Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

183

Trades

335

lifetime

Volume

$1.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

8 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-25 23:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

53% 43% -$36

Politics

44% 68% +$8

Crypto

2% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	+15	$11	86¢	$13	+$2	10-15 11:01
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	No	+5	$3	84¢	$4	+$1	09-23 16:08
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+25	$4	8¢	$2	-$2	10-05 19:35
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	16¢	$1	$0	09-23 16:10
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	+82	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	09-23 15:57
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	+23	$6	1¢	$0	-$6	10-05 19:30
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?	Yes	+20	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	10-05 19:35
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	+12	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	10-05 19:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	11	$221	120	120	+0	No	+$6	10-03 18:26
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	2	$57	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	10-07 11:24
Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	10-05 20:26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$27	65	5	+60	No	-$19	10-25 22:56
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	3	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	10-22 12:07
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	3	$24	30	20	+10	No	+$1	10-25 22:51
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	5	$22	40	0	+40	Yes	-$22	10-25 23:14
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	4	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$11	10-04 21:04
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	4	$18	22	22	+0	Yes	+$5	10-14 12:29
Trump renames AI by September 30?	5	$16	621	0	+621	Yes	-$16	09-29 21:29
Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	10-06 11:03
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by at least 25%?	2	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-22 12:04
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	10-06 11:05
Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	10-04 22:01
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?	2	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	10-04 22:22
Will Eduardo Amorim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	10-04 21:48
Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	10-22 12:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	3	$12	10	10	+0	No	+$3	10-09 21:22
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$12	20	10	+10	Yes	+$12	10-04 20:35
Will the Democrats win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	10-06 11:35
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	3	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	10-15 11:01
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	2	$10	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-07 11:21
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	10-25 23:18
Will CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC end in a draw?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	-$10	10-11 20:54
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-22 12:04
Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	10-04 23:11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-02 13:59
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-02 13:59
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	10-22 12:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	2	$9	50	0	+50	Yes	-$9	10-25 23:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:18:54	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xf7da16…
10-25 23:16:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x17307d…
10-25 23:14:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xa1f58f…
10-25 23:10:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xa727a8…
10-25 23:09:20	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xea62b8…
10-25 22:58:21	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xb7be50…
10-25 22:56:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x79a239…
10-25 22:53:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xf92e8c…
10-25 22:51:27	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xa05985…
10-25 22:48:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x136e54…
10-25 22:43:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x072df9…
10-25 22:42:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3ecb66…
10-25 22:42:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x4ba7de…
10-25 22:37:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xea610b…
10-25 22:37:21	Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x847b2a…
10-25 22:37:15	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x7c62db…
10-25 22:36:21	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x0aae23…
10-25 22:23:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcb9421…
10-25 21:40:32	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xa116ce…
10-25 20:28:20	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x1fe6a3…
10-25 20:14:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc1d464…
10-25 19:28:56	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0xd19669…
10-25 19:23:42	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xa7ae75…
10-22 12:53:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4543a5…
10-22 12:07:27	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x4ade8d…
10-22 12:06:11	Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x8812bd…
10-22 12:05:41	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x3218ec…
10-22 12:04:54	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by at least 25%?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x54236d…
10-22 12:04:27	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xae1305…
10-22 12:04:06	Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x2462b2…
10-22 12:03:35	Will Atletico Mineiro win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xa641ca…
10-22 12:03:20	Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x1386da…
10-19 12:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x12c830…
10-17 10:54:42	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa755ff…
10-17 10:51:17	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x71f45b…
10-17 04:14:26	where will it rain on october 16 2026 atlanta ga	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x93803f…
10-17 01:31:09	where will it rain on october 17 2026 boston ma	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7f881f…
10-16 22:44:18	where will it rain on october 16 2026 washington dc	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x557ea6…
10-16 22:43:12	where will it rain on october 16 2026 atlanta ga	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x81bdbe…
10-16 22:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa4b574…
10-16 22:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcadbf0…
10-16 21:27:44	where will it rain on october 16 2026 washington dc	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb76bd9…
10-16 15:55:01	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x012e43…
10-15 22:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9daf4d…
10-15 19:00:56	Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 15?	No	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x8ac777…
10-15 19:00:38	Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 15?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7694c7…
10-15 19:00:29	Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 15?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x273ec8…
10-15 11:47:16	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x21a074…
10-15 11:31:28	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe4cf26…
10-15 11:30:16	Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by October 31?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb64b4a…
10-15 11:30:04	Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by October 31?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x39b172…
10-15 11:29:48	Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x136975…
10-15 11:29:24	Will it snow in Denver, CO by October 31?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2eecc0…
10-15 11:01:15	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd45232…
10-15 10:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 15?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc82d40…
10-15 10:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 15?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf75fc0…
10-15 10:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xb312f5…
10-15 09:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x03765d…
10-14 12:29:23	lula x flavio bolsonaro debate before second round	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xb64ddb…
10-14 11:59:38	ethereum above 2600 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x139a60…
10-14 11:44:43	Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x261653…
10-14 11:32:13	Will Atletico Mineiro win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc64936…
10-13 22:18:48	Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xd83401…
10-13 18:57:09	where will it rain on october 14 2026 chicago il	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x85c2d1…
10-11 21:06:17	Exact Score: CA Mineiro 3 - 1 Santos FC?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x5acdd5…
10-11 21:06:10	Exact Score: CA Mineiro 3 - 1 Santos FC?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x71d6b5…
10-11 20:59:53	Exact Score: CA Mineiro 1 - 1 Santos FC?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaeaac9…
10-11 20:54:23	Will CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6d653e…
10-11 20:51:40	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd066af…
10-11 20:29:31	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa7fc98…
10-11 20:29:31	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6d8f65…
10-09 21:22:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x29a742…
10-09 17:39:26	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x2ebf5f…
10-09 07:00:19	Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x7e7ee3…
10-09 00:38:03	Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 1 CA Mineiro?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xb8969e…
10-09 00:35:30	Will Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x21c3d8…
10-09 00:23:47	Will Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x48674f…
10-09 00:12:45	Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 3 CA Mineiro?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x2bd359…
10-08 23:27:54	Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 1 CA Mineiro?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x8a8ae6…
10-08 23:15:23	Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 2 CA Mineiro?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf75eb8…
10-08 18:43:20	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by at least 25%?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x4ffc53…
10-07 22:37:08	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x0a6378…
10-07 19:05:21	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x404d8c…
10-07 15:34:46	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x9fcc82…
10-07 11:54:53	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x69ab30…
10-07 11:24:07	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xdab6be…
10-07 11:21:58	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x13004f…
10-07 11:17:48	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x96bba8…
10-06 16:57:39	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x96006d…
10-06 16:57:38	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc158f7…
10-06 16:57:38	Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x9c3a44…
10-06 13:01:49	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc54a26…
10-06 11:37:51	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x01d8fd…
10-06 11:36:45	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xef3b4b…
10-06 11:35:51	Will the Democrats win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xa79791…
10-06 11:07:37	Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1a64e8…
10-06 11:05:46	Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x0a891e…
10-06 11:03:52	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xebe954…
10-06 10:59:45	Will Rafael Jodar Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x746b01…
10-06 10:59:12	Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x612ca3…