Will there be under 25 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?
open
Total volume
$568
Trades
38
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$216
End date
2026-10-14
First seen
2026-09-06
last 10-19 15:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $501
vs crowd: 1% YES on $555)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $6 | $84 | $78 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $1 | $424 | $422 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | — | $39 | $39 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $2 | $500 | $498 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $3 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | +411 | $407 | $407 | 2 | 10-19 15:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +286 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 10-08 00:05 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +150 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-07 17:41 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +84 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 10-07 17:42 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +83 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-07 17:41 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +76 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-07 17:41 |
| Woeful-Spyglass 0xd17a…b840 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 09-12 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 10-19 15:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-19 15:12 |
| Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-27 09:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xa63a…c954 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-18 05:15 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-07 17:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-07 17:41 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-07 17:41 |
| Improbable-Dhow 0x5ae3…2aeb | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-15 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-07 17:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 15:12:56 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb1e850… |
| 10-19 15:12:56 | Bitter-Neighbour 0x758e…4916 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb1e850… |
| 10-19 15:12:56 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb1e850… |
| 10-19 15:12:56 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0xb1e850… |
| 10-18 05:15:45 | (anonymous) 0xa63a…c954 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x088051… |
| 10-18 05:15:45 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x088051… |
| 10-15 11:08:01 | Improbable-Dhow 0x5ae3…2aeb | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe0cbe1… |
| 10-15 11:08:01 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe0cbe1… |
| 10-08 00:05:17 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x95e457… |
| 10-08 00:05:17 | (anonymous) 0x8373…f0bc | Yes | SELL | 92 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x95e457… |
| 10-08 00:05:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x95e457… |
| 10-07 17:49:48 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | SELL | 81 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd2a4d3… |
| 10-07 17:49:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd2a4d3… |
| 10-07 17:42:18 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x3b9477… |
| 10-07 17:42:18 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b9477… |
| 10-07 17:42:16 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf693f5… |
| 10-07 17:42:16 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 84 | 100¢ | $84 | 0xf693f5… |
| 10-07 17:42:16 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf693f5… |
| 10-07 17:41:52 | (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xf7e17c… |
| 10-07 17:41:52 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf7e17c… |
| 10-07 17:41:52 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf7e17c… |
| 10-07 17:41:51 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | BUY | 376 | 99¢ | $372 | 0x58e040… |
| 10-07 17:41:51 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x58e040… |
| 10-07 17:41:51 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 74 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x58e040… |
| 10-07 17:41:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x58e040… |
| 10-07 17:41:51 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 142 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x58e040… |
| 09-29 18:09:15 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35efcd… |
| 09-29 18:09:15 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35efcd… |
| 09-27 09:37:24 | Snarling-Butane 0x6235…e56a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde7ed7… |
| 09-27 09:37:24 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde7ed7… |
| 09-18 10:13:22 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c9dfa… |
| 09-18 10:13:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c9dfa… |
| 09-12 10:26:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a3325… |
| 09-12 10:26:39 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2a3325… |
| 09-12 10:26:39 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a3325… |
| 09-12 10:26:39 | Woeful-Spyglass 0xd17a…b840 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x2a3325… |
| 09-06 08:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe6c457… |
| 09-06 08:14:51 | Bitter-Neighbour 0x758e…4916 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xe6c457… |