Woeful-Spyglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

124

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$6.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$145

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-29 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

81% 97% +$19

Politics

10% 88% +$7

Crypto

7% 100% +$8

Sports

2% 80% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	+52	$50	100¢	$52	+$2	10-05 17:09
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	+37	$30	88¢	$32	+$2	10-09 16:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+35	$30	90¢	$32	+$2	10-19 17:08
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	+31	$30	98¢	$30	+$0	10-26 18:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
x banned in uk by march 31	2	$214	117	117	+0	No	+$14	02-14 13:11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 14?	2	$162	180	0	+180	No	+$18	05-14 15:19
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	1	$160	162	0	+162	Yes	+$2	05-02 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 13?	1	$160	163	0	+163	No	+$3	05-13 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?	2	$160	165	0	+165	No	+$5	05-25 16:35
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$150	153	0	+153	No	+$3	04-02 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 24?	1	$150	153	0	+153	No	+$3	05-24 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?	1	$147	150	0	+150	No	+$3	05-10 14:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 15?	1	$140	147	0	+147	No	+$7	05-15 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 9?	1	$140	145	0	+145	No	+$5	05-09 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 16?	1	$130	139	0	+139	No	+$9	05-16 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?	1	$130	135	0	+135	No	+$5	05-07 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 6?	1	$115	131	0	+131	No	+$16	05-06 14:39
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	1	$110	116	0	+116	No	+$6	02-14 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?	1	$110	118	0	+118	No	+$8	05-05 15:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$105	60	60	+0	No	-$5	05-08 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	05-04 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 28?	1	$100	108	0	+108	Yes	-$100	05-28 15:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$100	108	0	+108	No	+$8	08-16 06:51
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	1	$100	112	0	+112	No	+$12	01-11 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 11?	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	05-11 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 3?	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	05-02 07:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	05-26 17:44
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	03-01 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 27?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	05-27 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	06-19 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 17?	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	05-17 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 2?	2	$93	122	0	+122	Yes	-$82	06-02 15:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$90	91	0	+91	No	+$1	09-12 10:29
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	1	$80	82	0	+82	No	+$2	02-07 16:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x89d6bc…
10-28 16:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x3b7408…
10-26 18:41:14	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdc539b…
10-26 18:38:26	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe5d33f…
10-21 17:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x23be2d…
10-20 17:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 20?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4535d3…
10-19 17:08:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x781881…
10-19 17:01:24	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on October 19?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x33aac0…
10-19 16:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xec202a…
10-17 08:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 17?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x19c900…
10-17 08:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 17?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2bb861…
10-15 16:37:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa38dc8…
10-15 16:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 15?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd8a484…
10-11 18:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x260f62…
10-11 18:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa9b44d…
10-11 09:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf040e8…
10-10 16:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xebcd68…
10-10 09:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb5756a…
10-09 16:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd64797…
10-09 16:26:08	US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x97e26e…
10-09 16:24:29	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x79a5d0…
10-09 16:22:11	Will Andreu Mas-Colell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbec9de…
10-09 16:21:57	Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb027c6…
10-09 16:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x764712…
10-05 17:22:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xca02cc…
10-05 17:18:23	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4bb9ee…
10-05 17:15:41	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4be97b…
10-05 17:09:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x048cd6…
10-05 17:05:56	Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x994c5c…
09-17 17:59:31	will wti reach 140 in september 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xf11a8f…
09-12 10:34:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x874d06…
09-12 10:32:34	Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x65dc80…
09-12 10:29:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x2567a9…
09-12 10:28:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc8c4f6…
09-12 10:26:39	Will there be under 25 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2a3325…
09-12 10:26:27	Will there be 125 or more tornadoes in the US in September 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x283081…
09-12 10:22:07	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x305db6…
09-12 10:20:27	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0e7ade…
09-09 15:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf52669…
09-09 15:06:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x2c7a61…
09-09 15:05:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x471f67…
09-09 15:05:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf19645…
09-07 15:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 7?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1746bc…
09-06 09:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0fc4e5…
09-04 17:04:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa912b8…
09-04 16:50:10	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0c6522…
09-03 15:01:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x47e171…
09-03 14:58:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x963233…
09-03 14:58:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xadbe58…
09-02 14:43:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xcf3c00…
09-02 14:43:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd59b41…
09-01 15:01:01	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xe04b4a…
09-01 14:56:03	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf95592…
09-01 14:54:42	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6c94e5…
09-01 14:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 1?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa45c6d…
08-26 14:58:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc1c336…
08-26 14:57:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x5401a0…
08-25 15:42:30	bitcoin above 82k on august 25 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3159e3…
08-25 15:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 25?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xcfbfda…
08-16 06:51:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x71d87b…
08-16 06:43:45	Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd3c360…
08-16 06:42:43	Will "Spider-Man: Far from Home" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4ad828…
08-08 09:33:58	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xa4a807…
08-08 09:31:09	Will fewer than 40 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x1051d6…
08-07 15:33:06	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf383ab…
08-07 15:29:33	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x6e06c5…
08-07 15:27:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x37bd70…
08-07 15:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 7?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xa15458…
08-07 15:20:52	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0xe0ad22…
07-25 10:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa3bccb…
07-21 16:15:37	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6ff30a…
07-21 16:15:27	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1876ff…
07-19 09:38:40	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6ad2f…
07-19 09:38:27	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9efda6…
07-19 09:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbb18fd…
07-16 17:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 17?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xe864dc…
07-16 17:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 17?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa61e02…
07-15 18:02:10	Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe8c538…
07-15 18:01:32	Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x114c31…
07-15 17:58:22	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0xf72700…
07-15 17:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 16?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0f70dd…
07-13 18:14:08	Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x12a6b7…
07-13 18:13:46	Will "Hamnet" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfbdd22…
07-13 18:13:40	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x80d62c…
07-11 10:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 11?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa6670d…
07-11 10:52:52	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x517826…
07-11 10:49:23	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8ab8d1…
07-11 10:47:02	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xabc602…
07-11 10:44:56	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xb4fbe2…
07-11 10:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 11?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xe62da5…
07-11 10:38:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc0049a…
07-11 10:36:49	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb010e2…
07-11 10:35:52	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4a170f…
07-07 17:57:05	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xe73a50…
07-02 16:11:17	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x7b1423…
07-02 16:09:56	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x751b6a…
07-01 15:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 1?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xcd9161…
06-29 15:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x97a777…
06-23 16:08:31	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xcecc6d…
06-19 17:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x00e6bb…