Vital-Beat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$239

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved

Trades

176

lifetime

Volume

$55.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$317

Open exposure

$1.18K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-29 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Sports

25% 67% +$15

Tech

8% — —

Politics

3% 100% +$224

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	+600	$498	82¢	$495	$-3	06-06 05:15
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+1,000	$460	48¢	$475	+$15	06-08 15:11
Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	-232	$-208	90¢	$-207	+$1	06-22 01:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$20.0K	32,790	0	+32,790	open	—	06-29 14:50
ufc jul18 abd8 2026 06 27	1	$4.5K	5,350	0	+5,350	open	—	06-27 15:09
ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27	2	$3.2K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	06-27 17:58
tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	3	$3.0K	3,210	0	+3,210	open	—	01-15 02:59
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	5	$2.4K	2,751	0	+2,751	open	—	05-15 10:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$2.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	03-24 13:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	1	$2.2K	0	2,245	-2,245	open	—	06-12 17:30
will andurils valuation hit low 70b by june 30	2	$1.7K	1,886	0	+1,886	open	—	06-12 03:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-02 03:02
ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27	1	$1.5K	2,420	0	+2,420	open	—	06-27 17:00
ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	1	$1.1K	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	06-27 18:46
ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27	1	$1.0K	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	06-27 16:07
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?	2	$932	1,051	0	+1,051	open	—	05-31 16:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$835	500	500	+0	open	—	01-09 05:56
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	1	$807	877	0	+877	open	—	05-24 15:14
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$499	1,160	0	+1,160	open	—	05-30 09:39
Databricks IPO before 2027?	1	$498	600	0	+600	open	—	06-06 05:15
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$497	710	0	+710	open	—	05-30 09:40
ufc jea1 bek 2026 06 27	1	$494	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	06-27 13:42
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$460	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-08 15:11
avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 2pt02	2	$455	500	0	+500	open	—	02-27 17:58
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$425	500	0	+500	open	—	02-09 17:27
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	1	$329	349	0	+349	open	—	02-25 14:28
lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	9	$291	502	502	+0	open	—	01-21 09:19
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	1	$285	500	0	+500	open	—	01-26 14:52
ufc asu cha15 2026 06 27	3	$254	770	770	+0	open	—	06-27 17:22
will nvda dip to 152 in march	1	$246	300	0	+300	open	—	03-04 05:25
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$242	713	713	+0	open	—	01-30 01:36
will andurils valuation hit high 100b by june 30	4	$227	170	100	+70	open	—	06-12 14:08
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	2	$225	332	0	+332	open	—	06-12 04:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 14:50:35	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	32,790	61¢	$20,002	0x2a897d…
06-27 18:46:28	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Rafael Fiziev	BUY	2,100	51¢	$1,071	0xaf65d0…
06-27 17:58:11	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27	Shara Magomedov	BUY	238	79¢	$188	0xa906a7…
06-27 17:58:04	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27	Shara Magomedov	BUY	3,762	79¢	$2,972	0x3a1fea…
06-27 17:22:05	ufc asu cha15 2026 06 27	Charles Johnson	SELL	607	7¢	$42	0x919c24…
06-27 17:22:02	ufc asu cha15 2026 06 27	Charles Johnson	SELL	163	7¢	$11	0x8487fc…
06-27 17:02:29	ufc asu cha15 2026 06 27	Charles Johnson	BUY	770	26¢	$200	0xa3994d…
06-27 17:00:58	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27	Nazim Sadykhov	BUY	2,420	62¢	$1,500	0xa21449…
06-27 16:07:53	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27	Abus Magomedov	BUY	2,100	49¢	$1,029	0x7e4b21…
06-27 15:09:56	ufc jul18 abd8 2026 06 27	Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev	BUY	5,350	84¢	$4,494	0xf6ef06…
06-27 13:42:41	ufc jea1 bek 2026 06 27	Bekzat Almakhan	BUY	1,300	38¢	$494	0x760433…
06-22 01:06:52	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	193	90¢	$174	0x321c45…
06-20 17:54:59	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x052f87…
06-18 17:17:13	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb89257…
06-18 17:03:07	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x4c0600…
06-18 06:40:25	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x1da9d0…
06-16 05:40:36	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6f8ea2…
06-14 17:01:15	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x277859…
06-14 16:16:40	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x63ee49…
06-14 16:16:07	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Sean O'Malley	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x378c11…
06-12 17:30:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	SELL	2,245	100¢	$2,234	0xa919b5…
06-12 14:08:46	will andurils valuation hit high 100b by june 30	No	SELL	80	87¢	$69	0x931a45…
06-12 14:08:46	will andurils valuation hit high 100b by june 30	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x87b530…
06-12 04:46:25	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x1b378a…
06-12 04:46:15	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	No	BUY	312	68¢	$212	0xc25158…
06-12 03:02:30	will andurils valuation hit low 70b by june 30	No	BUY	1,140	91¢	$1,043	0xd07750…
06-11 16:23:21	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xc02f83…
06-11 10:51:16	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x43fd9d…
06-09 12:54:48	will andurils valuation hit low 70b by june 30	No	BUY	746	89¢	$664	0x3c53fc…
06-08 15:11:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	46¢	$460	0x1d8d05…
06-07 19:13:04	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x01162f…
06-07 02:29:25	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xfa465c…
06-07 02:15:33	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x42eb30…
06-07 01:23:37	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	Farés Ziam	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x70f274…
06-07 00:54:16	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	Farés Ziam	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xd96cad…
06-06 14:43:55	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Bryce Mitchell	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x654305…
06-06 14:39:46	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Brendan Allen	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xdd98e3…
06-06 14:39:28	ufc joa4 jor10 2026 06 06	Joanderson Brito	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x809a6c…
06-06 05:15:30	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	600	83¢	$498	0x4f23b6…
05-31 16:02:28	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?	No	BUY	1,004	89¢	$894	0x39e3bd…
05-31 02:03:15	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xdc9872…
05-31 01:49:31	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x2e2b8b…
05-30 19:22:53	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?	No	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0xf0f909…
05-30 19:22:35	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0xc09e20…
05-30 09:40:34	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	BUY	250	82¢	$205	0xbf2f1a…
05-30 09:40:01	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	BUY	710	70¢	$497	0x86fd5d…
05-30 09:39:07	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Sumudaerji	BUY	1,160	43¢	$499	0xc0e781…
05-28 11:54:53	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0x6dd7b2…
05-28 11:53:46	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x523cb8…
05-24 15:23:03	Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.8B?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xefba8f…
05-24 15:14:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	877	92¢	$807	0x9d7293…
05-18 14:12:18	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xc1fda1…
05-17 14:43:58	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xe0d15d…
05-17 02:33:17	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x21fd41…
05-17 02:05:31	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Daniel Santos	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1cf072…
05-17 02:05:01	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Daniel Santos	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5f5d8e…
05-17 01:50:07	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?	No	BUY	316	67¢	$213	0x2e1ec0…
05-17 01:48:04	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?	No	BUY	90	41¢	$37	0x72ca25…
05-15 10:59:58	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	88¢	$1,320	0xeab448…
05-14 17:07:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	400	27¢	$108	0x4dfde0…
05-14 14:02:37	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x7f9033…
05-13 15:48:30	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x57df7a…
05-13 08:28:07	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	88¢	$616	0xfd74c1…
05-13 02:11:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x360a4c…
05-13 02:03:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xb5130c…
05-13 02:02:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xe16ef0…
05-13 02:02:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xc4e19d…
05-13 02:01:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x6fc481…
05-10 03:44:29	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0xe8f520…
05-10 02:51:34	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x93fb7a…
05-10 02:12:41	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x8e93ed…
05-10 02:11:02	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x13e933…
05-10 01:56:07	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xfa39b3…
05-09 23:42:29	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x7b9cc7…
05-09 23:22:11	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x41fcd3…
05-09 23:21:53	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x09ed77…
05-09 23:21:27	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x9a0847…
05-07 13:09:10	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	87¢	$391	0x088e38…
05-07 13:07:18	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x05b90e…
05-02 13:42:16	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5fcf63…
05-02 12:44:20	UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x48f24b…
05-02 08:25:12	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xc79c62…
04-19 02:27:14	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc8c2a1…
04-12 03:48:59	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4fd33e…
04-12 01:47:13	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xda163b…
04-12 00:55:13	ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	Aaron Pico	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xf0a9b8…
04-12 00:48:55	ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	Aaron Pico	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xdb67d1…
04-12 00:12:57	ufc kev ran3 2026 04 11	Kevin Holland	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x36c053…
04-10 11:09:13	atp fonseca zverev 2026 04 10	Joao Fonseca	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x0c04b6…
04-04 13:14:23	ufc vir tab 2026 04 04	Virna Jandiroba	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3401de…
04-04 13:13:59	ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	Renato Moicano	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xaf6885…
04-03 06:32:55	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xd53ced…
03-29 02:33:02	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x08fab1…
03-29 01:34:18	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x68d435…
03-28 10:38:21	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x7bbce7…
03-27 02:24:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x593006…
03-26 05:06:17	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x0f5f9d…
03-25 08:51:39	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	46	92¢	$43	0xe8374e…
03-24 13:25:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,898	0xa0f2d1…
03-15 17:27:41	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x8b6f76…