39:36	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9dafa1…
10-27 21:39:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc2a08b…
10-26 21:32:50	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x0e3267…
10-26 01:49:54	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 30.5	Over	BUY	449	52¢	$233	0x9ecddf…
10-25 15:25:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x1fcd25…
10-25 01:32:39	Packers vs. Lions: O/U 54.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x45b05f…
10-24 18:47:26	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x10ab28…
10-24 18:47:17	Spread: Steelers (-2.5)	Steelers	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x3d1437…
10-24 18:47:05	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x80a133…
10-23 22:32:26	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0x7e4152…
10-23 22:31:35	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x99f537…
10-23 03:09:59	Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 52.5	Under	SELL	71	81¢	$58	0xe9d61e…
10-23 03:09:39	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0xebf5dc…
10-23 03:09:32	Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5	Under	SELL	204	54¢	$111	0xf01893…
10-23 00:10:05	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x4dfd5d…
10-23 00:09:32	Spread: Bears (-6.5)	Bears	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe651c4…
10-22 19:29:11	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x4d939f…
10-22 19:28:17	Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0f398e…
10-22 19:27:54	Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 52.5	Under	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xd21f36…
10-22 19:27:42	Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xcb3377…
10-21 00:53:36	Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xe167b6…
10-21 00:53:23	Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x6db5df…
10-21 00:52:53	Wild vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8b3f32…
10-18 10:31:06	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	Over	SELL	400	50¢	$200	0xbac7af…
10-17 21:34:24	Bills vs. Raiders: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xd9d6d1…
10-17 21:33:09	Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	Panthers	BUY	307	57¢	$175	0x81d87a…
10-16 21:45:41	Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xd53876…
10-15 15:13:34	Seahawks vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 19.5	Under	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x084f6e…
10-15 15:13:16	Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe53ffc…
10-15 15:13:05	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0xc826c0…
10-15 15:12:50	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xbcaf4a…
10-14 02:23:17	Oilers vs. Kings	Oilers	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x5a486f…
10-14 02:23:10	Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x4ca996…
10-13 12:23:53	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0xfe5b47…
10-12 23:04:32	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x21594f…
10-09 12:36:15	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	207	58¢	$120	0x9021a2…
10-08 17:33:00	Will Evan Bouchard record 100+ points?	Yes	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x68a729…
10-06 21:15:06	Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x7d4057…
10-06 21:14:44	Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x2ff6ff…
09-28 21:22:53	Spread: England (-1.5)	England	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x9ca483…
09-28 13:07:03	Eagles vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x55c27c…
09-28 13:06:53	Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 41.5	Over	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x7366e8…
09-27 17:00:06	Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 50.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x016a13…
09-27 16:59:39	Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	Panthers	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x4eeb0d…
09-27 16:59:30	Panthers vs. Browns	Panthers	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x54ddd4…
09-23 22:31:22	nfl atl gb 2026 09 25 spread home 5pt5	Packers	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xe48ded…
09-22 22:14:07	Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Under	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x8f7acb…
09-22 22:11:38	Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 50.5	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x6d3b9e…
09-18 00:02:43	nfl det buf 2026 09 18 pyd josh allen 249pt5	Over	BUY	556	54¢	$300	0x74913a…
09-18 00:02:15	nfl det buf 2026 09 18 pyd josh allen 249pt5	Under	BUY	234	47¢	$110	0x6370a1…
09-17 23:58:27	Spread: Bills (-5.5)	Bills	BUY	216	51¢	$110	0x34b975…
09-16 13:46:30	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Cardinals	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x01bbcb…
09-16 13:23:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x8895aa…
09-16 13:23:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xb7be6e…
09-15 00:14:24	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Broncos	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x1dd291…
09-14 01:59:10	Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 47.5	Under	SELL	378	62¢	$235	0x077f2a…
09-14 00:29:19	Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	378	53¢	$200	0x21a2ce…
09-13 16:51:40	Spread: LAC (-9.5)	ARI	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x12e605…
09-13 16:50:55	Commanders vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5	Under	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xd035a7…
09-13 16:48:27	Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	Colts	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc52f24…
09-13 16:48:16	Ravens vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8f4cf2…
09-11 00:35:04	49ers vs. Rams: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xc22a1f…
09-09 22:23:06	Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x7d7b0e…
09-09 22:22:49	Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x02b765…
08-29 13:39:57	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x639d1f…
08-21 18:10:00	epl ars cov 2026 08 21 spread home 1pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x3350b4…
08-05 18:51:48	ucl fen stu1 2026 08 05 spread home 1pt5	Fenerbahçe SK	SELL	38	83¢	$32	0x105c48…
08-05 18:51:33	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x4feb9c…
08-05 17:54:29	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xb1f323…
08-05 17:54:18	ucl fen stu1 2026 08 05 spread home 2pt5	Fenerbahçe SK	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x88090a…
08-05 17:53:51	ucl fen stu1 2026 08 05 spread home 1pt5	Fenerbahçe SK	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x4a152a…
08-05 15:50:42	nfl car ari 2026 08 07 total 34pt5	Over	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x0fef31…
07-19 18:09:12	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x13abd2…
07-19 18:02:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x74c03b…
07-19 17:42:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x4fc7cf…
07-19 17:41:58	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0xf852af…
07-19 17:41:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xed7203…
07-19 17:32:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4bd61c…
07-15 20:24:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xe0b907…
07-15 20:24:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals julian alvarez gte1	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x58fc5a…
07-15 15:27:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x6b75a5…
07-15 15:26:47	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	101	39¢	$40	0x9a77ac…
07-15 15:25:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9dd476…
07-15 15:25:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x25f52c…
07-15 15:25:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xfdafb8…
07-15 14:54:22	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x2a8c70…
07-15 14:53:35	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x718953…
07-06 23:13:56	Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xc82dd4…