Antique-Frost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$387

Unrealized P&L

+$60

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

126

Trades

399

lifetime

Volume

$97.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$245

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-24 20:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

57% 92% -$246

Politics

34% 86% -$121

Crypto

9% 77% -$19

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+0	-$60	82¢	$0	+$60	06-11 20:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	17	$5.0K	2,261	2,861	-600	No	+$14	03-17 20:10
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	23	$4.0K	2,624	1,422	+1,201	No	+$5	05-21 19:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 291	3	$3.3K	3,294	0	+3,294	No	+$4	03-27 23:43
will mrbeasts next video get less than 76 million views on day 6	3	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	No	+$3	03-26 22:34
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	12	$3.0K	1,576	1,576	+0	open	—	06-09 19:37
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	3	$2.9K	2,000	943	+1,057	LGD Gaming	+$1	05-29 16:58
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2.8K	2,803	0	+2,803	Yes	+$3	03-31 20:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$2.7K	1,107	1,607	-500	Yes	+$0	04-29 15:59
cbb txam hou 2026 03 21	2	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	Houston Cougars	+$2	03-21 23:46
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	15	$2.5K	2,508	0	+2,508	Yes	+$18	07-20 17:11
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	7	$2.2K	800	1,400	-600	No	+$0	03-13 11:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	04-30 22:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$2.0K	2,006	0	+2,006	No	+$6	07-01 15:07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$2.0K	2,008	0	+2,008	Yes	+$8	04-06 22:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$29	04-20 06:58
will gta 6 cost 100	5	$1.9K	1,903	0	+1,903	No	+$5	02-28 21:37
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$1.8K	1,802	0	+1,802	No	+$2	03-24 16:28
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	28	$1.7K	969	1,087	-117	No	+$158	04-14 23:58
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	5	$1.7K	1,300	400	+900	Yes	+$3	03-07 22:23
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	14	$1.7K	711	1,011	-300	No	-$5	05-18 14:53
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$1.6K	802	802	+0	No	+$1	05-25 14:41
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.6K	1,318	300	+1,018	No	+$5	02-27 20:55
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	10	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$22	03-26 08:00
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$1.4K	0	1,407	-1,407	No	-$3	01-03 09:02
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	8	$1.4K	731	691	+40	No	+$10	04-03 22:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 4?	2	$1.2K	1,201	0	+1,201	No	+$1	05-04 10:48
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 12000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	2	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	No	+$1	05-13 23:02
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 3?	2	$1.0K	1,051	0	+1,051	No	+$1	05-03 21:41
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26 spread home 8pt5	9	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Arizona Wildcats	-$20	03-26 22:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	No	+$1	07-12 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 20:29:48	Will RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	204	98¢	$200	0x37978b…
08-28 10:02:30	Multipli.fi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xcb9a9a…
08-07 20:06:25	Multipli.fi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xc58bf2…
08-07 19:14:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6df13f…
07-27 22:15:36	will trump speak to kim jong un in july 20260626154217424	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0d31e6…
07-26 11:07:24	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xac92be…
07-20 17:11:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	248	99¢	$246	0x81e978…
07-20 17:11:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x340069…
07-20 17:09:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xe66737…
07-20 17:08:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x78e0b3…
07-20 17:08:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6bafe6…
07-20 17:08:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	157	99¢	$156	0x55a4c8…
07-20 16:51:15	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xb7e90f…
07-20 16:50:36	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x14a1c9…
07-20 16:45:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xf4b615…
07-20 16:42:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x87d0fc…
07-20 16:41:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8df688…
07-20 16:40:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xaf1c30…
07-20 16:40:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x76c769…
07-20 16:40:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0x6ded35…
07-12 10:30:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	520	96¢	$501	0x9402a3…
07-09 16:46:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	520	96¢	$500	0x779825…
07-07 17:43:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x48160c…
07-07 17:41:56	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0xa3dad9…
07-07 17:39:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x29ea55…
07-07 17:35:22	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x745a60…
07-07 17:35:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x7327f4…
07-01 15:07:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xce58f3…
07-01 15:06:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0xe56791…
07-01 15:06:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	702	100¢	$700	0x94e10a…
07-01 12:26:41	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x24c008…
06-11 20:08:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	352	82¢	$288	0xfea5cc…
06-11 20:08:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	44	82¢	$36	0xa158ac…
06-11 20:08:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	43	82¢	$35	0xd2ea2e…
06-11 20:08:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	161	82¢	$132	0x9df00e…
06-11 13:23:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x064a48…
06-11 13:22:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x3a1319…
06-09 19:38:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	407	98¢	$400	0x863969…
06-09 19:37:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	705	99¢	$700	0xd0c057…
06-09 19:37:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	706	99¢	$700	0x2fa1d2…
06-09 19:37:24	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,576	95¢	$1,494	0x0c44d7…
05-29 16:58:14	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	SELL	943	100¢	$942	0x4e5c27…
05-29 16:57:25	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc3a1c4…
05-29 16:56:34	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x633f09…
05-25 14:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 25?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x1daf64…
05-25 14:43:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x312e1d…
05-25 14:43:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x35be78…
05-25 14:43:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcc4776…
05-25 14:42:07	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x2d19ca…
05-25 14:41:53	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x4c5ef7…
05-25 14:41:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	802	100¢	$801	0xe324cb…
05-24 10:27:35	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x95bf61…
05-22 21:34:46	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	802	100¢	$800	0x62fd39…
05-21 19:00:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x352e17…
05-21 19:00:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x186111…
05-21 19:00:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x890248…
05-21 11:10:23	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x7cb97d…
05-21 11:10:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xaf65b9…
05-21 11:10:11	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xb33ff0…
05-18 14:53:08	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	470	98¢	$461	0x0271d5…
05-18 14:22:31	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xf8d8be…
05-18 14:20:58	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa6644e…
05-18 14:20:58	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x60931b…
05-18 14:20:39	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x9c63e7…
05-18 14:20:27	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xa7151c…
05-18 14:14:02	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7b9560…
05-18 14:14:02	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x68efbe…
05-18 14:14:02	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x3ea6c9…
05-18 13:18:03	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x15c206…
05-18 13:05:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x193c5e…
05-18 13:04:58	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcdb3a9…
05-18 13:04:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xc36fd8…
05-18 13:04:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x08e8bf…
05-18 13:04:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	99	98¢	$97	0x03721e…
05-18 12:59:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7600bc…
05-18 12:59:36	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd017bb…
05-18 12:56:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	234	98¢	$230	0xdd8f5e…
05-18 12:49:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x13fd67…
05-17 23:48:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	256	98¢	$252	0x0482e8…
05-17 22:42:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	276	98¢	$271	0x495c65…
05-17 22:32:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x72664c…
05-17 22:24:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2c28c7…
05-17 12:55:49	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	76	98¢	$75	0x89768f…
05-17 12:54:02	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x955b43…
05-17 12:52:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	126	98¢	$124	0x6313b2…
05-17 12:47:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x05f081…
05-17 12:44:47	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	291	98¢	$285	0x7c3516…
05-17 12:43:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	357	98¢	$348	0x8ff5fd…
05-17 12:42:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x8cb41b…
05-17 12:40:25	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x517654…
05-17 12:39:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0x3cd5bb…
05-17 12:31:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0x1ef485…
05-17 12:30:58	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0x83a876…
05-16 22:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3a709c…
05-16 22:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49b9f4…
05-16 22:56:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf51d5b…
05-16 22:56:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb84a85…
05-16 22:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 17?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbbc1e5…
05-16 22:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00a10e…
05-16 22:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2a4cda…