Bitter-Neighbour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$246

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

Trades

437

lifetime

Volume

$6.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 11-02 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

100% 76% +$251

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	17	$657	371	371	+0	open	—	10-16 14:18
Will 80 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	31	$653	554	426	+128	Yes	+$44	09-09 15:02
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	14	$468	264	264	+0	No	+$5	06-29 13:12
Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	12	$435	300	300	+0	open	—	10-16 14:18
Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	7	$411	213	213	+0	open	—	10-11 18:13
Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	10	$341	559	223	+336	open	—	10-30 07:30
Will 100 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	18	$327	379	379	+0	No	+$33	09-09 14:57
Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	9	$238	241	241	-0	open	—	10-10 22:51
Will 130 to 159 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	10	$223	115	115	+0	No	+$5	06-29 19:56
Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?	6	$198	102	102	-0	No	+$2	08-14 12:06
Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	7	$188	135	135	+0	open	—	10-19 15:12
Will 40 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	13	$172	198	101	+97	No	+$3	09-09 15:01
Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	10	$162	1,126	621	+505	open	—	10-25 14:23
Will 60 to 79 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	16	$145	248	179	+69	No	-$24	08-25 12:26
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?	13	$115	141	102	+39	No	+$9	07-28 21:00
Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	4	$100	185	0	+185	Yes	+$85	06-28 01:38
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	5	$100	108	0	+108	No	+$9	08-16 17:11
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	13	$91	53	53	+0	No	+$1	06-29 11:16
Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	5	$84	45	45	+0	No	+$5	08-24 08:39
Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	13	$78	1,063	493	+571	open	—	10-25 14:21
Will 290 to 319 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?	2	$78	80	0	+80	No	+$2	05-27 18:55
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?	16	$74	133	16	+117	Yes	+$72	08-06 10:20
Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?	7	$65	58	9	+49	No	+$2	08-14 11:12
Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?	5	$63	58	8	+49	No	+$3	08-14 11:13
Will fewer than 200 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?	8	$63	67	10	+57	Yes	+$1	05-29 17:03
Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?	7	$60	57	6	+51	No	+$3	08-14 11:13
Will more than 410 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?	5	$56	60	0	+60	No	+$4	05-20 08:53
Will there be under 10 tornadoes in the US in November 2026?	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	11-02 14:39
will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	3	$49	36	36	+0	No	+$7	03-03 18:47
Will there be 125 or more tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	2	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	10-12 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 14:39:24	Will there be under 10 tornadoes in the US in November 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x9afbff…
10-30 07:30:16	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x7ef45d…
10-29 21:50:30	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	101	3¢	$3	0x569c54…
10-29 20:44:12	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	93	3¢	$3	0x436d9a…
10-29 20:19:04	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0xd40a4c…
10-29 20:17:49	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x2eeb9c…
10-29 20:17:21	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0xa976f8…
10-29 20:17:16	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x61f42f…
10-29 20:17:06	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	94¢	$76	0x02040f…
10-25 14:23:00	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	318	1¢	$2	0x1bca63…
10-25 14:21:54	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	402	0¢	$1	0x935503…
10-23 09:58:33	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	273	9¢	$24	0x073ba8…
10-21 11:01:15	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0xc248e4…
10-21 11:00:15	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	8¢	$12	0x70556f…
10-20 22:20:03	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	8¢	$17	0x9387b5…
10-20 22:13:00	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	524	2¢	$11	0xdc6329…
10-20 20:03:42	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x47476c…
10-20 19:59:12	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0x910d4a…
10-20 19:56:17	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0xdca331…
10-20 19:55:51	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x69e0a2…
10-20 19:55:42	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x8c50fc…
10-20 19:53:53	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x3c8fb5…
10-20 09:59:44	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	5¢	$8	0xc2e280…
10-20 09:56:18	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	502	10¢	$52	0x1bcc77…
10-19 22:58:08	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	7¢	$7	0x0fa81e…
10-19 22:57:53	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	6¢	$7	0xbb3738…
10-19 15:12:56	Will there be under 25 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb1e850…
10-19 15:12:50	Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x794394…
10-19 09:26:50	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0xbf9796…
10-16 14:18:22	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	126	99¢	$124	0xf8752e…
10-16 14:18:22	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xb443d0…
10-16 14:18:22	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa6d4ba…
10-16 14:18:22	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x8e25cc…
10-16 14:18:22	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x1b97c4…
10-16 13:17:03	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xcaea26…
10-13 13:39:20	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0x093c26…
10-13 13:38:53	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xb29184…
10-13 13:32:16	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	62	86¢	$53	0x52a4ae…
10-13 13:31:43	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x112eda…
10-12 21:43:26	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	117	81¢	$95	0xf754ec…
10-12 21:42:50	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x68e7e6…
10-12 08:19:36	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xf54daf…
10-12 08:15:11	Will there be 125 or more tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0xa4e127…
10-11 18:26:04	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x14c65a…
10-11 18:25:31	Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x97b489…
10-11 18:14:16	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	85	80¢	$68	0x4aa174…
10-11 18:13:22	Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	SELL	74	94¢	$70	0x0db02c…
10-11 14:33:21	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x803590…
10-11 14:32:34	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	27	71¢	$19	0x4a3a90…
10-11 12:30:13	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x9bbcf9…
10-11 09:52:13	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x081fb7…
10-11 09:51:16	Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	SELL	104	97¢	$101	0xadd61e…
10-11 09:47:31	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x552595…
10-11 09:44:10	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0xd7344d…
10-11 07:43:36	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x42543a…
10-11 02:55:27	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xef322b…
10-10 22:51:21	Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x42af05…
10-10 22:50:45	Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x851470…
10-10 19:19:28	Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xe01a80…
10-10 19:14:25	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x4b067a…
10-10 18:14:42	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x713c72…
10-10 18:02:34	Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x1fcf15…
10-10 17:58:43	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$7	0x1975f9…
10-09 14:31:49	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	43¢	$22	0x1d6f76…
10-09 07:38:09	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	11¢	$7	0xfa000c…
10-08 18:41:24	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xb09be2…
10-08 18:34:20	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xb2ba51…
10-08 18:33:27	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	48	79¢	$38	0x064235…
10-08 16:17:00	Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x229116…
10-07 09:40:51	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xe9d6bb…
10-07 09:40:32	Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xccd79f…
10-07 08:26:17	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xd57405…
10-07 08:25:24	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xfe4172…
10-07 08:24:06	Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf7df12…
10-07 08:23:45	Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x43e4e4…
10-01 08:33:42	Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0feefa…
09-30 22:32:08	Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x0b88b0…
09-29 11:05:17	Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd6d7df…
09-29 11:02:45	Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	15¢	$11	0xf6cd5c…
09-29 11:02:12	Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x9fdfa6…
09-27 12:28:21	Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x472679…
09-26 14:37:47	Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xf5de68…
09-26 08:42:23	Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x2270a7…
09-26 08:25:54	Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0x50d8b6…
09-25 11:04:20	Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0x22df45…
09-22 13:25:18	Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0x7d7794…
09-22 08:39:51	Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xb3a4f4…
09-15 08:26:19	Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xd6c6d6…
09-10 10:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcc86ae…
09-09 15:02:00	Will 80 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x91077a…
09-09 15:01:57	Will 40 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x183dec…
09-09 15:01:40	Will 40 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x45e8f1…
09-09 14:58:15	Will 80 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1f8e20…
09-09 14:57:54	Will 100 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0xae7c57…
09-09 14:57:28	Will 80 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0xc2f641…
09-08 22:55:43	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x142333…
09-08 22:52:33	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xeb1a92…
09-08 22:51:18	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Alex Michelsen	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x6fb7c8…
09-08 22:46:37	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Alex Michelsen	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x613e51…
09-08 22:45:54	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xcabb21…