Disloyal-Crisis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$205

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

315

Trades

409

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 08-12 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

66% 28% -$145

Crypto

28% 44% -$48

Politics

4% 40% -$7

Sports

2% 33% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	$0	07-26 13:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?	2	$29	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-27 00:37
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$28	4,049	4,049	+0	open	—	07-13 22:16
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-18?	3	$24	30	15	+15	No	-$8	07-17 11:04
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol to score first vs. EC Bahia?	3	$22	555	0	+555	No	-$22	07-18 00:00
EC Bahia vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Neither team to score first?	3	$22	515	0	+515	No	-$22	07-18 00:00
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	2	$18	24	0	+24	Jannik Sinner	+$5	07-12 15:55
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-11?	1	$18	27	0	+27	No	-$18	08-12 01:15
Will Tobol Kostanay win on 2026-07-26?	1	$16	27	0	+27	Yes	+$11	07-26 10:17
IK Sirius to win the second half?	2	$16	26	0	+26	No	-$16	08-10 07:14
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-07-28?	1	$15	28	0	+28	No	-$15	07-28 12:44
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-26?	1	$14	33	0	+33	Yes	+$19	07-27 00:37
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	2	$14	15	15	+0	No	+$5	07-16 20:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	-$2	07-16 14:00
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Draw at halftime?	2	$13	26	0	+26	No	-$13	07-16 17:29
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?	1	$13	26	0	+26	No	-$13	07-24 00:10
wnba chi dal 2026 07 12	2	$13	26	0	+26	Dallas Wings	+$3	07-13 00:26
Orlando City SC to win the second half?	3	$12	26	0	+26	No	-$12	08-12 15:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	$0	07-16 13:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$11	21	7	+14	No	-$6	07-16 14:00
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?	3	$11	29	15	+14	Yes	+$10	07-17 11:04
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	3	$11	62	62	+0	No	-$7	07-16 14:00
Will ATuS Velden win on 2026-07-24?	5	$10	25	0	+25	No	-$10	07-24 13:25
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	3	$10	323	232	+91	No	-$6	07-14 15:35
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	2	$10	685	0	+685	No	-$10	07-13 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 21:30 UTC	2	$10	28	0	+28	Down	-$4	06-19 21:34
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-18?	3	$10	27	14	+13	No	-$3	07-17 11:04
israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	07-13 16:39
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-07-27?	1	$9	20	0	+20	Yes	+$11	07-27 13:48
Will CSD Xelajú MC win on 2026-07-25?	1	$9	21	0	+21	No	-$9	07-25 09:06
mlb col sf 2026 07 12 total 8pt5	1	$9	16	0	+16	Under	+$7	07-12 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 15:03:18	Atlético San Luis to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xde01ab…
08-12 15:03:16	Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xe5a0d6…
08-12 15:03:16	Orlando City SC to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x4714ab…
08-12 14:52:33	Orlando City SC to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7f8de8…
08-12 14:52:33	Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x743b43…
08-12 14:52:33	Atlético San Luis to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x54f35a…
08-12 14:34:31	Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xbc8e87…
08-12 14:34:31	Orlando City SC to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x6599ef…
08-12 14:34:31	Atlético San Luis to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$3	0x58eb75…
08-12 01:15:31	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x707050…
08-12 01:15:31	Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	17¢	$5	0x417396…
08-12 01:15:31	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x3174ad…
08-10 07:14:15	IF Brommapojkarna to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xd84b82…
08-10 07:14:15	IK Sirius to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xd31252…
08-10 07:14:15	IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xa3bb84…
08-10 07:13:58	IK Sirius to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x68e183…
08-10 07:13:58	IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x4c571c…
08-10 07:13:58	IF Brommapojkarna to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x1a2b6c…
08-09 13:30:04	FK Orenburg to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcf1204…
08-09 13:30:04	FK Rubin Kazan vs. FK Orenburg: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc8a596…
08-09 13:30:04	FK Rubin Kazan to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8d038e…
08-09 13:30:00	CD Concepción to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9cddaa…
08-09 13:30:00	CD Concepción vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x640b15…
08-09 13:30:00	CD Universidad de Concepción to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x472c95…
08-09 11:25:03	FK Rubin Kazan vs. FK Orenburg: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x580235…
08-09 11:25:03	FK Orenburg to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x3692bf…
08-09 11:25:03	FK Rubin Kazan to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2e738b…
08-09 06:04:27	Iwaki FC to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xe6c5b9…
08-09 06:04:27	Iwaki FC vs. FC Imabari: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb4d531…
08-09 06:04:27	FC Imabari to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x51d7d7…
08-09 05:09:57	Tōkyō Verdy to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xbdab05…
08-09 05:09:57	Kawasaki Frontale to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x3eb0af…
08-09 05:09:57	Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x2b191d…
08-08 20:24:00	Club Bolívar leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3889e0…
08-08 20:24:00	Club Aurora leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x0e6bcd…
08-08 20:23:58	Club Aurora vs. Club Bolívar: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x81cc2a…
08-08 19:44:19	Portland Hearts of Pine leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf42c4b…
08-08 19:44:19	Portland Hearts of Pine vs. Corpus Christi FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xac3b72…
08-08 19:44:19	Corpus Christi FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4ee089…
08-08 19:44:01	Portland Hearts of Pine vs. Corpus Christi FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xfd0590…
08-08 19:44:01	Corpus Christi FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x65879a…
08-08 19:44:01	Portland Hearts of Pine leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x5bbe13…
08-08 05:00:06	Hornchurch FC vs. Kidderminster Harriers FC: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xdb2a9f…
08-08 05:00:06	Kidderminster Harriers FC to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x704141…
08-08 05:00:04	Hornchurch FC to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x11bef2…
08-08 02:26:10	FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x923966…
08-08 02:26:10	Daejeon Hana Citizen FC to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x359e81…
08-08 02:26:09	FC Anyang to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x6ba711…
08-07 19:05:51	AA Ponte Preta to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xffc313…
08-07 19:05:51	Ceará SC to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x99294b…
08-07 13:32:40	Deportivo Alaves leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf67d42…
08-07 13:32:40	Racing Santander leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2ef6cf…
08-07 13:32:40	Racing Santander vs. Deportivo Alaves: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x05f641…
08-06 17:48:47	SC Internacional to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$3	0x650cef…
08-06 17:48:45	SC Corinthians Paulista to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x2cf8f7…
08-06 17:48:45	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SC Internacional: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x269c3b…
08-05 19:30:02	SE Palmeiras to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xe6e3e5…
08-05 19:30:02	Fortaleza EC to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x4b205b…
08-05 19:30:02	Fortaleza EC vs. SE Palmeiras: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x09623f…
08-05 18:25:21	Will RCD Mallorca vs. Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xee77a7…
08-05 18:25:21	Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xa7deee…
08-05 18:25:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x924977…
08-05 08:36:23	Sabah FK to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x922e6c…
08-05 08:36:21	Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xc498cc…
08-05 08:36:21	Aarhus GF to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x50d59d…
08-05 07:44:18	AFC Ajax vs. Brøndby IF: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xc29bb0…
08-05 07:44:18	AFC Ajax to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x88d0c4…
08-05 07:44:18	Brøndby IF to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x1e096c…
08-04 20:14:56	Tigres de la UANL vs. Real Salt Lake: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xcdc172…
08-04 20:14:56	Tigres de la UANL to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0x454df1…
08-04 20:14:56	Real Salt Lake to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x02a946…
08-04 20:14:38	Tigres de la UANL to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xed2942…
08-04 20:14:38	Tigres de la UANL vs. Real Salt Lake: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe0a171…
08-04 20:14:38	Real Salt Lake to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x702b6d…
08-04 20:14:33	Columbus Crew vs. Atlas FC: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xdf33cb…
08-04 20:14:33	Atlas FC to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcafc08…
08-04 20:14:33	Columbus Crew to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc7b21d…
08-04 15:50:38	AC Sparta Praha to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xae7bc4…
08-04 15:50:38	AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x75e46f…
08-04 15:50:38	Olympique Lyonnais to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x584c4b…
08-04 15:50:03	Olympique Lyonnais to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$4	0xeb3c56…
08-04 15:50:03	AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x7612e0…
08-04 15:50:03	AC Sparta Praha to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x3fe4af…
08-02 22:50:44	Will CDOriente Petrolero vs. CA Nacional Potosí end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xd45d60…
08-02 22:50:44	Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x8650fd…
08-02 22:50:44	Will CDOriente Petrolero win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x250b9b…
08-01 23:15:47	Will FC Naples win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xe60efb…
08-01 23:15:47	Will Sarasota Paradise vs. FC Naples end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xbf56b7…
08-01 23:15:47	Will Sarasota Paradise win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x1fa5ed…
08-01 18:07:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5cf89c…
08-01 09:39:30	Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x93d753…
08-01 09:39:30	Will FC Tokyo win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x5abf42…
08-01 09:39:30	Will FC Tokyo vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x0c78ee…
07-31 14:54:35	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	82	7¢	$6	0xa30876…
07-29 21:53:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x916f9c…
07-29 11:48:44	Will Offenbacher FC Kickers 1901 win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x87e0ab…
07-29 11:48:44	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x35bcbf…
07-29 11:48:44	Will Offenbacher FC Kickers 1901 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x028b07…
07-28 22:12:28	New York Mets winning after 5 innings?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xfc6206…
07-28 22:12:28	Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: Tied after 5 innings?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x90f690…