Vital-Beat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$239

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

$947

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% — —

Tech

12% — —

Politics

10% 100% +$224

Sports

9% 67% +$15

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	+600	$498	80¢	$480	$-18	06-06 05:15
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+1,000	$460	46¢	$455	$-5	06-08 15:11
Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	-13	$-12	88¢	$-12	+$0	06-07 19:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	3	$3.0K	3,210	0	+3,210	open	—	01-15 02:59
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	5	$2.4K	2,751	0	+2,751	open	—	05-15 10:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$2.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	03-24 13:25
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-02 03:02
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?	2	$932	1,051	0	+1,051	open	—	05-31 16:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$835	500	500	+0	open	—	01-09 05:56
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	1	$807	877	0	+877	open	—	05-24 15:14
will andurils valuation hit low 70b by june 30	1	$664	746	0	+746	open	—	06-09 12:54
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$499	1,160	0	+1,160	open	—	05-30 09:39
Databricks IPO before 2027?	1	$498	600	0	+600	open	—	06-06 05:15
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$497	710	0	+710	open	—	05-30 09:40
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$460	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-08 15:11
avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 2pt02	2	$455	500	0	+500	open	—	02-27 17:58
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$425	500	0	+500	open	—	02-09 17:27
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	1	$329	349	0	+349	open	—	02-25 14:28
lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	9	$291	502	502	+0	open	—	01-21 09:19
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	1	$285	500	0	+500	open	—	01-26 14:52
will nvda dip to 152 in march	1	$246	300	0	+300	open	—	03-04 05:25
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$242	713	713	+0	open	—	01-30 01:36
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?	1	$213	316	0	+316	open	—	05-17 01:50
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$205	250	0	+250	open	—	05-30 09:40
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	1	$200	12,102	0	+12,102	open	—	02-06 01:38
us bank failure by january 31	4	$186	200	0	+200	open	—	01-03 07:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	6	$184	244	400	-156	open	—	05-14 17:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$176	400	0	+400	Yes	+$224	01-03 07:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$172	110	110	+0	open	—	01-08 08:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$168	200	0	+200	open	—	03-27 02:24
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	1	$158	170	0	+170	open	—	01-12 13:24
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?	2	$141	170	0	+170	open	—	05-30 19:22
meta above 660 on march 6 2026	1	$126	200	0	+200	open	—	03-04 05:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:54:48	will andurils valuation hit low 70b by june 30	No	BUY	746	89¢	$664	0x3c53fc…
06-08 15:11:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	46¢	$460	0x1d8d05…
06-07 19:13:04	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x01162f…
06-07 02:29:25	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xfa465c…
06-07 02:15:33	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x42eb30…
06-07 01:23:37	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	Farés Ziam	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x70f274…
06-07 00:54:16	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	Farés Ziam	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xd96cad…
06-06 14:43:55	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Bryce Mitchell	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x654305…
06-06 14:39:46	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Brendan Allen	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xdd98e3…
06-06 14:39:28	ufc joa4 jor10 2026 06 06	Joanderson Brito	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x809a6c…
06-06 05:15:30	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	600	83¢	$498	0x4f23b6…
05-31 16:02:28	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?	No	BUY	1,004	89¢	$894	0x39e3bd…
05-31 02:03:15	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xdc9872…
05-31 01:49:31	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x2e2b8b…
05-30 19:22:53	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?	No	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0xf0f909…
05-30 19:22:35	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0xc09e20…
05-30 09:40:34	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	BUY	250	82¢	$205	0xbf2f1a…
05-30 09:40:01	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	BUY	710	70¢	$497	0x86fd5d…
05-30 09:39:07	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Sumudaerji	BUY	1,160	43¢	$499	0xc0e781…
05-28 11:54:53	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0x6dd7b2…
05-28 11:53:46	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x523cb8…
05-24 15:23:03	Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.8B?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xefba8f…
05-24 15:14:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	877	92¢	$807	0x9d7293…
05-18 14:12:18	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xc1fda1…
05-17 14:43:58	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xe0d15d…
05-17 02:33:17	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x21fd41…
05-17 02:05:31	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Daniel Santos	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1cf072…
05-17 02:05:01	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Daniel Santos	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5f5d8e…
05-17 01:50:07	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?	No	BUY	316	67¢	$213	0x2e1ec0…
05-17 01:48:04	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?	No	BUY	90	41¢	$37	0x72ca25…
05-15 10:59:58	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	88¢	$1,320	0xeab448…
05-14 17:07:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	400	27¢	$108	0x4dfde0…
05-14 14:02:37	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x7f9033…
05-13 15:48:30	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x57df7a…
05-13 08:28:07	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	88¢	$616	0xfd74c1…
05-13 02:11:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x360a4c…
05-13 02:03:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xb5130c…
05-13 02:02:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xe16ef0…
05-13 02:02:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xc4e19d…
05-13 02:01:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x6fc481…
05-10 03:44:29	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0xe8f520…
05-10 02:51:34	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x93fb7a…
05-10 02:12:41	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x8e93ed…
05-10 02:11:02	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x13e933…
05-10 01:56:07	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xfa39b3…
05-09 23:42:29	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x7b9cc7…
05-09 23:22:11	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x41fcd3…
05-09 23:21:53	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x09ed77…
05-09 23:21:27	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x9a0847…
05-07 13:09:10	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	87¢	$391	0x088e38…
05-07 13:07:18	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x05b90e…
05-02 13:42:16	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5fcf63…
05-02 12:44:20	UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x48f24b…
05-02 08:25:12	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xc79c62…
04-19 02:27:14	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc8c2a1…
04-12 03:48:59	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4fd33e…
04-12 01:47:13	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xda163b…
04-12 00:55:13	ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	Aaron Pico	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xf0a9b8…
04-12 00:48:55	ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	Aaron Pico	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xdb67d1…
04-12 00:12:57	ufc kev ran3 2026 04 11	Kevin Holland	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x36c053…
04-10 11:09:13	atp fonseca zverev 2026 04 10	Joao Fonseca	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x0c04b6…
04-04 13:14:23	ufc vir tab 2026 04 04	Virna Jandiroba	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3401de…
04-04 13:13:59	ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	Renato Moicano	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xaf6885…
04-03 06:32:55	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xd53ced…
03-29 02:33:02	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x08fab1…
03-29 01:34:18	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x68d435…
03-28 10:38:21	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x7bbce7…
03-27 02:24:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x593006…
03-26 05:06:17	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x0f5f9d…
03-25 08:51:39	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	46	92¢	$43	0xe8374e…
03-24 13:25:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,898	0xa0f2d1…
03-15 17:27:41	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x8b6f76…
03-15 02:00:25	ufc and2 jos55 2026 03 14	Andre Fili	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xa44713…
03-15 01:54:23	ufc and2 jos55 2026 03 14	Andre Fili	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xaa44a9…
03-11 03:59:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xe5c267…
03-11 03:59:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x9ce5cf…
03-11 01:38:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	65	25¢	$16	0x59866d…
03-11 01:38:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	38	25¢	$9	0x3726be…
03-10 02:17:25	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	Yes	BUY	115	76¢	$87	0xf6a623…
03-07 15:49:19	ufc cod1 xia 2026 03 07	Cody Garbrandt	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xdd09fd…
03-07 15:15:33	ufc mic4 dre 2026 03 07	Drew Dober	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x663141…
03-04 05:25:41	will nvda dip to 152 in march	No	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x845372…
03-04 05:24:07	meta above 660 on march 6 2026	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x7c2842…
03-02 03:02:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	76¢	$1,518	0xaa8d3d…
03-01 03:01:43	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	BUY	142	68¢	$96	0x54b6c1…
02-27 17:58:21	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 2pt02	Yes	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x8642da…
02-27 14:30:13	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 2pt02	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xd224b3…
02-25 14:28:58	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	Yes	BUY	349	94¢	$329	0x6348de…
02-22 03:29:38	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Strickland	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xa97bdd…
02-22 01:33:44	ufc mic6 zac5 2026 02 21	Pereira	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xea10bb…
02-09 17:27:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x71d528…
02-06 01:38:59	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	BUY	12,102	2¢	$200	0x408d5c…
02-01 03:06:18	ufc raf mau4 2026 01 31	Fiziev	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x8943ef…
02-01 03:01:10	ufc dan6 ben8 2026 01 31	Hooker	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x53adea…
02-01 03:00:22	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xddc00d…
01-30 01:36:20	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	713	8¢	$58	0x33fd8d…
01-27 13:07:21	will lorenzo musetti win the 2026 australian open	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xcfdb1c…
01-27 12:45:21	will lorenzo musetti win the 2026 australian open	Yes	BUY	253	1¢	$3	0x7e8840…
01-26 14:52:37	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	No	BUY	500	57¢	$285	0x9e13e5…
01-26 13:49:41	spx opens up or down on january 26 2026	Down	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x0221f9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	51	$284.3K	4,984	06-07 02:32
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	49	$146.7K	1,173	06-08 04:02
Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4	44	$425.6K	3,980	06-07 02:51
Frigid-Counselling 0x2b15…9b08	41	$1.07M	4,860	06-07 02:54
Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2	41	$2.05K	209	06-07 02:59
Tidy-Minute 0x7a68…98ae	40	$4.10K	41	06-06 10:03
Perfect-Cheddar 0x03ac…4f55	39	$853.4K	7,518	06-07 02:55
Violet-Helicopter 0x661d…4dc6	39	$126.5K	1,180	06-07 02:38