Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

184

Trades

336

lifetime

Volume

$636

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-18 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

46% 39% +$5

Politics

22% 44% +$6

Sports

15% 44% +$10

Tech

9% 42% +$1

Crypto

8% 24% -$9

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+37	$2	13¢	$5	+$3	07-01 04:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5	$3	58¢	$3	$0	05-17 14:50
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	No	+5	$1	44¢	$2	+$1	05-17 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	11	$21	33	23	+10	No	-$3	05-22 22:32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	8	$13	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	06-11 20:57
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	6	$12	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	07-02 21:23
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	4	$12	10	10	+0	Over	+$4	06-17 00:03
will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	3	$9	10	5	+5	Yes	-$1	07-01 06:59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-24 13:28
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	06-05 14:22
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-24 15:01
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-17 17:46
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-14 12:17
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-14 12:47
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	4	$8	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	06-12 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 2?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	06-02 07:10
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	06-06 21:45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-05 18:36
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 24?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 06:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	05-17 15:47
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	08-09 22:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-20 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-05 17:11
Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?	3	$6	5	5	+0	No	-$2	06-22 03:42
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	2	$6	5	5	+0	Under	+$2	07-01 03:52
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-27 04:48
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	07-01 13:48
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	05-31 22:22
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	3	$6	10	5	+5	No	-$1	05-17 15:32
bitcoin above 64k on june 21 2026	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	06-21 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 22?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-22 08:29
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	06-21 09:30
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	08-13 10:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 05:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x630331…
08-28 00:04:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xc538a9…
08-25 15:06:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x312d2f…
08-25 11:19:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x8c7f03…
08-14 19:51:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x34dd39…
08-14 13:38:01	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1f61b2…
08-13 11:06:03	Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8326c1…
08-13 10:40:27	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x24130c…
08-12 18:10:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9e8949…
08-11 18:43:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x0d28f7…
08-11 04:45:18	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2b87c0…
08-10 07:48:39	ethereum above 1900 on august 10 2026	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x43c0cf…
08-10 02:10:49	ethereum above 1900 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xaad9f8…
08-09 22:24:18	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd2b08b…
08-09 22:12:24	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x204fa8…
08-07 09:29:10	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x36202e…
07-24 06:55:30	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa88131…
07-24 06:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 24?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x72d75f…
07-22 08:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x99898c…
07-22 08:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 22?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xfba693…
07-21 03:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 22?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xea60e0…
07-21 02:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 21?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x3219b0…
07-21 02:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 21?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x18c834…
07-20 23:06:07	Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x8288d0…
07-20 22:45:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x03b486…
07-20 22:37:54	will trump speak to andy burnham in july 20260720151658724	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x811ebc…
07-20 21:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 21?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x80c76a…
07-20 18:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 21?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x487412…
07-20 18:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xcdb67d…
07-20 14:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa18fd9…
07-20 13:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3ca48b…
07-18 05:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xe00877…
07-18 04:38:39	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x6983a2…
07-11 14:38:41	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x62d7c5…
07-11 14:29:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x50d065…
07-11 14:11:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa35daf…
07-09 09:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$0	0x5e5fc5…
07-07 17:04:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xcf57ac…
07-07 15:48:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd5aa1a…
07-07 15:15:28	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4452b8…
07-07 15:07:41	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	No	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xe322b3…
07-07 08:52:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x72a7f4…
07-07 08:31:44	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xce2daf…
07-06 16:05:47	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x58b8d3…
07-06 12:38:31	Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xdd0dad…
07-05 20:35:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xc571e3…
07-05 09:30:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8d64f8…
07-05 09:10:43	Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x47412e…
07-04 02:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xadc9d4…
07-04 02:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0xaaf554…
07-04 02:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x4c131c…
07-04 01:14:50	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x273cda…
07-04 00:44:38	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x81531c…
07-04 00:09:47	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x54870c…
07-03 23:44:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x44432d…
07-03 02:10:05	Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc94e95…
07-02 23:33:26	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd0689e…
07-02 23:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x25271e…
07-02 22:30:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x198d84…
07-02 22:12:29	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xb15051…
07-02 21:32:23	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x898129…
07-02 21:23:14	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x594223…
07-02 18:00:34	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb4752f…
07-02 17:04:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x73e3aa…
07-02 15:28:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd49657…
07-02 06:56:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8fd2cf…
07-02 05:35:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xdd24f8…
07-02 00:31:20	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xfa2f9e…
07-02 00:30:58	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xe268b8…
07-01 18:07:04	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xed14fe…
07-01 17:55:05	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x4056c2…
07-01 16:09:17	Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xbc2233…
07-01 16:09:10	Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x8d4bed…
07-01 15:28:50	ethereum above 1600 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0a76f5…
07-01 14:49:59	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x20cb55…
07-01 14:17:41	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5c3b94…
07-01 13:48:52	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xae6005…
07-01 13:09:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x2a4057…
07-01 11:21:14	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x4cffde…
07-01 11:03:28	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x54c3ac…
07-01 06:59:19	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7855af…
07-01 04:55:50	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x9c977b…
07-01 03:57:56	ethereum above 1600 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5871db…
07-01 03:52:43	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xee4ba9…
07-01 03:32:32	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x35fb39…
07-01 03:22:38	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xb454d6…
06-30 19:42:58	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4ecf8d…
06-30 19:27:01	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe79372…
06-29 08:55:38	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe0ab0e…
06-29 08:45:37	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd17b56…
06-29 08:42:47	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xb7cb52…
06-29 02:57:32	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x820459…
06-28 15:51:38	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xce70c5…
06-27 05:14:16	Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb3b708…
06-27 04:54:16	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3e9869…
06-27 04:48:53	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7836e9…
06-27 03:58:14	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x52bd1c…
06-27 02:18:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc7480f…
06-27 00:32:14	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x3e64c9…
06-27 00:16:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xed4b57…