Fickle-Claw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

211

Trades

569

lifetime

Volume

$5.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-21 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 94% +$72

Other

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	8	$305	250	250	+0	open	—	05-16 07:30
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	2	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	05-19 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-30 03:20
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$47	56	0	+56	open	—	05-15 03:05
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$45	46	0	+46	Down	+$0	05-12 01:00
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	05-11 13:50
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	05-20 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	05-16 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	04-30 00:10
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	04-30 03:45
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	04-30 00:20
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	04-30 00:15
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$0	05-12 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$28	92	0	+92	Down	$-28	05-11 14:14
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-28 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$25	27	0	+27	Up	+$1	05-11 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	1	$25	74	0	+74	Up	$-25	05-06 14:00
Solana Up or Down on May 6?	2	$25	96	0	+96	Up	$-25	05-06 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-04 15:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$21	73	0	+73	Down	+$52	05-11 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$21	73	0	+73	open	—	05-18 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$21	73	0	+73	Up	$-21	05-09 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$21	73	0	+73	open	—	05-19 03:23
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	05-11 13:50
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	05-11 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-11 12:05
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	05-10 09:50
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	05-11 02:25
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	05-08 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-08 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 02:25:02	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xd0b011…
05-21 02:25:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x1d5b72…
05-21 01:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x20af8b…
05-21 01:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc8f74b…
05-20 22:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x147f7c…
05-20 20:25:16	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd053c6…
05-20 12:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xeda029…
05-20 09:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x1a530e…
05-20 05:20:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x78baaa…
05-20 03:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xef04e7…
05-20 03:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xe4f1a6…
05-20 03:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xe2cf6a…
05-20 01:28:59	Will XRP dip to $1.35 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x7ed0b9…
05-19 16:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x14e8ec…
05-19 16:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3f71a9…
05-19 15:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x3f00d2…
05-19 14:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x048f9b…
05-19 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xd4a2b1…
05-19 13:25:03	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba3e44…
05-19 13:25:01	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc8b1cc…
05-19 13:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xf3eeba…
05-19 03:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0xe81a1b…
05-19 03:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xb8cc2b…
05-19 03:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x03f602…
05-19 02:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe23143…
05-19 01:05:02	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x00dc26…
05-19 00:07:32	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x741a9a…
05-19 00:07:29	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x4dbb79…
05-18 15:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x27c5bf…
05-18 14:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8eb357…
05-18 14:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x8e8bc4…
05-18 14:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8e31d6…
05-18 14:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x84ed88…
05-18 14:12:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x9f7830…
05-18 14:10:04	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x1f89d2…
05-18 13:41:09	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x67b5c1…
05-18 11:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0xf47ea6…
05-18 11:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xc69256…
05-18 11:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x09082f…
05-18 11:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x24df02…
05-18 11:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x464012…
05-18 06:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xbe385f…
05-18 03:20:01	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x19204f…
05-18 02:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xfb003b…
05-18 00:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x45cd32…
05-18 00:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0142f1…
05-17 22:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x0b38cd…
05-17 21:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x040eca…
05-17 21:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x4b5997…
05-17 20:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x2e6719…
05-17 20:15:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x2b13ac…
05-17 17:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xb30054…
05-17 16:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x13a94c…
05-17 16:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x6d9a84…
05-17 16:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x64f216…
05-17 16:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x5a574a…
05-17 16:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x4a43d3…
05-17 16:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x06852c…
05-17 16:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xe1478e…
05-17 15:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xbdcfc5…
05-17 14:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xc7b397…
05-17 14:15:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe30f7c…
05-17 12:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x967990…
05-17 12:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xcf9ed8…
05-17 12:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x66ae58…
05-17 12:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x837730…
05-17 12:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x5a3aa0…
05-17 10:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xde00af…
05-17 09:40:03	BNB Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x07b6fd…
05-17 09:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xff7908…
05-17 09:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x625fe0…
05-16 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xb177a7…
05-16 16:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xd98af1…
05-16 15:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xa73316…
05-16 15:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe68d47…
05-16 15:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x5288c1…
05-16 15:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x82c5e8…
05-16 14:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x7c3e64…
05-16 14:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x294653…
05-16 13:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x7f16c6…
05-16 13:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x5c23c6…
05-16 13:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xfbe0b2…
05-16 10:55:01	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x76a870…
05-16 07:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x3381d0…
05-16 07:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Down	SELL	46	92¢	$42	0x9e4b5e…
05-16 07:28:56	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Down	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x45bcd6…
05-16 07:28:26	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Down	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0xf36b0c…
05-16 07:25:13	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Down	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x77b22c…
05-16 07:25:01	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Down	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x92262d…
05-16 07:24:40	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe589cc…
05-16 05:30:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3d124c…
05-16 02:05:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf6c3a7…
05-16 02:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Down	BUY	250	30¢	$75	0x0edb3b…
05-16 01:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x9a47b6…
05-16 00:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x48aa98…
05-16 00:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc3730…
05-16 00:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xba7a4a…
05-16 00:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcb4074…
05-16 00:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xa1e5f9…
05-16 00:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xa0b5cc…