Realized P&L
+$24.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.56K
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
199
Trades
2,505
lifetime
Volume
$1.26M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$501
Open exposure
$5.08K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 09-15 13:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
94% 59% +$49,498
Sports
4% 69% -$25,273
Tech
1% 83% +$814
Politics
0% 50% -$55
Crypto
0% 50% -$106
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +2,500 $2,015 68¢ $1.7K -$302 09-08 13:49
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +1,033 $898 95¢ $982 +$84 09-08 07:10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +850 $552 96¢ $816 +$263 05-21 12:10
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +667 $574 94¢ $627 +$53 09-08 07:09
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +600 $498 98¢ $588 +$90 06-06 05:15
Anduril IPO before 2027? No -320 -$288 98¢ $-315 -$27 06-22 01:06
Brex IPO before 2027? No -41 -$41 99¢ $-41 $0 05-07 13:13
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,698 $1,727 0¢ $3 -$1,724 09-08 07:14